Sky Super 6 Challenge predictions: Bees to sting Vila as Spurs continue poor form

We already see a number of bookmakers offering punters some great prizes for correctly guessing six scores in upcoming Premier League games.

With that in mind, we have decided to take up the Super 6 Challenge.

Here are this week's selections.

Our Super 6 Challenge predictions

Chelsea vs Bournemouth

Chelsea's defensive record makes it difficult to trust them at a short price. Xabi Alonso's side have scored ten goals across five matches but conceded 12, with both teams finding the net in four. Their two fixtures at Stamford Bridge have produced 11 goals. Chelsea generated 4.44 xG and created eight big chances, but their opponents produced 2.65 xG and nine big opportunities.

Bournemouth have recorded a positive 7.60-6.13 xG balance. They have also created 14 big chances while allowing 11, showing a stronger process than their six-point return suggests. The visitors' two away matches both finished 2-1. Bournemouth have found the net in four of their five fixtures and should trouble a Chelsea defence which has allowed 51 shots inside the penalty area.

Chelsea carry the greater individual quality and have scored three times in both home matches. Bournemouth's attacking process gives them a strong route onto the scoresheet, but the hosts should edge an open contest.

• Score: Chelsea 2-1 Bournemouth at 7/1

Aston Villa vs Brentford

The underlying gap between these teams is wider than the early table suggests. Brentford rank sixth for xPTS with 8.17, while Aston Villa sit 17th on 4.75. Brentford have scored ten times from 9.78 xG. Their attack has generated 59 shots inside the box and 17 big chances, placing them among the Premier League's strongest creative sides.

Villa have scored four goals and conceded nine. They have generated only 4.66 xG while allowing 8.86 xGA, with opponents creating 19 big chances. Their home process is particularly weak. Villa have produced 1.49 xG and two big chances across two matches at Villa Park. Their opponents have accumulated 3.52 xG and eight big opportunities.

Brentford's away performances have been less convincing than their home displays, but they still hold a clear advantage in chance creation. Villa should find opportunities against a defence which has allowed 6.88 xGA overall, but the visitors possess greater attacking volume.

• Score: Aston Villa 1-2 Brentford at 8/1

Sunderland vs Brighton

Sunderland's latest performance provides a strong reason to expect goals. They lost 5-3 at Manchester City but generated 2.79 xG, attempted 17 shots and created eight big chances. Regis Le Bris's side have produced 9.31 xG and 20 big chances across five matches. Only six goals have followed, suggesting their attack has performed better than the results show.

Brighton have scored a league-high 16 goals from 10.97 xG. Their 63 shots inside the box and 22 big chances underline the quality and frequency of their attacking threat. Four of Brighton's five matches have produced at least three goals. Their two away fixtures ended in a 4-3 defeat at Chelsea and a 5-0 victory over Coventry.

Fabian Hurzeler must deal with several defensive absences, including Pascal Struijk, while Lewis Dunk remains doubtful. Sunderland are without Brian Brobbey, but Wilson Isidor offers a direct replacement. Brighton's finishing should decide the game, although Sunderland's chance production makes a clean sheet unlikely.

• Score: Sunderland 1-2 Brighton at 15/2

Manchester United vs Tottenham Hotspur

Manchester United's results have not fully reflected their underlying performances. Michael Carrick's side rank third for xPTS with 9.22 and second for total xG with 10.37. United have attempted 63 shots inside the penalty area and created 15 big chances. Their home numbers are stronger, with 5.25 xG generated and only 1.65 xGA allowed across two fixtures.

Tottenham have scored twice from five matches. Their away attack has failed to find the net, producing 1.75 xG and four big chances across defeats at Nottingham Forest and Everton. Spurs have allowed 8.35 xGA overall, while opponents have registered 50 shots inside their box. Those numbers create a difficult matchup against Bruno Fernandes, Matheus Cunha, Marcus Rashford and Bryan Mbeumo.

United have conceded in four matches, but Tottenham's lack of away threat points towards a home clean sheet. Carrick's team should control the territory and create enough chances to score twice.

• Score: Manchester United 2-0 Tottenham at 9/1

Crystal Palace vs Nottingham Forest

A low-scoring draw fits the recent history and the current attacking numbers. Seven of the last nine meetings have finished level, including five 1-1 draws. Nottingham Forest hold the stronger underlying profile. They rank seventh for xPTS with 8.14, compared with Palace sitting bottom on 4.05.

Forest have generated 7.55 xG and conceded chances worth 5.41 xGA. They also hold a 48-33 advantage for shots inside the box and have allowed only six big chances. Their problem has been finishing. Sean Dyche's side have scored four goals from 82 attempts, including none from 24 shots against Coventry.

Palace have generated only 5.40 xG and remain without Jean-Philippe Mateta. Their attack failed to score at Leeds, although Jorgen Strand Larsen, Daichi Kamada and Yeremi Pino should create enough to threaten Forest once.

The visitors should control the stronger share of the chances, but their conversion problems make another draw more likely than an away win.

• Score: Crystal Palace 1-1 Nottingham Forest at 5/1

Liverpool vs Manchester City

Anfield hosts the strongest attacking matchup of the weekend. Liverpool and Manchester City have generated a combined 19.24 xG and created 26 big chances across their opening fixtures. City have scored 13 goals, with eight coming across their two home matches. Their away record is also strong, producing five goals while conceding once.

The defensive numbers require context. Enzo Maresca's side have allowed 16 big chances, including eight during the 5-3 victory over Sunderland. That performance showed the space available when City lose control of transitions. Liverpool have scored seven times from 9.22 xG, leaving room for improvement in their finishing. Their two home matches produced only four goals despite containing 6.49 combined xG.

Andoni Iraola's side should create chances through Alexander Isak, Florian Wirtz and Bradley Barcola. City carry the greater attacking consistency, but Liverpool's home advantage reduces the case for choosing a winner. Both teams possess enough quality to punish the defensive weaknesses on show. A high-scoring draw is the preferred outcome.

• Score: Liverpool 2-2 Manchester City at 9/1

The total odds for all six games are a massive 293,759 with Skybet, which may be worth a £1 stake for some fun. I am keen to back Man Utd to beat Spurs 2-0 and Brentford to see off Villa 2-1. Combining these two games combined give you odds of 89/1 with Skybet.

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