Cairnzy will be covering Monday's racing, with Rizz returning tomorrow evening with Tuesday’s card.
Rizz will be disappointed with the performance of his sole selection yesterday. Bloom never really picked up in the business end, finding very little to finish a well-beaten seventh in the end.
Another Abbot 10/3 – Windsor 19.00
For my main fancy on Monday, I’ve opted for the William Haggas trained Another Abbot, who, despite being the market favourite for this contest, I still thought the 10/3 on offer at the time of writing was good value for this horse. I do expect this price to shorten overnight and throughout Monday afternoon, so I suggest taking the early price.
Fourteen runners go to post for this Class 3 handicap over 6f, but I don’t believe this race is as competitive as the numbers would suggest.
My selection was last seen winning at Yarmouth under today’s same jockey, Tom Marquand. I caught a replay of the race, and I thought it was a cracking effort. He made smooth headway when approaching the business end. He went on to lead within the final furlong and showed a good attitude to defend against the challenge of the market favourite towards the line.
That performance has put my selection up to an OR of 87, but I don’t believe Another Abbot has hit his ceiling just yet. Furthermore, the form of that outing looks the best on offer by some margin, with the runner-up romping home by just over 4L on its following outing.
Hint Of The Jungle 5/2 – Chepstow 16.03
The quality of racing on Monday is quite poor, and I’ve found myself studying through Class 6 contests on a Sunday night. Not ideal, but we go with it anyway!
The horse that stood out to me as a solid enough bet was Hint Of Jungle for trainer Mike Murphy. The form of the yard is quite poor at present, but from his recent runners, Hint Of Jungle looks like the one who could get him on the board. My selection has hit the crossbar three times in his last three runs, going down by short margins on each of those three occasions. His last two wins have come over 6f, but connections have opted to step him back up to 7f, which is notably the distance he last won over back in February of last year.
Connections have booked Rossa Ryan for the ride on this occasion, who replaces Kieran O’Neil and Rob Hornby, who have been on board recently. Rossa is strong in the finish, and he could be just the man to get Hint Of Jungle back in the winners' enclosure.
GambleAware
Morning C+R. If you guys were looking at Chepstow I thought you’d possibly have went with a James Owen runner. He’s got a 45% strike rate at the track. 5 wins from 11. You have to be watching out for these.
I’m on Moostar ew at 11/2 in the 3.30 .
I’ll give you really briefly why I’m on, apart from the trainer course stat.
• Reunited partnership of Jason Hart and Moostar. He’s ridden this filly 6 times. He was on board for her only win. All these rides were when she was trained by Darryll Holland. Jason Hart doesn’t ride much for J.O. He’s had 14 rides with 3 wins from them.
• Switching back to a visor today from cheekpieces which they experimented with last run. The two runs she’s had in the visor she was beaten a short head at Wolverhampton, then bumped into a progressive one, at Catterick, that had won 3 of previous 4 races. The form of that race is standing out. The 3rd that day was beaten a nose next run, the 5th won next run and also the 6th won next time out
• Dropped back to 5f today. The Catterick run was over 5f.
• Eased 1lb by the handicapper today.
So the reason for the bet was Jason Hart reunited, drop back to 5f, switch back to a visor and slightly eased by the handicapper.
For me it had to be backed at 11/2. It’s obviously been backed this morning. Best now is 4-1. I’d still possibly back it at that price but it might drift back out as the favourite has a fair bit going for it.
Good luck today guys hope your own bets win. Consider doubling one of them with mine for a good payout.
Mark Walford has Bay Dream Believer entered at Ripon this week. Runs really well at the track. Don’t forget the yard have a 40% strike rate there last 12 month.
Apologies lads I obviously meant Jason Watson, not Jason Hart. It’s because Jason Hart rides Bay Dream Believer for Mark Walford this week. I was going to mention they are the magic combination at Ripon. They have around an 75% strike rate when combining at Ripon.
In my defence I’m almost 80 years old so you can forgive my ‘senior moments’ as my wife used to say lol.
Just noticed Moostar is actually challenging for favouritism now. The money has really come in now. Not sure if that’s just the course stat everyone will be jumping on or not. But my reasoning was a good pointer imo. It will likely drift back out though if either of you are looking to back it. Have a great day gentlemen