The Betting Desk is run by Neil Potter. Neil built and refined all of the site’s data models, helping it grow into a trusted source of analysis across the Premier League, EFL and major tournaments. His models track key metrics, long term trends and areas where market prices move away from underlying performance.
Posted on: 23 Jun 2026
Another 20 matches have been added to the dataset and the World Cup picture is becoming clearer. The changes since Matchday 1 are smaller than the swings seen after the opening round, but several teams have still moved significantly. Once again, the most important stories come from the underlying numbers rather than the scorelines. OFFER OF THE DAY Bet £10 […]
Posted on: 22 Jun 2026
Tunisia and the Netherlands meet at Arrowhead Stadium in Kansas City on Thursday evening with very different objectives. The Dutch are battling Japan for top spot in Group F and know they may need a sizeable victory to finish first. Tunisia, meanwhile, are effectively playing for pride. Progression remains mathematically possible, but it would require a victory here, a Sweden […]
Posted on: 22 Jun 2026
South Africa and South Korea meet at Estadio BBVA in Monterrey on Thursday evening with qualification implications at both ends of Group A. OFFER OF THE DAY Bet £10 Get £30 in free bets Bet £10 & Get £30 in Free Bets for new customers at bet365. Min deposit requirement. Free Bets are paid as Bet Credits and are available […]
Posted on: 21 Jun 2026
England and Ghana meet at Gillette Stadium in Foxborough on Tuesday evening with a place in the Round of 32 potentially on the line. OFFER OF THE DAY Bet £10 Get £30 in free bets Bet £10 & Get £30 in Free Bets for new customers at bet365. Min deposit requirement. Free Bets are paid as Bet Credits and are […]
Posted on: 20 Jun 2026
Welcome back to MFT’s 10-1,000 betting challenge, where we aim for a 100x return on the original investment via a small stake betting strategy, prioritising low risk and low odds en route to a long-term target. OFFER OF THE DAY Bet £10 Get £30 in free bets Bet £10 & Get £30 in Free Bets for new customers at bet365. […]
Posted on: 20 Jun 2026
Jordan and Algeria meet at the San Francisco Bay Area Stadium in Santa Clara on Tuesday morning in what is effectively an elimination match in Group J. OFFER OF THE DAY Bet £10 Get £30 in free bets Bet £10 & Get £30 in Free Bets for new customers at bet365. Min deposit requirement. Free Bets are paid as Bet […]
Posted on: 19 Jun 2026
Before the tournament began, the model was built using outright odds, qualifying performance, confederation strength and historical adjustments to estimate every team’s chances of progressing through the 2026 World Cup. One matchday later, we have something far more valuable than pre-tournament assumptions. We have actual performances. Twenty matches into the tournament and the model already looks noticeably different. Some of […]
Posted on: 19 Jun 2026
Welcome back to MFT’s 10-1,000 betting challenge, where we aim for a 100x return on the original investment via a small stake betting strategy, prioritising low risk and low odds en route to a long-term target. OFFER OF THE DAY Bet £10 Get £30 in free bets Bet £10 & Get £30 in Free Bets for new customers at bet365. […]
Posted on: 19 Jun 2026
New Zealand and Egypt meet at BC Place in Vancouver knowing a victory would put them in a strong position to reach the knockout stages. OFFER OF THE DAY Bet £10 Get £30 in free bets Bet £10 & Get £30 in Free Bets for new customers at bet365. Min deposit requirement. Free Bets are paid as Bet Credits and […]
Posted on: 17 Jun 2026
With the FIFA World Cup 2026 group stage beginning to take shape, Tunisia and Japan meet in a crucial Group F encounter at Estadio BBVA in Monterrey. OFFER OF THE DAY Bet £10 Get £30 in free bets Bet £10 & Get £30 in Free Bets for new customers at bet365. Min deposit requirement. Free Bets are paid as Bet […]
Posted on: 17 Jun 2026
With the FIFA World Cup 2026 group stage beginning to take shape, the United States and Australia meet in Seattle in a match that could go a long way towards deciding top spot in Group D. OFFER OF THE DAY Bet £10 Get £30 in free bets Bet £10 & Get £30 in Free Bets for new customers at bet365. […]
Posted on: 16 Jun 2026
With the FIFA World Cup 2026 continuing in North America, Canada and Qatar meet at BC Place in Vancouver in a pivotal Group B encounter. OFFER OF THE DAY Bet £10 Get £30 in free bets Bet £10 & Get £30 in Free Bets for new customers at bet365. Min deposit requirement. Free Bets are paid as Bet Credits and […]
Posted on: 15 Jun 2026
England and Croatia meet at AT&T Stadium in Dallas on Wednesday night in a Group L opener between two nations whose recent World Cup history is closely intertwined. OFFER OF THE DAY Bet £10 Get £30 in free bets Bet £10 & Get £30 in Free Bets for new customers at bet365. Min deposit requirement. Free Bets are paid as […]
Posted on: 15 Jun 2026
Austria and Jordan meet at Levi’s Stadium on Wednesday morning in a match that guarantees a piece of World Cup history. These nations have never faced each other before and one of them will record their first ever World Cup victory by the end of the evening. OFFER OF THE DAY Bet £10 Get £30 in free bets Bet £10 […]
Posted on: 14 Jun 2026
Spain, France and England dominate the betting market for the 2026 World Cup. Between them they account for more than half of the implied probability available across the outright market and, on the surface, it is easy to understand why. Spain arrive as reigning European champions, France possess arguably the deepest squad in the competition and England enter the tournament […]
Posted on: 13 Jun 2026
The model ran the 2026 World Cup 100,000 times and Brazil lifted the trophy in just 4.8% of those simulations. Their outright odds of 8/1 imply an 11.1% chance of winning the tournament, creating one of the largest gaps between market expectation and model probability among the leading contenders. That does not mean Brazil cannot win the World Cup. They […]
Posted on: 13 Jun 2026
World Cup 2026 Group J has a clear favourite but the battle behind them looks far tighter. Argentina arrive as defending champions and heavy favourites to top the group, while Austria and Algeria look set for a direct fight over second place and automatic progression. Jordan enter their first ever World Cup carrying far less expectation but also the freedom […]
Posted on: 13 Jun 2026
Iran and New Zealand meet at SoFi Stadium in Los Angeles on Sunday evening as both sides begin their FIFA World Cup 2026 campaigns in Group G. OFFER OF THE DAY Bet £10 Get £30 in free bets Bet £10 & Get £30 in Free Bets for new customers at bet365. Min deposit requirement. Free Bets are paid as Bet […]
Posted on: 13 Jun 2026
Welcome back to MFT’s 10-1,000 betting challenge, where we aim for a 100x return on the original investment via a small stake betting strategy, prioritising low risk and low odds en route to a long-term target. OFFER OF THE DAY Bet £10 Get £30 in free bets Bet £10 & Get £30 in Free Bets for new customers at bet365. […]
Posted on: 12 Jun 2026
Welcome back to MFT’s 10-1,000 betting challenge, where we aim for a 100x return on the original investment via a small stake betting strategy, prioritising low risk and low odds en route to a long-term target. OFFER OF THE DAY Bet £10 Get £30 in free bets Bet £10 & Get £30 in Free Bets for new customers at bet365. […]
Posted on: 12 Jun 2026
Sweden and Tunisia get their World Cup campaigns underway on Sunday evening when they meet in Monterrey in a match that already carries huge significance in Group F. OFFER OF THE DAY Bet £10 Get £30 in free bets Bet £10 & Get £30 in Free Bets for new customers at bet365. Min deposit requirement. Free Bets are paid as […]
Posted on: 11 Jun 2026
With the FIFA World Cup 2026 underway, Australia and Turkey meet at BC Place in Vancouver in a Group D opener that could prove crucial in determining who progresses to the knockout stages. OFFER OF THE DAY Bet £10 Get £30 in free bets Bet £10 & Get £30 in Free Bets for new customers at bet365. Min deposit requirement. […]
Posted on: 11 Jun 2026
Welcome back to MFT’s 10-1,000 betting challenge, where we aim for a 100x return on the original investment via a small stake betting strategy, prioritising low risk and low odds en route to a long-term target. While this column is dedicated to high-probability tips, there is no guarantee of profit. If playing along, you should consider your own budget and […]
Posted on: 11 Jun 2026
The 2026 FIFA World Cup begins in earnest for the co-hosts on Friday night as the United States take on Paraguay at a sold-out SoFi Stadium in Los Angeles. Expectations are high around Mauricio Pochettino’s side, who have home advantage, a talented squad and a favourable opening fixture on paper. Paraguay arrive with different ambitions. Gustavo Alfaro’s men are organised, […]
Posted on: 11 Jun 2026
This is a guide to using our own probability model to identify value in the outright and stage betting markets. Over the course of the World Cup the model will be updated and shared. As matches are complete the odds will shift and betting opportunities will arise. First Things First: What Do The World Cup Odds Actually Tell You? Most […]
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