Welcome back to MFT’s 10-1,000 betting challenge, where we aim for a 100x return on the original investment via a small stake betting strategy, prioritising low risk and low odds en route to a long-term target.
While this column is dedicated to high-probability tips, there is no guarantee of profit. If playing along, you should consider your own budget and confidence in the tip provided, and make your own decision whether to follow, cash out or continue at every stage. 18+, please gamble responsibly.
We will use a unit system for our stakes, allowing readers to set their own unit value that suits their own budget. For the sake of simplicity, for us, 1 unit = £1.
We will continue to transparently track our progress as far as we go on the path to 1,000, but will refresh our main tracking stake back to the starting point every time we surpass 100 units – a 10x ROI.
For the sake of consistency, all tips are placed using odds from bet365. It worth pointing out that with Bet365 we can paid out if our selection goes into a lead by two or more goals.
Wolves last minute penalty yesterday evening saved us and the bet was refunded as we took the hosts on DNB. I am hoping for a more straight forward bet today
Bet 10 – Norwich City vs WBA – Saturday 15th August at 3pm
Norwich to score against West Bromwich Albion looks a strong angle based on how both sides performed last season.
When Philippe Clement took charge in November, Norwich were second bottom of the Championship with just nine points from 15 matches. From his appointment until the end of the season, they collected 56 points, the fifth-best return in the division over that period, behind only Southampton, Coventry, Ipswich and Millwall.
That turnaround was backed by reliable scoring at Carrow Road. Norwich found the net in 13 of their 16 home matches under Clement last season, an 81% rate, averaging 1.44 goals from 1.12 xG and 7.25 shots inside the box per game.
West Brom's away numbers from last season strengthen the case. They conceded 33 goals across 23 away matches, an average of 1.43 per game, and kept only six clean sheets. Looking specifically at the period after Clement took charge of Norwich, West Brom conceded in 11 of their final 15 away matches, a 73% rate.
Norwich scored consistently at home once Clement arrived, while West Brom struggled to keep clean sheets on the road throughout last season. Those two trends make Norwich to score the angle I prefer here.
- Bet: WBA no clean sheet
- Odds: 1/5
- 83.60 units returns 100.32
The Betting Desk is run by Neil Potter. Neil built and refined all of the site’s data models, helping it grow into a trusted source of analysis across the Premier League, EFL and major tournaments. His models track key metrics, long term trends and areas where market prices move away from underlying performance.
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