We already see a number of bookmakers offering punters some great prizes for correctly guessing six scores in upcoming Premier League games.
With that in mind, we have decided to take up the Super 6 Challenge.
Here are this week's selections.
Our Super 6 Challenge predictions
Crystal Palace vs Arsenal
Arsenal's expected rotation remains the key angle here and it changes the defensive picture significantly. Even with changes to the starting lineup, Arsenal's underlying numbers across the season remain among the strongest in the division.
Their away xPTS of 14.07 across the last eight games ranks second in the league, while an away npxG average of 1.77 per game highlights a side capable of creating chances regardless of personnel.
Crystal Palace bring strong home numbers into the game. Their home xG battle win rate of 72.2% and 7.8 shots in the box per game across their last four home matches reflects a side creating consistent attacking pressure.
Palace have also generated five big chances while conceding only three across that period. Arsenal's likely rotation increases the chances of Palace finding the net, but Arsenal's depth and attacking quality should still prove enough to edge the game.
- Score 1-2 at 7/1 with Skybet
Man City vs Aston Villa
Manchester City hold the strongest home process of any side on the final day. Their home xPTS of 8.65 across their last four matches is the highest on Sunday's card, while averaging 2.10 xG and 12 shots in the box per game across that same period. Their home xG battle win rate of 94.4% is the highest in the division and their 79% touches in box ratio across the last eight games highlights complete territorial control.
Aston Villa arrive with only two points from their last four away matches, an away xPTS of 5.22 and an away xG battle win rate of 27.8%, the third lowest in the division. Villa's one positive area comes through chance quality, creating 13 big chances across their last eight away matches with a 93% big chances ratio.
Manchester City failing to keep a clean sheet across their last four home games gives Villa a route into the match, but the wider data around xG, xPTS, shots in the box and territorial dominance points strongly towards a home win.
- Score 3-1 at 17/2 with Skybet
West Ham vs Leeds United
West Ham's need to win creates the exact type of game Leeds will want. West Ham have an xPTS of 5.19 across their last four home matches, while six big chances conceded and only two clean sheets from 18 home games reflects a defence that has struggled throughout the season. Their home xG battle win rate of 50% also suggests they have not controlled games consistently despite home advantage.
Leeds arrive after losing only two of their last 12 matches and their style fits this game well. Their away xG of 0.85 across the last four away fixtures is not huge, but they have still created two big chances across that period and continue to find space in transition.
Leeds have scored in 12 of 18 away games this season and in eight of the last nine meetings between the sides. West Ham needing victory means players pushing forward and leaving space behind which may suit Leeds.
West Ham score through attacking intent but Leeds' stronger recent form and transition threat gives them the stronger case.
- Score 1-2 at 12/1 with Skybet
Spurs vs Everton
Spurs need only a draw to secure survival and their W2-D6-L10 home record reflects a side far more comfortable sharing points than winning at home. Their xPTS of 4.87 across the last four home matches is among the lowest on Sunday's card, while their home xG battle win rate of 38.9% is the lowest in the division.
The head to head numbers strongly support goals. The last 20 meetings have averaged 3.50 goals per game, while both teams have scored in 13 of those matches. Spurs have seen both teams score in 72% of home games this season and opponents have scored in 15 of 18 home matches.
Everton have created five big chances across their last four away matches and both teams have scored in each of those games. With Spurs unlikely to force the game aggressively and Everton arriving without pressure, the numbers support a competitive draw.
- Score 1-1 at 6/1 with Skybet
Liverpool vs Brentford
This stands out as one of the strongest upset angles on the final day. Liverpool's last four home matches have produced an xPTS of only 3.01, the second lowest of any home side, while they have created zero big chances and conceded eight.
Liverpool are also allowing 9.0 shots in the box per game across that period, reflecting a defence that has become increasingly vulnerable. Brentford by comparison have created 12 big chances across their last eight away matches and posted an away xPTS of 12.60.
Igor Thiago's 22 goals this season highlights the threat Brentford carry. Liverpool's four wins from 13 matches and likely rotation weakens them further, while Brentford still have European motivation.
Liverpool's home quality should still create chances, but Brentford's recent form and motivation supports the away side.
- Score 1-2 at 11/1 with Skybet
Brighton vs Manchester United
Brighton head into the final day needing victory to secure Europa League football and the underlying numbers strongly support them. Their xPTS of 9.28 across the last four home matches is the strongest home figure on Sunday's card, while conceding only 0.44 xGA per game.
Brighton have averaged 11.3 shots in the box per home game across their last four matches, the highest of any home side, while creating four big chances and conceding only one.
Manchester United's away xG battle win rate of 33.3% highlights their struggles controlling matches on the road, although their away npxG of 1.56 and low failed to score rate of 11% keeps them dangerous.
Brighton's motivation, home form and stronger underlying profile gives them the stronger case, although Manchester United still look capable of scoring.
- Score 2-1 at 7/1 with Skybet
The total odds for all six games are a massive 663,935/1 with Skybet, which may be worth a £1 stake for some fun. I am keen to back Spurs & Everton to see out a 1-1 draw and Man City to thump Villa 3-1. Combining these two games combined gives you odds of 65/1 with Skybet.
The Betting Desk is run by Neil Potter. Neil built and refined all of the site’s data models, helping it grow into a trusted source of analysis across the Premier League, EFL and major tournaments. His models track key metrics, long term trends and areas where market prices move away from underlying performance.
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