Ipswich v Bournemouth
Ipswich Town

Ipswich Town vs AFC Bournemouth

, KO: 14:00 , Portman Road
AFC Bournemouth

Ipswich Town welcome Bournemouth to Portman Road on Sunday, with kick-off at 14:00, as two sides separated by just one point meet in the Premier League.

Gary O'Neil's Ipswich have shown encouraging attacking qualities during their opening nine league fixtures, but defensive problems continue to undermine their progress. The Tractor Boys have struggled to protect leads, while their inability to keep clean sheets has proved costly.

Bournemouth arrive in considerably stronger form. Marco Rose's side have won three consecutive Premier League matches without conceding, responding impressively to their earlier defensive difficulties.

Ipswich drew 2-2 at Hull City last weekend, with Julio Enciso scoring a late equaliser. The visitors created four big chances but failed to turn their attacking opportunities into victory. Their previous home fixture ended in a 1-1 draw against Nottingham Forest, another frustrating result for a side struggling to convert competitive performances into three points.

Bournemouth continued their winning sequence with a 2-0 victory over Leeds United. They followed an impressive 3-0 success at Manchester United with another controlled defensive performance.

The visitors also defeated Sunderland during their recent run, demonstrating a growing ability to manage matches after taking the lead.

Ipswich's defensive problems provide Bournemouth with an opportunity to extend their winning sequence, although the hosts have shown enough attacking promise to make this a competitive encounter.

How the bookies view it

Bournemouth are favourites at 19/20, representing an implied probability of 51.3%, while Ipswich Town are available at 3/1. The draw is priced at 14/5.

Both teams to score is available at 4/6, with the alternative offered at 11/8.

Over 2.5 goals is priced at 3/4, representing an implied probability of 57.1%, while under 2.5 goals is available at 6/5.

Head to head

The last two Premier League meetings between these clubs finished 2-1, with the away side winning on both occasions.

Bournemouth secured victory at Portman Road in December 2024 after Ipswich had led until the closing stages. The visitors scored twice late on, with Dango Ouattara completing the comeback in stoppage time.

Ipswich reversed the result at the Vitality Stadium in April 2025. Nathan Broadhead and Liam Delap established a two-goal advantage before Evanilson reduced the deficit.

Both encounters featured goals from each side, although the current teams have undergone significant changes since those meetings.

Player to watch: Julio Enciso to continue his form

Julio Enciso has been one of Ipswich's most productive attacking players this season, contributing two goals and creating 14 chances across nine Premier League appearances.

The Paraguayan has accumulated 1.92 xG and 2.10 xA in 739 minutes, demonstrating his involvement in both shooting opportunities and creating chances for teammates.

His shooting figures are particularly encouraging. Enciso has registered 28 attempts, averaging 3.41 shots per 90 minutes, with nine finding the target. His recent performances suggest his attacking influence is growing. Against Hull City, he scored once, registered five shots, placed two on target and created seven chances. He also contributed 0.44 xA.

Enciso was similarly involved against Nottingham Forest, recording four attempts, two shots on target and a goal.

Those two appearances produced nine shots and four efforts on target, highlighting his willingness to take responsibility in attacking positions.

His combination of shooting volume and chance creation makes him an important player for Ipswich against a Bournemouth defence which has been less convincing away from home.

Predicted lineups

Ipswich Town (4-2-3-1): Walton; Ouattara, O'Shea, Diop, Davis; Lukic, Palacios; Fatawu, Enciso, Philogene-Bidace; Emersonn.

Bournemouth (4-2-3-1): Petrovic; Smith, Hill, Silva, Truffert; Adams, Christie; Rayan, Kluivert, Tavernier; Evanilson.

🔍 X-pert tip from The Betting Desk
Don't know your xG from your xP? We've got you covered with our data-led X-pert tip!

MFT's X-pert tip: Both teams to score

Ipswich's attacking performances suggest goals are a stronger consideration than Bournemouth's chances of securing another away victory.

The hosts generated 1.12 xG from 15 shots in their latest 2-2 draw at Hull, creating four big chances. They also produced 2.65 xG from 17 attempts against Nottingham Forest but were held to a 1-1 draw.

Bournemouth arrive following a 2-0 victory over Leeds, although their attacking output was relatively modest. They generated 1.03 xG from 11 shots, with five on target and two big chances.

Their previous 3-0 victory at Manchester United was more convincing defensively, restricting the hosts to 1.26 xG despite facing 17 attempts.

Ipswich's chance creation suggests they should threaten Bournemouth, but their finishing and defensive inconsistency make a home victory difficult to trust.

The attacking evidence supports a match containing goals from both teams.

Anything else catch the eye?

Over 2.5 goals at 3/4 is the preferred selection, with Bournemouth's away record providing the strongest statistical argument. All four of Bournemouth's away Premier League matches have produced at least three goals, giving this selection a 100% success rate on their travels.

Those fixtures have featured 16 goals, averaging 4.00 per match. Bournemouth have scored seven and conceded nine, with both teams finding the net in three of those four encounters.

Their away attacking numbers include 4.36 xG, while they have allowed 5.27 xGA. These figures suggest opponents have consistently created opportunities against them, even when Bournemouth have produced positive results.

Ipswich's home record offers further encouragement. Their four matches at Portman Road have featured 10 goals, averaging 2.50 per fixture, with two finishing over 2.5.

The hosts have scored five and conceded five, while generating 4.32 xG and allowing 5.67 xGA. Their defensive numbers suggest Bournemouth should receive opportunities to extend their scoring record.

Across all nine league matches, Ipswich have finished over 2.5 goals on six occasions, representing 67%. Bournemouth have recorded five such results from nine fixtures, although their away record is considerably stronger for this particular market.

The visitors' three consecutive clean sheets are the main concern. Nevertheless, their away matches have consistently produced goals, while Ipswich's defensive figures suggest another open encounter.

At 3/4, the bookmaker's implied probability is 57.1%. The combined venue-specific evidence provides a statistical argument for backing at least three goals.

Ipswich Town vs AFC Bournemouth Betting Tips & Predictions
Over 2,5 goals
3/4
Bet365
Over 2.5 goals & BTTS
1/1
Coral
Enciso over 0.5 SOT & obver 1.5 shots
8/11
Bet365
Further Reading
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