The USA’s final group stage game at the 2026 World Cup sees them take on Turkey at SoFi Stadium in the early hours of Friday morning.
The two nations were widely tipped to fill the top two spots in Group D, however, things have not gone as many would have predicted.
The USA have certainly held up their end of the bargain, making an impressive start to their campaign with a 4-1 win over Paraguay, before following it up with a 2-0 victory over Australia last Friday night.
Those two wins mean Mauricio Pochettino’s side have secured qualification for the round of 32 with a game to spare and are guaranteed to finish top of the group.
Turkey, on the other hand, have come away empty-handed from both of their opening matches, losing 2-0 to Australia before going down 1-0 to Paraguay.
Consequently, Vincenzo Montella’s side were among the first nations to be eliminated from the 2026 World Cup and therefore come into their final fixture with nothing but pride to play for.
How the bookies view it: Another USA success in store
The pre-match odds suggest the USA will continue their strong start to the 2026 World Cup by making it three wins from three, with the co-hosts 10/11 favourites with bet365.
Turkey are as big as 5/2 to sign off from the tournament with a victory, while a share of the spoils at SoFi Stadium is priced at 31/10.
Head-to-head: Turkey targeting more delight
While fixtures between these two nations have been few and far between, they did meet in a friendly last year, where Turkey ran out 2-1 winners. The same scoreline here can be backed at 12/1 with bet365.
Players to watch: Weah worth a look
Timothy Weah may get the nod for the USA with rotation likely from the co-hosts. The USA forward had two shots off the bench against Paraguay, making a repeat here an attractive angle at 4/5 with bet365.
Arda Guler has been fouled eight times in his two World Cup appearances so far. Backing him to be fouled at least twice during this contest holds plenty of appeal at 11/10 with bet365.
Predicted line-ups
Turkey could be without Yunus Akgun, but aside from that Vincenzo Montella could have a full squad to select from.
As for the USA, wholesale changes are widely expected to their starting XI, with attention already turning to the round of 32. That is likely to see Christian Pulisic and Tyler Adams among those rested for this one.
Turkey: Cakir; Muldur, Demiral, Kabak, Kadioglu; Ozcan, Calhanoglu; Akgun, Guler, Yildiz; Gul
USA: Freese; Scally, McKenzie, Trusty, Arfsten; Roldan, Berhalter; Weah, Reyna, Zendejas; Pepi
Anything else catch the eye?
Of the three outcomes in the 1×2 market, the value could lie with the draw here at 31/10.
The USA are likely to field a weakened side, but there will still be an expectation from the home crowd that they put in a performance, while Turkey will also be keen to head home with at least a measure of pride.
There have been a number of 1-1 draws throughout the World Cup thus far, and another here could be worth a punt at 7/1 on bet365.
More correct score odds are available on our best mobile apps for World Cup betting.
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