INJURIES to key players have been a recurring theme this season. Virgil Van Dijk's presence has been sorely missed in the heart of the Liverpool defence, while Man City were able to cope without the brilliant Kevin DeBruyne, but the likes of Leicester and Aston Villa haven't been able to plug the recent gaps left by the absences of James Maddison and Jack Grealish respectively.
Grealish will again miss Villa's trip to Newcastle and they've lacked a bit of spark without his influence in midfield. They've taken just four points from 12 in the last four games without him including a surprise defeat at Sheffield United and a disappointing draw with Wolves.
The good news is that Newcastle will also be missing some influential players in the shape of Callum Wilson, Miguel Almiron and Allan Saint-Maximin. 21 of Newcastle's measly 27 goals this season have been scored by assisted by those three so Steve Bruce's side will be really up against it to break down a Villa defence that's only conceded three in their last six matches.
Villa are evens to win but it's a game that doesn't promise many goals. Under 2.5 is never a fun bet to take on but it's 4/6 here, while No to Both Teams to Score is 4/5. No first half goal is 13/8 and it's a bet that's landed in 41% of Newcastle games and 36% of Villa games. You can buy yourself an extra 14 minutes or so by taking the 5/6 at Bet365 on there being no goal inside the first 31 minutes.
We've plenty of matches covered in our match previews for Friday below with the action starting in SerieA at 2.00pm between Lazio and Crotone, right through to Reims v Lyon in Ligue 1 at 8.00pm.
In Scotland, Raith Rovers could be a good bet in the live match on BBC Scotland. They've been hugely inconsistent and were held 0-0 by Morton in midweek but look the value in Inverness tonight at 2/1, where they visit a Caley Thistle side that have won just once in 12 and showing no sign of progress under temporary manager Neil McCann.
Another Rovers, Blackburn, are in action in the Championship in England where Brentford are the visitors. The Bees have lost their sting of late, suffering four defeats in their last six and slipping to fourth in the table so really need to start putting wins on the board. Tony Mowbray's Blackburn have looked good at times this season but are suffering a torrid time themselves, taking just 5 points from the last 27 on offer.
At a push you'd have to side with promotion-chasing Brentford at 21/20 especially with Championship top scorer Ivan Toney on board and Blackburn likely to be without 20-goal Adam Armstrong with a hamstring injury.
Super Single
- Raith Rovers Draw No Bet 11/8 (bet365)
Match Previews & Tips
Check out our match previews and tips for Friday and beyond.
- SlipsTips Tips: Levante vs Valencia Bet Builder
- VIP Tips: Banker Bet, Bonkers Bet & VIP Acca
- Fri 2.00pm – Lazio v Crotone (Premier Sports 1)
- Fri 7.30pm – Augsburg v Borussia Monchengladbach (BT Sport ESPN)
- Fri 7.45pm – Blackburn Rovers v Brentford (Sky Sports Football )
- Fri 7.45pm – Inverness v Raith Rovers (BBC Scotland)
- Fri 8.00pm – Levante v Valencia (LaLigaTV / FreeSports)
- Fri 8.00pm – Reims v Lyon
- Fri 8.00pm – Newcastle v Aston Villa (BT Sport 1)
- Sat 12.15pm – Luton Town v Swansea City (Sky Sports Main Event)
- Sat 12.30pm – Leeds Utd v Chelsea (BT Sport 1)
- Sat 3.00pm – Crystal Palace v West Brom (Sky Sports Premier League)
- Sat 3.00pm – Portsmouth v Salford City (Sky Sports Main Event)
- Sat 3.15pm – Real Madrid v Elche (LaLigaTV)
- Sat 5.30pm – Everton v Burnley (Sky Sports Main Event)
- Sat 5.30pm – Borussia Dortmund v Hertha Berlin (BT Sport 2)
- Sun 12.15pm – Sheffield Wednesday v Norwich City (Sky Sports Football)
- Sun 2.00pm – Torino v Inter Milan (Premier Sports 2)
Thursday's Horse Racing Tips
Alan Thomson has one bet lined up at Wolverhampton on Friday
Cheltenham Countdown
The Cheltenham Festival kicks-off on Tuesday and The Voice of Value has penned a brilliant scene-setter, with a Banker Bet for each day, to get us in the mood.
He's also spent some time with racing expert Jim Delahunt to record a special Cheltenham Festival Preview Podcast. It's well worth a listen if you're looking for a few pointers for the Festival.
Corners Betting Masterclass
Last but by no means least, Greg has shared some of his secrets on a market that he's grown to love in the last 12 months. Don't miss his Experts Guide to Betting on Corners Masterclass.
As well as leaving your betting tips and thoughts in the comments section, we would appreciate it if you could share this post on Twitter and Facebook using the buttons below.
Mr Fixit launched this website as a small project in 2010 to give him a platform to provide daily football tips to punters on the internet. The site has grown massively since, and while he is no longer with us, our aim is to continue his good work and provide our readers with solid tips every day to consider placing their bets on.
CD Motagua to win and O1.5 tg.
Melbourne City O1.5g.
Gl all.
Good stuff, saw this tip when the motagua game had already begun, so odds were greater for win and I took it. 👏🏽👏🏽
@MajorBeastly chuffed for you mate. 👍
Tonight’s double see’s us begin in Italy’s Serie A in which I’m expecting a home win accompanied with at least 2 goals, then to Dutch second tier with 2 teams I think will find the back of the net.
Atalanta vs Spezia
Atalanta to win & over 1.5 match goals
Telstar vs De Graafschap
Both teams to score
Double pays
1.33/1 (William Hill)
Reasoning on both games below 👇🏻
Atalanta vs Spezia
Serie A 🇮🇹
Friday 12th March, 19:45 ⏰
Atalanta have won 7 of their 13 home games so far this season.
Atalanta have won 4 out of 6 at home against bottom half sides.
Atalanta have scored 2 or more in 8 of their 13 home games this season including their last 3.
Spezia have lost 6 of their 13 away games so far this season including 3 of their last 4.
Spezia have lost 4 of their 5 away games this season against the top 7.
Spezia have conceded 2 or more in 8 of their 13 away games including in all 6 of their defeats.
Spezia travel to Bergamo tonight facing a free scoring Atalanta side that until Mondays trip to Inter had won their last 4 scoring 12. Spezia’s away form is better than their home but have found it tough against Italy’s best with a win away to Napoli in a freak game the only occasion they have gained a positive result against Italy’s top 7. Expecting an Atalanta win in what could be a high scoring game.
Telstar vs De Graafschap
Eerste Divisie 🇳🇱
Friday 12th March, 20:00 ⏰
Telstar have scored in all 13 home games so far this season.
Telstar have conceded in 11 of their 13 home games this season.
Both teams to score has landed in 11 of their 13 home games this season including all 6 against top half sides.
De Graafschap have scored in 11 of their 13 away games so far this season.
De Graafschap have only kept 3 clean sheets away from home this season, all in which came against bottom half sides.
Both teams to score has landed in 9 of De Graafschap’s away games this season.
9th placed Telstar host 2nd placed De Graafschap in what should be an entertaining game tonight. Telstar score plenty at home and De Graafschap score plenty away and with neither side keeping too many clean sheets I can see both sides net here.
365 paid out as 2-0 up.
Cracking mate cheers! 💥
🦉🦉 night owl 🦉🦉
🇨🇴🇨🇴🇨🇴🇨🇴
Deportivo Cali
V
América de Cali
01:00
Colombian Categoria Primera A
BTTS 6-4 (SKYBET). NB
Side bet BTTS and over 2.5 goals 9-4 (SKYBET)
Top v mid table city battle.
America mid table but only lost 1 in 10 and draw a lot and don’t score many this campaign.
Oddly they have scored just 2 at home and 7 away !!
Reason for this mainly the last 3 h2h here since 2019.
3-2. 2-1. 2-1.
Del Cali btts in 5 of last 7 homes and scored in all 7.
America btts in 5 of last 6 aways and scored in all 6.
*** Dep Cali scored in 18 of last 19 hpne games ***
*** America scored in 19 of last 21 away games ***
On the face of it this looks over priced.
Cue a 0-0 😳😳
🇨🇴🇨🇴🇨🇴🇨🇴
Both teams to score is 2/1 at bet 365 going to follow bol👍
Thanks for the heads up drumtips.
Glad I waited until the last minute.
Just placed my bets at bet 365.
BTTS 2-1
BTTS and over 2.5 at a big 100-30…
What do the bookies know ??
League leaders dep Cali fail to score.
Ooooooh
Sadly yeah, I was waiting for a goal from them.. didn’t register any shot on target in the first half.
Roda over 2.5mgs
Telstar btts
Double 7/5
All 10 Dutch games over 2.5mgs 80/1
Good luck
bet builder
Melbourne city win over
Melbourne to score over 1.5 goals
over1.5 cards
maclaren to score anytime
Nice 👍
Tennis ATP Doha
Taylor Fritz vs Nikoloz Basilashvili over 22.0 games
1.87 STS Bets 5Points
Don’t you think. Taylor Fritz will win this one, he’s knocked out a lot of big names and his confidence is strong
Yes, With Basilashvili having not played too much tennis before this tournament it could get tough for him after featuring him a few of these long ones already. I expect this to be a tight 2 set match with Fritz winning but not without a fight from basil. You can go for 2-0 Fritz victory but you can never say since it’s a semi final
La Liga 20.00
Levante vs Valencia
Levante love a btts, 11 of last 14 home games, Valencia leak goals too though less predictable on their scoring they average at least a goal a game.
Last 7 league H2H’s between these two have been btts, 5 going o2.5, including last game 4-2
Betway have a big boost on which looks great value assuming Valencia have their shooting boots on:
15/4 btts o2.5 goals Betway
Good luck all
Levante 1-0, no shooting boots for Valencia
hope florescum return for daily tips!
my bet :
Lazio / atalanta over 2,5 mgs
CD Motagua to win and O1.5 tg. Won. ✅
Melbourne City O1.5g tg. Won. ✅
Hope you guys smash it today.
Well done mate
Cheers abinel mataruse.
Nightmare of a morning, first of all slept in and didnt get my A league tips up, both of which landed, then ive just spent ages writing up previews for todays tips which havent posted and i havent saved them. Not going thru it all again so heres an abridged version and you can check form out for yourself if you fancy getting on.
atalanta/lazio win/over 1.5tgs double
113/100 bet 365 NAP
al rayyan v al arabi btts
brugge o1.5tgs
11/5 hills NB**
**Im going reduced stake on this as it wasnt my first choice for the NB
Can I ask if allowed dose anyone on here use Football Index which has been in the news been reading people have lost a great deal of money but i don’t understand exactly what going on can anyone explain
Yesterday’s main bet sailed in but a goal short at Spurs for the 2nd bet.
Today
Lazio o1.5tgs
Atalanta o2.5mgs
6/5
Leeds v Chelsea kick off 12.30pm Tomorrow
Chelsea to win at 7/10
Chelsea to win -1 Asian Handicap at 2.300
Leeds have yet to beat a big side at home and i can see that trend continuing.Chelsea are in good form and i can see them picking off Leeds at will.Leeds only play one way so we know what to expect from them and Chelsea will certainly exploit the space Leeds give their opponents.Team news isn’t an issue as Chelsea will go as strong as possible.Cracking prices imo.
Best of luck
Lazio v Crotone 14:00
Crotone over 3.5 corners – evens
Crotone have been just about as bad as you can be and have got just 2 points to show for their efforts after 13 away games. They’ve taken plenty of batterings and wouldn’t be surprised to see that again but I actually think this is decent value for at least 4 corners. They have hit at least 3 in 10 of their 13 away games including 3 v Atalanta, Juve and Inter and 6 v Ac Milan.
Obviously expecting Lazio to win this but in 12 home games they’ve conceded at least 3 in 10 of them and have conceded at least 4 in 8 of them. Crotone lose a lot of games and concede a lot of goals but having watched a couple of their games that comes from being attack minded regardless of who they are playing. Coming off the back of a 4-2 win against Torino I don’t see that changing today and the stats back up that they can hit a few corners today.
Crotone over 3.5 corners – evens ✖️
Fortunately placed over 0.5 Crotone corners at 11/5 with just 10 mins left which won ✅
Apologies to anyone who follow the main bet though, didn’t have a chance to post the in play as they literally got the corner about 30 seconds after I placed the bet
Well done on your 11/5 winner, which bookie do you bet inplay team corners with?
It was with Betfair mate.
Thanks!
Lazio to score 2+ & take 5+ corners plus 20+ Crotone BP’s 6/5
👍👍👍
Bet365 betbuilders now let you add 12 selections
Afternoon gents,
I’m looking for a touch of Icelandic Cup cheer to see the weekend in and reckon this one might just have a bit of value to offer around 1 Deild side Thor as they take on Urvalsdeild big-hitters Vikingur…
THÓR VS. VÍKINGUR REYKJAVÍK (9.00pm)
William Hill all the way here and it’s a very comprehensive market offered – I’ve selected the following in a game where Thor could well prove to be a thorn in the side of Vikingur’s armour:
THOR +3 H/CAP
(1/1, williamhill) NAP ⭐⭐⭐
BOTH TEAMS TO SCORE 2ND HALF
(13/8, williamhill) NB ⭐⭐
THOR OVER 1.5 TEAM GOALS
(5/2, williamhill) LONGSHOT ⭐
Best of luck!
TEATIME DABBLE
Malkiya FC
V
Al Hidd
16:30
Bahraini Premier League
BTTS EVENS (HILLS).
Away side short price favourite here.
But H2h in January here was malkiya 2 Al hidd 1.
7 of last 8 h2h here seen BTTS
7 of last 9 malkiya homes BTTS
Malkiya only scored 8 in 11 games but 7 were in their 7 home games.
Al hidd conceded in 9 of last 10 aways.
⚽⚽⚽⚽⚽⚽
At skybet not hills 😁
NCAAB 1700
UAB MoneyLine
5/4 Sportingbet 5Points
Hello
Main bet
Reims – Lyon under 11 corner odds 1,50
I expect few corners here
Under 10 corners odds 1,80 it good also in my opninio
Other good bets
Breda to win
Graafchap to win
Bochum – Hamburg btts –
I expect Hamburg to score at least 1 goal, maybe two and Bochum to score 1-2 goals
It would be a match wuth many fouls, over 2,5 fouls and maybe 1 penalty
0ver 0,5 penaltyes odds 2,35
Only 1 lost because Bochun have take an early red card
Under 9 corners at Reims
Good dsy for me
Earn 20 euro
over 25 fouls at Bochum with Hamburg i mean
I ve bet this double
Reims – Lyon under 11 corners
Breda to win
total odds 2
Welcome back
Double win
Cittadella v Pisa 18:00
Pisa double chance – 10/11
Not much between these two with just 4 points between them in the league and they both draw a lot of games. Cittadella had a solid start to the season but have only won 3 of their last 14 games with 6 draw during that run.
Pisa have went the other way and have lost just 2 of their last 18 games. They’ve drawn 9 of those 18 though. Was really tempted to pick the draw but I think the odds on double chance are too good for a team with just 2 losses in their last 18 against a team who has only won 3 of their last 14.
FC Den Bosch v Volendam
Over 3.0 asian goals @ 1.74 with Unibet
Istanbul v Besiktas INPLAY
Over 4 corners 8/11
Cheers Alves! Spotted just in time to get on at evens, nice late winner
👍👍👍
both teams to score
real de minas v olimpia
skybet 11/10
NAP
lost
A Villa RT3 corners
8/11
KMSK Deinze vs
Lierse Kempenzonen home win Old 48 very good bet
Newcastle v Villa 20.00 KO
Each team 1+ cards
Over 2 cards
5/6 – NAP
tonite……………..
vikingur -2 at 5/6
add reims o1.5mgs, atalanta o1.5tgs 2/1
Scottish double
Raith to score vs Inverness (Friday)
Ross County to score vs Hibs (Saturday)
Went all out with the kitty
10 points double at 11/10
Reims v Lyon – all in for penalties on this with both teams involved in plenty this season and a ref who is not shy to dishing them out or cards for that matter:
Penalty taken @ 13/8 (NAP) with WH
Penalty bets – score / miss with Bet365
2+ penalties @ 9/1 with SkyBet
Punt – red card / penalty @ 13/2 with WH
Absolute wipe out ❌ Apologies if anyone was on
Levante v Valencia
Pen taken 2/1 hills
Good luck
Lost ❌
Aston villa – win @11/10
I cashed out 1 mind before newcastle scored.
Hope others did
Hopefully Paul Tierney isn’t shy in dishing out the cards tonight as just got text from Kwiff and fired £10 on 50+ BP’s to get 20 free spins, got my tenner back but cards galore will be a decent start to the wknd in preparation for Cheltenham week
In PT’s last 5 games he’s dished out a card in stoppage time in 4 of them
It might help if you said what game it is.
Not everyone knows the refs by name.
Mentioned the game about 5 posts above this…
I realise that it is no longer ‘fashionable’ to post ‘challenge bets’ but as I have a free £20 bet withbetfair I thought I would give it a go…
I bet in play, at the price I want. This obviously means that some bets are missed. I have never lost a penny from a missed bet.
First bet is Aston Villa to score v Newcastle. 1/4 pre match, will back at 1/2, if the price becomes available.
I wouldn’t’ put anyone off backing ‘no goalscorer!
Backed at 1/2
Boredom bet builder
Newcastle Over 1.5 goals/4 corners/1 card 11-1 b365
atalanta/lazio win/over 1.5tgs double
113/100 bet 365 NAP✅✅
al rayyan v al arabi btts
brugge o1.5tgs
11/5 hills NB**❌
**Im going reduced stake on this as it wasnt my first choice for the NB
Again NAP lands and no joy with the NB. Small stake in it so not too much lost but raging at sleeping in for oz when both landed. Well done all winners
🇧🇷🇧🇷🇧🇷🇧🇷
Atlético Mineiro U20
V
Fluminense U20
22:00
Brazilian Copa do Brasil U20
Fluminense to score 11-10 (hills) NAP.
Side bet
BTTS and over 2.5 goals 7-4 (hills)
Mineiro 1-12 to win which is ridiculous as they only finished 3 points apart in the season that’s just finished.
All 3 head to heads here were btts including one in December.
Fluminense scored in 9 of their last 10 games.
Mineiro conceded in 6 of last 8 home games
Mineiro are impregnable at home and usually score 2+
Prediction 2-1
🇧🇷🇧🇷🇧🇷🇧🇷
For a NB I was torn between these 2 so just backing them both.
————————————–
Aldosivi v Central Córdoba
22:15
Argentine Super Liga Cup
Both these averaging 3+ match goals in the 4 games played so far.
Aldosivi btts in 5 of last 6 and scored in all 6.
Cordoba btts in 5 of last 7 and scored in 6 of them.
⚽⚽⚽⚽
Defensor Sporting v CA Boston River
21:45
Uruguayan Primera Division.
Both these conceding regularly and last 4 h2h saw BTTS.
⚽⚽⚽⚽
Both BTTS are 10-11 at hills.
——————————–
Side bet
BTTS double
Pays 13-5 at hills.
⚽⚽⚽⚽
Today
Lazio o1.5tgs✅
Atalanta o2.5mgs✅
6/5 WON
Been a couple of good days. Good work all winners
NB for tomorrow is from Australia and Japan, first game is at 6am uk time so I’m putting it up just now.
First up sees Sydney take on Newcastle jets in the A league. Home side are nowhere near the force they’ve been over the past few years and come into this in poor form with 1 win in their last 5. However they face a jets team who’ve last their last 2 and I think Sydney will just edge this one.
Next up it’s a team I highlighted on weds who duly delivered, Kawasaki frontale. The Japanese champs scores goals for fun last season and they’ve started this off in a similar style netting 12 in the first 4. Opponents kashiwa were last seasons cup finalists but lost that match and also 3/4 that they’ve played this season so are in poor form. Kawasaki have won 4 of the last 5 h2h and have scored 2+ in all of them so I’m mirroring weds tip and backing the home men to win and score 2.
Advised tip
Sydney to win
Kawasaki frontale win/o1.5tgs
9/5 bet 365 NB
Newcastle v Villa 20.00 KO
Each team 1+ cards
Over 2 cards
5/6 – NAP
👍👍👍
2 more cards will do nicely or a red
And there’s tge 50+ BP’s in aswell 👍👍👍
Well done Alves, but what game was it on? :)
😂😂😂
Tonight’s double see’s us begin in Italy’s Serie A in which I’m expecting a home win accompanied with at least 2 goals, then to Dutch second tier with 2 teams I think will find the back of the net.
Atalanta vs Spezia
Atalanta to win & over 1.5 match goals ✅
Telstar vs De Graafschap
Both teams to score ✅
Double pays ✅✅
1.33/1 (William Hill)
Absolutely delighted to land 3 doubles in 3 nights. Both teams scored in Holland before half time. Atalanta was 0-0 at half time and was not looking good however 2 quick fire goals at the start of the second half and then a third sealed the double, even despite of Spezia’s late consolation. Will be back tomorrow for hopefully more winners 👍🏼
Well in Greg followed but added Atalanta and over 2.5.👍👍👍
Well in mate, can see why, some record for going over 2.5
Cheers Greg, followed this adding Lazio for a nice 3/1 treble, great run you’re on, keep it up!
Nice bubblegoose, Lazio certainly made you sweat
Yeah was a day of late goals to make me sweat, Lazio, Nac Breda and Lyon all late ones. Good day though in the end
Brilliant Greg 👏🏽👏🏽
Great to see you prospering on here after our chat and encouraging you to write on the site 👍🏼
Thanks Greg 👍🏼 Appreciate your time and the chat we had 👍🏼
Nice one Greg 👏
Roda over 2.5mgs
Telstar btts
Double 7/5**WON**
All 10 Dutch games over 2.5mgs 80/1**LOST** 7 out of 10 landed
Well done all winners
Club sport Herediano v Deportiva San Carlos – 2am
BTTS – 20/23
Herediano have scored in 10 of 12 games and conceded in 11 out of 12. BTTS has came up in 9 out of 12. They’ve played 6 home games and seen BTTS in all 6.
San Carlos have scored in 9 of 12 games and conceded in 9 of 12 games. BTTS has came up in 8 out of 12. They’ve played 5 away games and seen BTTS in all 5
In the last 10 H2H which only goes back to 2019 given how frequently these teams play, BTTS has come up in 8 out of the 10. Both teams have scored in the last 5 H2H in a row and over 2.5 goals has also come up in 4 of those last 5.
Leaving the J League games tomorrow morning, did look at Cerezo Osaka away to Yokohama and champions Kawasaki to win and score a couple at home to Kashiwa Reysol but decided to just have a watching brief and look at the next round of games 🇯🇵👍🏼
Some amount of corners in the 1st few games, decent prices aswell.
I actually noticed that when looking at the games in play on Wednesday, not something I’m big on but will definitely keep an eye on it
Oz 6am Sydney v Newcastle Jets
Jets can go mad on corners regardless of who they play, this season corner count latest first 8, 12, 7, 2, 10, 13, 4, 15, 4, 8, 9
Jets 6+ corners Evens bet365
Longshot Jets 10+ corners 11/1 bet365 (won on this 2 games ago when they hit 12)
Good luck all
Looked great in Iceland up until the 50 minute mark with a 0-0 scoreline but Vikingur turned on the late goals to down my bets 👎
Well done all with winners!
tonite……………..
vikingur -2 at 5/6 WON
add reims o1.5mgs, atalanta o1.5tgs 2/1 WON
TOFFEE…………….. WD all with a winner………….
Sydney v Newcastle
4+ corners & 10bps each team 11/8
Good luck
nite owl……………… not a lot of value around in this one……… but this looks to have a decent chance………
wellington v hamilton o1.5 fhgls 4/5
Fluminense kids to score NAP ☹️❌
Aldosivi BTTS 10-11 NB 1 😁👍
Defensor BTTS 10-11 NB 2 😁👍
Aldosivi and defensor BTTS double 13-5 😁👍
= Profit 😁👍.
Well done winners today ⚽