Liverpool welcome Manchester City to Anfield on Sunday in one of the standout fixtures of the Premier League weekend, and my Bet of the Day focuses on Florian Wirtz's attacking involvement rather than the match result.
⚽️ Liverpool vs Man City
🏴 Premier League
⏰ Saturday 11 October, 16:30
Wirtz has made an encouraging start to his Premier League campaign, with his shooting statistics providing a strong argument for backing him to register at least two attempts against Manchester City.
The Liverpool midfielder has recorded two or more shots in all five league appearances covered by the supplied match data, producing individual totals of three, two, two, three and two.
That gives him 12 shots across 403 minutes, averaging 2.4 attempts per appearance and approximately 2.68 shots per 90 minutes.
Importantly, Wirtz has cleared this betting line in every recorded appearance, including matches where he played just 63 and 71 minutes. That suggests he does not necessarily require a full 90 minutes to produce the two attempts needed.
Manchester City will provide a demanding test, and Liverpool may have fewer opportunities than against weaker opposition. However, the selection does not require Wirtz to score or even hit the target. Any two attempts count towards the bet.
At 8/11, the odds imply a 57.9% probability of success. Wirtz's five-from-five record is encouraging, although that sample alone does not establish his true probability against Manchester City.
Assuming he starts in his usual attacking role, the available shooting data make this an appealing player-prop selection.
Bet of the Day: Florian Wirtz Over 1.5 Shots at 8/11 with Bet365
The Betting Desk is run by Neil Potter. Neil built and refined all of the site’s data models, helping it grow into a trusted source of analysis across the Premier League, EFL and major tournaments. His models track key metrics, long term trends and areas where market prices move away from underlying performance.
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