Welcome back to MFT’s 10-1,000 betting challenge, where we aim for a 100x return on the original investment via a small stake betting strategy, prioritising low risk and low odds en route to a long-term target.
We completed the challenge last time out and how route to 1,000 can be found here: MFT 10 – 1000 Betting Challenge: Complete: This is how we did it.
We have now won our last 25 bets across the two challenges.
While this column is dedicated to high-probability tips, there is no guarantee of profit. If playing along, you should consider your own budget and confidence in the tip provided, and make your own decision whether to follow, cash out or continue at every stage. 18+, please gamble responsibly.
We will use a unit system for our stakes, allowing readers to set their own unit value that suits their own budget. For the sake of simplicity, for us, 1 unit = £1.
We will continue to transparently track our progress as far as we go on the path to 1,000, but will refresh our main tracking stake back to the starting point every time we surpass 100 units – a 10x ROI. As per our own rules we reset the betting balance back to 100 units on Bet17.
For the sake of consistency, all tips are placed using odds from bet365. It worth pointing out that with Bet365 we can paid out if our selection goes into a lead by two or more goals.
We backed over 1.5 goals at West Ham vs Wrexham last night and the game ended 6-0 so another winner in the bag.
Bet 4 – Crystal Palace vs Ipswich Town – Saturday 12th September at 3pm
Crystal Palace and Ipswich meet at Selhurst Park on Saturday afternoon, with both sides looking to build on mixed starts to the Premier League season.
Palace collected their first victory by coming from behind twice to beat Fulham 3-2. Tyrick Mitchell scored both equalisers before Ben Chilwell completed the turnaround. The win followed defeats against Everton and Manchester City.
Ipswich have followed a similar path. They opened with a 2-1 victory over Sunderland before losing 5-2 at Manchester United and 2-0 against Liverpool. Gary O'Neil felt two early mistakes decided the Liverpool game, although his team competed well after Alexander Isak's quick double.
The underlying numbers support another contest containing two or more goals. Palace matches average 3.78 xG, built from 1.11 xG for and 2.67 xGA. Ipswich fixtures average 3.13, with the visitors producing 1.12 xG and allowing 2.01.
Neither team has kept a clean sheet. Palace concede 15.3 shots inside the box per game, while Ipswich allow 3.7 big chances. At the other end, Palace create 4.3 big opportunities and Ipswich have scored four goals.
Both teams have seen over 1.5 goals land in every league match. The defensive volume on each side provides more than one route towards this selection.
- Bet: Over 1.5 match goals
- Odds: 2/9
- Bank: 17.59 units returns 21.49
The Betting Desk is run by Neil Potter. Neil built and refined all of the site’s data models, helping it grow into a trusted source of analysis across the Premier League, EFL and major tournaments. His models track key metrics, long term trends and areas where market prices move away from underlying performance.
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