The Betting Desk is run by Neil Potter. Neil built and refined all of the site’s data models, helping it grow into a trusted source of analysis across the Premier League, EFL and major tournaments. His models track key metrics, long term trends and areas where market prices move away from underlying performance.
Posted on: 21 Aug 2026
Last Player Standing is a betting competition where a group of people each put in a stake and predict one team to win in a competition each week. If that team wins, they progress into the next round, if they draw or lose, they are eliminated. Each team can only be picked once throughout the game; eg, if you pick […]
Posted on: 20 Aug 2026
Everton host Crystal Palace at the Hill Dickinson Stadium on Saturday, with kick-off at 3pm. David Moyes begins his second full season at Everton’s new home against a Palace side starting life under Pierre Sage following a disruptive summer. Everton recorded W6-D5-L8 19 home matches last season, scoring 26 goals and conceding 27. Their performances were built around a defence […]
Posted on: 20 Aug 2026
Portman Road will host Ipswich Town and Sunderland on Saturday, with kick-off at 3pm. Ipswich begin their first season back in the Premier League after winning promotion from the Championship, while Sunderland look to build on a seventh-place finish that exceeded most expectations. Ipswich bounced straight back following relegation and produced the strongest home numbers in the Championship. Their 49.92 […]
Posted on: 20 Aug 2026
Welcome back to MFT’s 10-1,000 betting challenge, where we aim for a 100x return on the original investment via a small stake betting strategy, prioritising low risk and low odds en route to a long-term target. While this column is dedicated to high-probability tips, there is no guarantee of profit. If playing along, you should consider your own budget and […]
Posted on: 20 Aug 2026
Not the perfect start to the season, but not a disaster either. One selection landed, one didn’t, and a promising lead elsewhere evaporated late on, turning what looked a certain winner into a stake back instead of a payout. Frustrating, but part of the game. This week brings three fresh angles built entirely on what actually happened last weekend, real […]
Posted on: 19 Aug 2026
We already see a number of bookmakers offering punters some great prizes for correctly guessing six scores in upcoming Premier League games. With that in mind, we have decided to take up the Super 6 Challenge. Here are this week’s selections. Our Super 6 Challenge predictions Everton vs Crystal Palace David Moyes built a solid defensive base at Everton last season, with […]
Posted on: 19 Aug 2026
Arsenal ended their 22-year wait for the Premier League title last season, finishing seven points clear of Manchester City on 85 and lifting the trophy for the first time since 2003/04. Mikel Arteta’s side recorded 26 wins and the best goal difference in the division, with defensive control playing as important a role as their attacking output. City remained in […]
Posted on: 19 Aug 2026
Two of the biggest stories from this summer’s League One preview coverage meet at Hillsborough on Thursday evening, with Sheffield Wednesday hosting Bradford City at 8pm in front of more than 30,000 supporters. Wednesday’s rebuilt squad following the takeover faces a settled Bradford side that reached the play-offs last season, with both teams unbeaten and confident after winning their opening […]
Posted on: 19 Aug 2026
Brighton and Hove Albion begin their season inside the Arctic Circle on Thursday, when they face Tromso at the Romssa Arena in the first leg of their UEFA Conference League qualifying play-off. The game kicks off at 18:00 BST, with Brighton facing a side that sit third in the Eliteserien behind Viking and Bodo/Glimt. Jorgen Vik’s team reached this stage […]
Posted on: 18 Aug 2026
Modern football produces more data than ever before, with every pass, tackle, shot and chance tracked across almost every major competition, but collecting those numbers is the easy part. The value comes from understanding what they tell you, what they don’t, and how much weight you should give them when making a betting decision. Every price on a football coupon […]
Posted on: 17 Aug 2026
MrFixIt’s Big Acca is a confidence-ranked accumulator built to give you control over risk. Selections are ordered from strongest to weakest based on form, matchup, and underlying performance. You decide where to stop. From the third selection onward, the cumulative odds update at every step, allowing you to lock in a sensible acca or keep building toward a bigger return. This midweek sees me […]
Posted on: 17 Aug 2026
Welcome back to MFT’s 10-1,000 betting challenge, where we aim for a 100x return on the original investment via a small stake betting strategy, prioritising low risk and low odds en route to a long-term target. While this column is dedicated to high-probability tips, there is no guarantee of profit. If playing along, you should consider your own budget and […]
Posted on: 16 Aug 2026
Welcome back to MFT’s 10-1,000 betting challenge, where we aim for a 100x return on the original investment via a small stake betting strategy, prioritising low risk and low odds en route to a long-term target. While this column is dedicated to high-probability tips, there is no guarantee of profit. If playing along, you should consider your own budget and […]
Posted on: 15 Aug 2026
I have spent last season tracking every Premier League match through my own model, logging xG, xPTS, shots and many underlying metrics, for and against, home and away, across all 20 clubs. Now the season is over, I have gone back through the data and compared it with the actual final tables, overall, home and away, to find where the […]
Posted on: 15 Aug 2026
Brian Barry-Murphy’s academy-led Cardiff rebuild gets its first Championship test on Monday evening, with Wrexham visiting Cardiff City Stadium after a season in which their results significantly outperformed their underlying numbers. Kick off is 8pm. Cardiff return to the Championship after winning promotion from League One, with their 75.01 xPTS ranking seventh in the division. Their promotion was built heavily […]
Posted on: 15 Aug 2026
Welcome back to MFT’s 10-1,000 betting challenge, where we aim for a 100x return on the original investment via a small stake betting strategy, prioritising low risk and low odds en route to a long-term target. While this column is dedicated to high-probability tips, there is no guarantee of profit. If playing along, you should consider your own budget and […]
Posted on: 14 Aug 2026
This pre-season I built a full Premier League season simulation model from scratch. The aim is simple, estimate where every club is likely to finish in 2026/27 and identify where those probabilities disagree most strongly with the bookmakers. What the Premier League model actually does The model runs a Dixon Coles style Monte Carlo simulation. Rather than trying to predict […]
Posted on: 14 Aug 2026
Sunday brings one of the most interesting fixtures of the Championship’s opening weekend, with Southampton travelling to Vicarage Road to face Watford at 1.30pm. Watford finished 16th last season on 57 points, well below their 68.02 xPTS. That gap needs context. They were only three points outside the automatic promotion places on New Year’s Day before taking just 16 points […]
Posted on: 14 Aug 2026
Nicky Hayen gets his first competitive look at Championship opposition on Sunday when West Ham United travel to Turf Moor (4pm kick off), with James Ward-Prowse facing the club where he spent last season on loan. Burnley finished 19th in the Premier League last season with 22 points, almost exactly matching their 21.49 xPTS. Their form deteriorated too, with just […]
Posted on: 14 Aug 2026
Last week was tough going, one winner from our three headline picks, but the numbers tell a kinder story than the results did. Carlisle dominated almost every metric going at home to Worthing and still came away with nothing, while Fylde were made to settle for a point after conceding late against Wealdstone. It’s still early days, not enough matches […]
Posted on: 13 Aug 2026
Birmingham City travel to Bramall Lane to play Sheffield United on Saturday, kicking off at 5.30pm, as both clubs begin their 2026/27 Championship campaigns. Sheffield United finished 13th last season on 60 points, but their underlying numbers suggest Chris Wilder’s side deserved considerably more. Their 74.24 xPTS was one of the larger gaps between performance and results anywhere in the […]
Posted on: 13 Aug 2026
Welcome back to MFT’s 10-1,000 betting challenge, where we aim for a 100x return on the original investment via a small stake betting strategy, prioritising low risk and low odds en route to a long-term target. While this column is dedicated to high-probability tips, there is no guarantee of profit. If playing along, you should consider your own budget and […]
Posted on: 13 Aug 2026
It’s great to be back with my EFL column for another season after finishing last year with 28.82 units of profit and an 18.59% ROI. A full breakdown of every bet from the column is available through my X handle. The opening weekend gives us three selections across Saturday and Sunday. Burnley and West Ham meet at Turf Moor after […]
Posted on: 12 Aug 2026
Wolverhampton Wanderers host Blackburn Rovers at Molineux on Friday with a 8pm start, as the 2026/27 Championship season begins and Wolves start life back in the second tier for the first time in nine years. Wolves finished bottom of the Premier League last season with only 20 points and 27 goals, the lowest scoring return in the division. Their 38.8 […]
Posted on: 09 Aug 2026
Welcome back to MFT’s 10-1,000 betting challenge, where we aim for a 100x return on the original investment via a small stake betting strategy, prioritising low risk and low odds en route to a long-term target. While this column is dedicated to high-probability tips, there is no guarantee of profit. If playing along, you should consider your own budget and […]
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