Colombia v DR Congo
Colombia

Colombia vs DR Congo

, KO: 03:00 , Guadalajara Stadium
DR Congo

DR Congo upset the odds by holding star-studded Portugal to a draw in their Group K opener and will now be out to spring another World Cup surprise against Colombia.

The African side were 9/1 outsiders for that clash against the Portuguese but more than held their own and fully merited their point.

It leaves them in a great position to reach the knockout stages as a victory in either of their final two games against Colombia and Uzbekistan should seal the deal.

They may have to wait until the final group game to get the job done, however, as the Colombians looked pretty impressive in their 3-1 opening victory over the Uzbeks.

Nestor Lorenzo's side lost just four of their 18 games in South American World Cup qualifying, finishing third in the table ahead of Uruguay and Brazil.

Colombia have a squad packed full of talent and will give the Congolese defence a stiff test as they go for the win that would seal a place in the last 32.

How the bookies view it: DR Congo written off again

Despite that impressive display against Portugal, DR Congo are outsiders again for this one at 11/2 with Bet365. Colombia are 1/2 hot favourites and the draw is pretty big at 16/5.

Head to head: History will be made

These sides have never faced off before but Colombia have a decent record against African opposition at the World Cup. They lost to Cameroon in the last 16 at Italia 90 but have since beaten Tunisia, Ivory Coast and Senegal at the finals.

Players to watch: Diaz the dangerman

Bayern Munich winger Luis Diaz stepped up for Colombia in their opener, providing a goal and an assist. He's a decent 20/21 with Bet365 to deliver either of those again here.

Yoane Wissa's first season at Newcastle hasn't gone to plan but his leveller against Portugal will give him a big shot of confidence. He 13/5 with Bet365 to score or assist in this match.

If you're having a punt on a player, make sure you check out our guide to the top 2026 World Cup betting apps.

Probable line-ups

Both managers will be pleased with how their sides performed on matchday one so I'd be surprised if we saw many changes.

Colombia: Vargas, Munoz, Lucumi, Mojica, Sanchez, Arias, Puerta, Lerma, Diaz, Rodriguez, Suarez.

DR Congo: Mpasi, Wan-Bissaka, Kapuadi, Tuanzebe, Mbemba, Masuaku, Mukau, Moutoussamy, Kayembe, Bakambu, Wissa.

🔍 X-pert tip from The Betting Desk
Don't know your xG from your xP? We've got you covered with our data-led X-pert tip!

MFT's X-pert tip: Colombia win & under 4.5 goals

Colombia are in a strong position after opening their campaign with a controlled 3-1 victory over Uzbekistan. Luis Diaz was the standout performer, while James Rodriguez dictated the tempo and created opportunities throughout. Their blended attacking estimate of 1.62 xG per game, combining recent World Cup qualifiers, June friendlies and their tournament opener, reflects a side producing consistently strong numbers.

DR Congo also impressed on Matchday One, earning a 1-1 draw with Portugal. They generated 0.87 xG and matched their opponents for much of the contest. Their blended figures of 1.03 xG for and 0.66 xG against highlight a disciplined team that remains difficult to break down.

The Elo ratings still favour Colombia significantly, with a 324-point advantage suggesting a clear gap in overall quality.

The expected total stands at 2.15 goals, producing only a 36.5% probability of over 2.5 goals. That points towards a tight contest, but Colombia's greater attacking quality should prove decisive.

Anything else catch the eye?

DR Congo's five-man defence were incredibly disciplined in their opening match and limited the Portuguese to just one effort on target.

That suggests Colombia could have a hard job breaking them down so the half-time draw looks decent at 6/5 with Bet365, while backing most goals to come after the break also appeals at the same odds.

Crystal Palace star Daniel Munoz usually gets stuck in and there could be some value in backing him for over 1.5 fouls at evens with Bet365. He committed one foul against Uzbekistan but this match should be more keenly contested.

Neither of the opening games in this group hit double figures for corners and that makes under nine flag kicks worth a look here at 10/11.

Colombia vs DR Congo Betting Tips & Predictions
Luis Diaz to score or assist
20/21
Bet365
Most goals second half
6/5
Bet365
Daniel Munoz over 1.5 fouls
Evens
Bet365
Further Reading
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