Welcome back to MFT’s 10-1,000 betting challenge, where we aim for a 100x return on the original investment via a small stake betting strategy, prioritising low risk and low odds en route to a long-term target.
While this column is dedicated to high-probability tips, there is no guarantee of profit. If playing along, you should consider your own budget and confidence in the tip provided, and make your own decision whether to follow, cash out or continue at every stage. 18+, please gamble responsibly.
We will use a unit system for our stakes, allowing readers to set their own unit value that suits their own budget. For the sake of simplicity, for us, 1 unit = £1.
We will continue to transparently track our progress as far as we go on the path to 1,000, but will refresh our main tracking stake back to the starting point every time we surpass 100 units – a 10x ROI.
For the sake of consistency, all tips are placed using odds from bet365. It worth pointing out that with Bet365 we can paid out if our selection goes into a lead by two or more goals.
Arsenal got the job done for us yesterday with a 1-0 win. It was not the comfortable victory that we anticipated but a win is a win.
Bet 3 – Ipswich Town vs Bournemouth – Sunday 8th November at 14:00
Julio Enciso has established himself as one of Ipswich Town's most active attacking players this season, and his individual statistics provide a strong argument for backing him to register at least one shot and win at least one foul against Bournemouth on Sunday.
The Paraguayan has recorded a shot in eight of his nine Premier League appearances, giving him an 88.9% success rate. He has also been fouled at least once in every league match, a 100% record.
Enciso has been fouled 14 times across those nine appearances, averaging 1.56 fouls won per match. He has drawn at least two fouls in five games, representing 55.6%, while winning exactly one foul in the other four.
Crucially, both conditions have been met in eight of his nine appearances, meaning this combination has landed in 88.9% of his league games.
Enciso has registered 28 shots across 739 minutes, averaging 3.41 attempts per 90 minutes. Nine of those efforts have been on target, while his attacking involvement has generated 1.92 xG. His recent performances strengthen the case. Against Hull City, Enciso registered five shots, with two on target, and was fouled once. He also scored Ipswich's equaliser and created seven chances.
The previous league fixture against Nottingham Forest produced another four attempts, two shots on target and two fouls won. Enciso also found the net in that match. His shooting activity has remained consistent against different opponents. He registered six attempts against Liverpool, three against Manchester United and another three against Everton.
The only occasion when he failed to record a shot was against Manchester City, although he still won a foul during that appearance.
Enciso's movement and willingness to carry the ball into attacking areas make him a regular target for opposition challenges. His record of winning fouls in every appearance is particularly encouraging for this selection. With eight successful combinations from nine appearances, Enciso's individual numbers provide a strong statistical foundation for another shot and foul won against Bournemouth.
- Bet: Julio Enciso 1+ shot and 1+ foul won
- Odds: 1/5
- Bank: 13.54 units returns 16.25
The Betting Desk is run by Neil Potter. Neil built and refined all of the site’s data models, helping it grow into a trusted source of analysis across the Premier League, EFL and major tournaments. His models track key metrics, long term trends and areas where market prices move away from underlying performance.
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