Newcastle v Everton
Newcastle

Newcastle vs Everton

, KO: 15:00 , St James' Park
Everton

Newcastle will be looking to return to winning ways in the Premier League when they welcome Everton to St James' Park on Saturday afternoon.

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Eddie Howe's side have come away empty-handed from four of their last five top-flight fixtures, the most recent being a narrow 2-1 defeat at Manchester City last weekend.

That dip in form leaves the Magpies 11th in the Premier League standings heading into the weekend.

However, Newcastle will return to top-flight duty on the back of a morale-boosting victory, having edged out Qarabag 3-2 in the second leg of their Champions League play-off tie on Tuesday night, sealing a convincing 9-3 aggregate success.

Everton, meanwhile, will be aiming to bounce back from Monday night's narrow 1-0 loss to Manchester United, in a game that brought up my recommended Bet Builder.

Despite that setback, David Moyes' side remain in the top half of the table, though they sit just two places and a single point above Newcastle, who could leapfrog them with a win on Saturday.

How the bookies view it: Toon Army to triumph

Despite losing four of their last five Premier League matches, Newcastle come into this clash as firm 8/11 favourites with bet365.

Everton have won three of their last four Premier League matches away from home, but a repeat here is an unfancied 7/2 on bet365, while a St James' Park stalemate is also considered unlikely at 14/5 with the same firm.

Head to head: Everton have the edge

Everton lead the head-to-head with 71 wins to Newcastle’s 70, while the other 38 games ended in a draw. However, it is worth noting that Newcastle romped to a 4-1 victory in this season's reverse fixture.

Players to watch: Another Gordon goal involvement?

With 14 goals and five assists across his 38 appearances in all competitions this season, Anthony Gordon offers value to register another goal involvement on Saturday at 20/21 on bet365.

James Garner has committed two or more fouls in four of his last six Premier League outings, making the Everton ace an attractive option to commit two or more fouls here at 2/1 on bet365.

Predicted line-ups

Bruno Guimaraes, Emil Krafth, Fabian Schar, Lewis Miley and Tino Livramento remain sidelined, though Jacob Ramsey may return after sitting out Tuesday's win over Qarabag.

Everton will be unable to call upon the services of injured duo Carlos Alcaraz and Jack Grealish, however, Jake O'Brien is back in contention after serving a suspension.

Newcastle: Pope; Trippier, Thiaw, Burn, Hall; Joelinton, Tonali; Murphy, Woltemade, Barnes; Gordon

Everton: Pickford; O'Brien, Tarkowski, Keane, Branthwaite; Gueye, Garner; Armstrong, Dewsbury-Hall, Ndiaye; Barry

🔍 X-pert tip from The Betting Desk
Don't know your xG from your xP? We've got you covered with our data-led X-pert tip!

MFT's X-pert tip: Over 2.5 goals

Newcastle vs Everton profiles as an over 2.5 goals game based on sustained attacking output and defensive concession across recent samples.

Across the last eight matches Newcastle average 1.81 xG and 1.57 xGA, with 12.31 xPTS collected. Five of the eight have landed both teams to score and 62.5% have gone over 2.5 goals.

They generate 8.9 shots inside the box per game and concede 8.3, creating nine big chances while allowing eight. At home in the last four they post 2.12 NPxG and 1.23 NPxGA, producing nine big chances in that spell.

Everton’s numbers also support goals. Over the last eight they average 1.22 xG and 1.55 xGA with 8.81 xPTS. In their last four away fixtures they record 1.19 xG and 1.48 xGA, conceding 8.8 shots inside the box per game and allowing four big chances.

With both sides consistently involved in high xG totals and regular big chance exchange, the data supports over 2.5 goals.

Anything else catch the eye?

Siding with under 2.75 goals on the Asian line looks worthy of support at 10/11 on bet365.

Goals have been in short supply in Everton's matches this season, underlined by the fact that a league-high 18 of their 27 Premier League matches have produced under 2.5 strikes.

It's also worth noting that two of Newcastle's last four Premier League home matches have delivered two match goals or fewer.

Newcastle vs Everton Betting Tips & Predictions
Under 2.75 Asian Goals
10/11
Bet365
Anthony Gordon To Score or Assist
20/21
Bet365
James Garner To Commit 2+ Fouls
2/1
Bet365
Further Reading
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