With Arsenal's London derby with Chelsea not taking place until Sunday, Manchester City have the opportunity to move to within two points of the Premier League leaders on Saturday.
Pep Guardiola takes his side to Elland Road to square off against a Leeds United outfit that still has plenty of work ahead if they wish to avoid relegation back to the Championship.
Meanwhile, the other four Premier League fixtures to be played on Saturday involve teams in need of maximum points to bolster their efforts to secure European football for 2026-27.
Make sure to check out our expert and best betting tips from Saturday's Premier League matches below:
Today's Premier League betting tips and predictions
Bournemouth vs. Sunderland (12.30pm)
Bournemouth host Sunderland in the Premier League on Saturday at the Vitality Stadium, with the home side carrying a clear process edge into the contest.
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Tip 1: Bournemouth to win
Bournemouth to win is supported by a decisive gap in chance creation and recent performance levels. At home they average 13.0 shots per match with 4.62 on target, producing 1.83 NPxG across their last four fixtures. In that spell they have created seven big chances and conceded just one, while collecting 7.47 xPTS.
Sunderland’s away profile is significantly weaker. They have a record of W2-D4-L7 but have only scored six away goals all term. Only three sides have won fewer points in the last 10 games than Sunderland.
They have won the xG battle in only 15.4% of away games and across their last four on the road they average 0.62 xG while conceding 1.97. They have created just two big chances in that period and allowed seven, while facing 15.69 shots per game away from home.
Over eight matches Sunderland rank 17th on xPTS and post 1.24 xG against 1.89 xGA, reflecting a negative supremacy trend. Bournemouth, by contrast, maintain positive differentials in both shots and big chances at home.
The contrast in territorial control, shot volume and quality chance creation underlines the edge. Bournemouth’s sustained home process and Sunderland’s declining away metrics make the straight home win the logical outcome (Bournemouth win is 5/6).
Tip 2: Bournemouth to score over 1.5 goals
Bournemouth have won the xG battle in 10 of 13 home matches, 76.9%, reflecting consistent territorial control. Across the season at home they average 1.58 NPxG and 1.56 NPxGA, underpinned by 13.0 shots and 4.62 on target per game.
Recent performances strengthen that position. In their last four at home Bournemouth have produced 1.83 NPxG and just 1.01 NPxGA, collecting 7.47 xPTS and seven actual points. They have created seven big chances in that spell while conceding only one, highlighting a strong chance differential.
Sunderland arrive with weaker underlying numbers. They have won the xG battle in only two of 13 away games, 15.4%, and across their last four away fixtures they average 0.62 xG and 1.97 xGA.
That has translated into just 1.85 xPTS and one point. Over the last eight games overall they rank 17th on xPTS, reinforcing the downturn in performance level.
With Bournemouth generating sustained pressure at home and Sunderland struggling for away control, the underlying metrics point toward a clear home advantage (Bournemouth to score over 1.5 goals is 4/5).
Burnley vs. Brentford (3pm)
Burnley are showing some signs of life in the Premier League relegation scrap and if they can pick up three points at home to Brentford, some fans might start dreaming of a great escape.
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Tip 1: Burnley double chance
Burnley look a bit too big for this one with home advantage so it could pay to back them in the double chance at 21/20 with Betfred.
The Clarets looked doomed after losing 2-0 at home to West Ham but they've since banked four points from their last two games with Crystal Palace and Chelsea.
Tip 2: Hannibal Mejbri to be carded
Clarets midfielder Hannibal Mejbri always gets stuck in and the Tunisian has racked up eight yellows for club and country this term. He's 11/5 with Coral to go into the book again and 4/5 with Bet365 for over 1.5 fouls.
Liverpool vs. West Ham United (3pm)
Liverpool will look to climb into the top four of the Premier League table, for a day at least, as they welcome relegation-threatened West Ham United to Anfield on Saturday afternoon.
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Tip 1: Dominik Szoboszlai to score or assist
Dominik Szoboszlai has arguably been Liverpool’s most consistent player this season, scoring 10 goals and providing seven assists in all competitions.
The Hungarian international has seven of those goal contributions across his previous nine matches in all competitions for Arne Slot’s side, and the 10/11 on offer at bet365 for him to Score or Assist on Saturday appeals to me.
Tip 2: Liverpool to win and both teams to score
West Ham have been in resurgent form in recent weeks, but they have a terrible record against Liverpool and especially at Anfield.
The Hammers have won on just one of their previous 52 league visits to Anfield – losing each of their previous eight – and I’m backing the Reds to continue that trend on Saturday.
Arne Slot’s hosts have kept just four clean sheets at home in the Premier League this season, so combining a home win and both teams to score pays 6/4 at bet365 – a selection that has landed in each of West Ham’s previous two trips to Anfield.
Newcastle United vs. Everton (3pm)
Newcastle will be looking to return to winning ways in the Premier League when they welcome Everton to St James' Park on Saturday afternoon.
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Tip 1: Anthony Gordon to score or assist
With 14 goals and five assists across his 38 appearances in all competitions this season, Anthony Gordon offers value to register another goal involvement on Saturday at 20/21 on bet365.
Tip 2: James Garner to commit 2+ fouls
James Garner has committed two or more fouls in four of his last six Premier League outings, making the Everton ace an attractive option to commit two or more fouls here at 2/1 on bet365.
Leeds United vs. Manchester City
Leeds United host Manchester City in the Premier League on Saturday at Elland Road, with both sides carrying strong underlying numbers into the contest.
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Tip 1: Both teams to score and over 1.5 cards
Both teams to score and over 1.5 cards (at betting odds of 5/6) is supported by consistent goal and disciplinary trends. Leeds have scored in 11 of 13 home games, 85%, and their home both teams to score rate sits at 69%. They average 12.54 shots and 4.23 on target at Elland Road, alongside 18 big chances created across the season.
Manchester City have conceded in 10 of 13 away matches, 77%, with an away both teams to score rate of 54%. They still average 1.93 xG in their last four away games and 11.62 shots per match on the road, maintaining enough attacking pressure to contribute.
The scoring overlap is clear. Leeds score regularly at home and City concede frequently away, while City’s own chance output suggests they will create enough to score.
Card data strengthens the second leg. Leeds home games average 3.69 cards with 12 of 13 seeing at least two. City away matches average 3.85 cards with 12 of 13 also clearing two cards. Referee Peter Bankes averages 4.26 cards per game, with 68% landing over 2.5.
Tip 2: Both teams carded and Man City to score over 1.5 goals
For the same reasons as above, this selection is available at Evens.
Darren is a writer and tipster across a wide array of sports including football, golf, darts and boxing. He counts Keegan Bradley's US PGA Championship win in 2011 as his greatest-ever bet. Darren is also a Chelsea and Hednesford Town fan, as well as a keen golfer and darts player.
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