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A mixed day yesterday. Tronador was badly hampered by a faller, leaving him with no chance for the rest of the race. Fury Road ran a blinder, and looked like a winner to my eye turning for home, but Ahoy Senor has some serious gears. It's a shame there weren't more runners, as he would've been an EW play for sure. Saint Calvados was far too keen, and I still think he needs soft ground, didn't run well. Five Star Getaway didn't take to the National fences. Haute Estime ran a blinder to place at odds of 100/1 and Albert's Back was pushed along after the first hurdle. 

Aintree 1:45

Cheltenham seems to have left a mark on a lot of horses who have ran at both Festivals, with a few defying that statement, but for the most it looks like they aren't fully recovered. With that said, I've completely wiped them runners out of this race, as watching back, they all had tough races, being whipped and pushed to the finish. That left me with around half of the field to play with, and the one I really like is SAINT D'OROUX for the shrewd Northern Irish outfit of Stuart Crawford.

I think this horse can take the step up to 3m in his stride, despite never tackling it before. His run at Kelso suggests he is a speedy type, with that being a sharp course, so the 3m at Aintree is a track where he might potentially be okay with the step up. He stayed on well over 2m 5f at Kelso, which gives the impression he should be fine with the extra distance, but the form of both his Kelso races, where he also finished 2nd has started to work out very well. He beat Aurora Thunder, and that mare was in the middle of running a very big race in the Mares' race at Ayr before falling at the last. The 3rd, 4th and Famous Bridge who unseated his rider, have all won since. From his runner-up race, The winner ran well in the County Hurdle to finish 7th. The 3rd and 4th both ran well in yesterday's final race at Aintree, finishing 5th and 2nd respectively.

He carries a decent chunk of weight in this, but Ben Bromley takes off a very handy 7lbs, which takes his weight to below 11st.

A few to mention in this are Emitom, who on old form would win this with his eyes closed off a mark of 135, the booking of Rachael Blackmore catches the eye, but I think he's gone at the game. Whirling Dervish is an Irish Raider who ran well in this race 12 months ago, but comes into this in much poorer form. Remastered has another crack over hurdles after running some nice races over fences, and could be well handicapped for the in form David Pipe yard. Serious Charges will more than likely be fancied to run well, he's the unexposed horse in the race, recording 3/3 wins this season over hurdles and is just a 5yo.

Aintree 2:25

WALKING ON AIR isn't my normal kind of bet in a Grade 1, coming on the back of just the one hurdle run, but he was extremely impressive that day, and looks like another potential superstar for Nicky Henderson. He won a fairly weak race at Newbury on hurdles debut, but the manner he did it, beating a now 122 rated horse like he wasn't there and not getting out first gear was visually impressive.

This well bred 5yo Gelding looks to have the stamina based on his pedigree, being my a very talented Mare who stayed 3m and was dual Grade 1 winner. He comes into this race nice and fresh, which seems to suit him best based on his two runs to date. His run on rules debut in a Kempton bumper has been franked quite a bit since. Shallwehaveonemore was the winner that day, went on to become a very useful novice hurdler, before being fatally injured in his last run. That horse was a 133 rated, and went close in a Grade 2 hurdles race. The fourth at Kempton was a Mare called Lutinebella, who finished 3rd in the Mares' Bumper Grade 2 on Thursday. So there is some substance in the limited amount of form we have. I think it says it all when Nicky has entered him into a Grade 1 on the back of one run, and when he does that, I think we have a serious horse on our hands. The ground should be fine, based on his runs to date and his pedigree. He is short enough in the market, and I wouldn't want to be getting involved at any lower than 3/1.

Touching on the others, Three Stripe Life brings the best form into this with his 2nd in the Ballymore behind Sir Gerhard. If fit and ready, he's the one to beat, but he's had a fair amount of tough races this year, so he can be dodged. Good Risk At All was Sam Thomas' banker of the week entering Cheltenham, but didn't manage to get a run, so has to be respected but the ground looks to have gone against him now. I thought Stage Star was interesting back on a flat track and a sounder surface, he would be my EW play in the race.

Aintree 4:15

I am happily surprised to see the odds of KILLER KANE being as big as they currently are (around 10s), as I expected him to be close to or being favourite. At those prices he is a cracking EW bet in this.

Like I've said throughout the last few days, there's quite a few coming into this on the back of a Cheltenham run, which isn't ideal for me and I think you can look elsewhere. Shan Blue is the favourite, and I can see why. He has similar vibes to Langer Dan, and will have hit punters out in force. He clearly doesn't like Cheltenham, and does prefer a flat track, like Aintree. He could be thrown in on his handicap mark of 148, but he looked a tired horse at Cheltenham, and I think it would have left it's mark on him. If we're being brutally honest, the Charlie Hall he would've won at Wetherby, wasn't a strong race if you take out the below par run of Cyrname, the horses in behind aren't that great for that kind of race, or aren't running over the correct trip, so I think his RPR of 166 is quite flattering from that race.

Killer Kane strikes me as a horse who just does what he needs to do to win, which is an owners dream, as it means he doesn't go up much in the handicap when he wins and he'll win a fair few along the way. The drying ground looks to suit, as he handles a quicker surface shown by his recent wins, and the flat track will also suit. Carrying 10st 2lbs in this is a huge bonus, and with the yard going great guns at the moment, I think he is a brilliant each-way bet. The tongue tie seems to have worked wonders for him, being 2/2 since being applied, and they remain for this.

Aintree 5:15

RUN WILD FRED

his horse has given the impression he is and out-and-out stayer, a horse who plods around the track. He ran well at Cheltenham in the NH Chase, where he finished 2nd to Stattler, who looks a quality animal over the staying trips. He is a winner on good ground, so will enjoy the conditions. The fences are a concern, but he jumped very well at Cheltenham, which are stiff fences, so there is a strong chance he'll take to the National fences. I don't think he was getting tired at Cheltenham last time out, it was more the fact Stattler had more gears and was a better horse, despite that he was still hitting the line strongly to my eye and I think he could run a big race in this. Definitely an EW player if taking to the fences, and has the master jockey Davy Russell on board.

ECLAIR SURF

Another horse who has gained a lot of traction in the build up to this race. It looked like at time that he wasn't going to get a run as he was a reserve, but due to non runners he gets his chance. I think he could run a huge race off a very low weight. This horse runs from the front, which means he'll avoid the trouble of fallers and being inconvenienced. He ran a belter to finish 2nd to Win My Wings in the Eider, with that horse going on to win the Scottish National, and he was giving him 11lbs that day. He'll stay the trip, and the only question is the fences. I think he is one of the better bets in the race, and could run a blinder.

Related Topics: Racing Tips Aintree
Horse Racing Tips
Saint D'oroux
Aintree - 1:45 pm

20/1 @ Bet365

Walking On Air
Aintree - 2:25 pm

10/3 @ Bet365

Killer Kane
Aintree - 4:15 pm

10/1 @ Bet365

Run Wild Fred
Aintree - 5:15 pm

18/1 @ Bet365

Eclair Surf
Aintree - 5:15 pm

12/1 @ Bet365

28 Comments
  1. dazzman1979 2 years ago

    5:00 Thirsk – Fircombe hall 12/1 e/w

    • dazzman1979 2 years ago

      The National- Santini 50/1 e/w

      1
    • dazzman1979 2 years ago

      1:37 Newcastle- sir appollo 9/2

    • dazzman1979 2 years ago

      50/1 place not such a bad day after all ! Thanks Santini 😘💰

  2. dazzman1979 2 years ago

    3:08 Bangor on Dee – daranova 3/1 💰

  3. elvis parsley 2 years ago

    Posted yesterday

    Schoolboy hours just got into the national as a 2nd reserve.
    Could this be a quiz question in future, which horse won after sneaking in as a reserve ??
    Went off favourite for the Kim Muir at Cheltenham when pulled up when pulled up so is no donkey and races off 10-5 tomorrow.

    I’ve taken 33-1 ew 7 places to go with my main pick longhouse poet 16-1 also 7 places

  4. elvis parsley 2 years ago

    Srelighonn 12-05 auteuil 🇫🇷
    6-1
    7-4 top 2 finish.

    Saint riquier 2-25 aintree
    33-1 ew extra 7 places.
    100-1 ew 4 places.

    Symbolize 2-40 Thirsk 5-2
    Won in this class here last year.

    Thyme hill 3-35 aintree 11-4 NAP.🏇.
    Won this last year, flooring porter went to punchestown after Cheltenham last year and was pulled up, hoping same happens today.

    Bois dargent 3-42 Lyon 🇫🇷
    11-2
    5-4 top 3 finish

    1
  5. jwpepper 2 years ago

    1345 Remastered 13/2 Christopher Wood 33/1 E/W 7 Places
    1425 Good Risk It All 6/1
    1500 1st Edwardstone 2nd Third Time Lucki
    1535 Flooring Porter 6/4
    1615 Didero Vallis 33/1 E/W 6 Places
    1715 Any Second Now 10/1 Delta Work 10/1 Fortescue 22/1 E/W Two For Gold 40/1 E/W 7 Places
    1820 Western Zephyr 18/1 E/W 4 Places
    Double figure odds could be done E/W

    1
  6. double carpet 2 years ago

    Not a bad day yesterday, my treble landed and Gelino Bello won well at quoted odds of 6/1 but I was disappointed with Five Star Getaway’s run. I missed the start of the race and haven’t relooked at it yet so not sure if he was hampered or just simply wasn’t a going day. I wouldn’t give up on him as I believe he’s well h’capped.
    Well done Elvis, plug, Jwpepper and all other winners yesterday.

    1.45
    A total headscratcher to start the day off with many of these running at Cheltenham and on revised terms it should be a closely run race if they run to form.
    Current fav Winter Fog would have been 4lbs better off with Third Wind (NR) for 3 3/4L and on this flatter track I think he would have turned the form around. He’s also by Fleminsfirth who has sired the winner of this race twice before.
    However at more attractive odds I’ve had a small play on 2.
    Dan’s Le Vent ran in the ’21 Coral Cup when finishing 8th. He then came to Aintree and finished 2nd to Tronador with a certain Edwardstone back in 3rd.
    This year he finished 10th in the Coral and is taking the same path in coming to Aintree albeit stepping up in trip. This race has been won a number of times in the past by horses stepping up.
    Currently 12/1 with 5 places.
    The other is the bottom weight Pounding Poet who has run twice here in the past finishing 2nd on both occasions. He’s also stepping up in trip and hopefully it will suit.
    I took 33’s last night currently 28s with 5 places.

    2.25
    Three Stripe Life 3/1
    Deserves to have his head in front having looked at Sir Gerhard’s arse for most of the season. Walking on Air falls into the could be anything bracket but takes a big step up in class today and I’m hoping TSL can win.

    3.35
    It’s hard to see either CHAMP or Thyme Hill turning the tables on Flooring Porter. He’s proved he’s a more mature horse this year and handled the crowds at Cheltenham aswell as any other horse. He also keeps finding more.
    However, he ran a stinker at Punchestown after winning at Cheltenham last year and that has to be a concern. He will also have Ashdale Bob in the field who also likes to be up there and they might just take each other on playing into the hands of champ or Thyme Hill so I’m happy to let this race run and it will be a watch for me.

    4.15
    Espoir De Romay 9/1 ew
    Would have beaten Chantry House here last year but for falling.
    Kim Bailey won the race last year with the top weight and I’d imagine this has been the plan all campaign.

    Grand National

    I’ve gone for 4 in the race

    Any Second Now 10/1
    I had him last year and he was desperately unlucky not to win. He’s 7lbs higher this year but if getting a clearer run must go close.

    Enjoy D’alen 14/1
    Recent purchase for JP. Is 6lbs better off with School Boy Hours for the run earlier in the season and has been consistent all season.

    Run Wild Fred 18/1
    Owes me big time after the NHC and Irish National last year.
    Doesn’t have the gears of some in the race but will be up with the pace and will gallop all day.

    Dingo Dollar 66/1
    Just a small play just to have an outsider on board. Again has run well in h’cacp all season and jumps well.

    BOL

    4
  7. recoba 2 years ago

    Great weekend of sport, try not go nuts!
    with my £s!

    Trixie for Aintree…

    Walking on Air..2.25. 4/1
    Flooring Porter…3.35. 7/4
    Shan Blue…4.15 3/1

    Taking my £5 free bets on Scottish National winner I backed last year Mighty Thunder 40/1 and Fiddlerotheroof 16/1.
    £1 odd Ew on Burrows Saint 25/1 and Bahama Bull 125/1

    🇺🇸 🐎
    Great racing stateside tonight!
    Trackers gone crazy with 3 races having 2 horses noted running in the same races and 3 in ‘Woodland Memorial Stakes!
    I’ll figure them later but Morello in the Woodlands for me.
    Aquaduct -R8 …Morello. 13/8. Hacked up on only 3rd run and a tough race tonight but like Nest last night I expect him to boost his Kentucky Derby credentials with a win here.. I’m on both 16/1(Nest now 4/1) and it’ll be about 4/1 himself if he wins tonight!
    Santa Anita-R6..Messier. 10/11 (backed this for Kentucky to but 2 in this and to short a price for race like this although hopefully hoses home im taking it in double with Morello pays 4.1/1. Bet365
    Wee R/Fc with other Forbidden Kingdom 4-3.

    GL all today

    • recoba 2 years ago

      Oh and wee bet with my 3 in Aquaduct -R8
      Cheeky Trifecta… 5-3-1! Or go a combination tricast , small stakes ;)

  8. recoba 2 years ago

    🇫🇷 🐎
    Auteil..11.35
    The train has sailed on Hawai De Burlais price but see it was best 4/6 anyway so never great but to win by 2l would been okay at around 6/5 or better.

    Go a few Francs on the forecast.
    3-1
    Pays near 4/1 Bet365

    • recoba 2 years ago

      Pi$$
      Next 2 favs obliged in France as well!

  9. azzthewigan 2 years ago

    emitom 1.45 ew colonel mustard 2.25 for pleasure 3.00 ashdale bob 3.35 empire steel 4.15 delta work 5.15 well done all winners yesterday

  10. cc 2 years ago

    National
    Commodore
    33/1

    1
  11. theplug 2 years ago

    Terrible run from winter fog .
    my 4 for the national
    Mighty Thunder 28/1 ew
    Mount Ida 66/1 ew
    Roman de senam 150/1 ew
    Run Wild Fred 14/1 ew
    good luck everyone

    1
  12. theplug 2 years ago

    Another bites the dust 🤮

    1
    • dazzman1979 2 years ago

      And another one does and another one does another one bites the dust 😂

  13. dazzman1979 2 years ago

    3:35 Aintree- Thomas derby 20/1

    2
  14. theplug 2 years ago

    3:35 Aintree- Thomas derby 20/1

  15. dazzman1979 2 years ago

    Loose change lucky 15 for Wolverhampton tonight

    6:30 red verdon 4/1

    7:00 Amalfi salsa 10/3

    7:30 red bravo 11/1

    8:30 the resdev way 5/2

    😂

    1
    • dazzman1979 2 years ago

      A neck second 🤬 can’t they just call it a draw 😂

      1
  16. spurs55 2 years ago

    sorry me and my numbers

    28 wins the national
    then 12 wins the last at 28-1

    bloody coincidences !!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!

  17. azzthewigan 2 years ago

    gearings piont 7.00 Lexington bullet 7.30 ew well done all winners today

  18. recoba 2 years ago

    🇬🇧 🐎 2x 2nds and pulled up for the Trixie. Usual pants as always in the Grand National!

    🐎🇺🇸
    Onwards with plenty Group racing stateside live!

    Aquaduct -R8 …Morello. 13/8. Hacked up on only 3rd run and a tough race tonight but like Nest last night I expect him to boost his Kentucky Derby credentials with a win here.. I’m on both 16/1(Nest now 4/1) and it’ll be about 4/1 himself if he wins tonight!
    Cheeky Trifecta… 5-3-1! Or go a combination tricast,small stakes)
    Santa Anita-R6..Messier. 10/11(now 11/10)
    Double with Morello pays 4.1/1. Bet365 but 5/1 + now.
    Wee R/Fc with other Forbidden Kingdom 4-3.

    Canadian and few more singles
    I placed it earlier and on now so I’m sticking with them.

    Aquaduct -R8… Morello 13/8(as above but now 2/1,double Messier who’s drifted too an both friendless with the experts!)
    Speakers Corner. 6/5(* very impressive last 2 runs keeps improving)
    Classy Edition 5/2(looks overpriced after good 2nd to Kathleen O that won easily again last weekend,might single later?)
    Keeneland R6…Spendarella. 6/5(should get us up and running but just reading trainers turf record,it’s $hit? Gafflione on board but!)
    R7…Lady Rockett. 5/2(love this horse and back firing at his best trip and he’s rapid)

    GL all

    • recoba 2 years ago

      Bet365 is gone off grid!
      still down so nowt much else I can tinker with and probably or hopefully for the best!

    • dazzman1979 2 years ago

      All hands on deck to count the days profits I expect 😂

      1
  19. spurs55 2 years ago

    little bit on

    20:30 Wolverhampton – 1m4f Hcap

    Glencoe Boy
    22/1

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