Welcome back to MFT’s 10-1,000 betting challenge, where we aim for a 100x return on the original investment via a small stake betting strategy, prioritising low risk and low odds en route to a long-term target.
While this column is dedicated to high-probability tips, there is no guarantee of profit. If playing along, you should consider your own budget and confidence in the tip provided, and make your own decision whether to follow, cash out or continue at every stage. 18+, please gamble responsibly.
We will use a unit system for our stakes, allowing readers to set their own unit value that suits their own budget. For the sake of simplicity, for us, 1 unit = £1.
We will continue to transparently track our progress as far as we go on the path to 1,000, but will refresh our main tracking stake back to the starting point every time we surpass 100 units – a 10x ROI.
For the sake of consistency, all tips are placed using odds from bet365. It worth pointing out that with Bet365 we can paid out if our selection goes into a lead by two or more goals.
Everton beat Coventry 3-1 on Friday night with Thierno Barry registering six shots and two goals meaning we got off to a winning stake.
Bet 2 – Arsenal vs Hull City– Saturday 7th November at 15:00
Arsenal welcome Hull City to the Emirates Stadium on Saturday afternoon. Mikel Arteta's side are strong favourites to secure another Premier League victory, with their recent defensive performances and attacking statistics supporting the selection.
Arsenal arrive following an impressive 1-0 victory at Liverpool. Kai Havertz scored the decisive goal, while the Gunners restricted their opponents to zero shots on target despite Liverpool registering 17 attempts.
Arsenal produced 10 shots themselves, placing three on target and creating two big chances. Their ability to protect a narrow advantage at Anfield demonstrated the defensive organisation which should serve them well against Hull. Their recent 2-1 home victory over Leeds United provides further encouragement. Arsenal generated 2.13 xG from 13 attempts, with six shots on target and four big chances.
Leeds managed only 0.72 xG, giving Arsenal a substantial advantage in the quality of opportunities created.
Hull's latest 2-2 draw against Ipswich Town highlighted their defensive vulnerability. The visitors registered 15 attempts and created four big chances, while generating 1.12 xG. Hull managed only nine shots themselves, producing 0.68 xG, although they converted their opportunities efficiently enough to secure a point.
Their earlier 2-1 defeat at Newcastle United also demonstrated the difficulty of securing results away from home, despite producing 1.74 xG and 22 attempts.
Arsenal's ability to generate clear opportunities at the Emirates, combined with their recent defensive discipline, provides a strong argument for a home victory. At 1/6, the selection carries an implied probability of 86.2%. The Gunners are expected to control possession and create enough opportunities to secure three points.
- Bet: Arsenal win
- Odds: 1/6
- Bank: 11.67 units returns 13.54
The Betting Desk is run by Neil Potter. Neil built and refined all of the site’s data models, helping it grow into a trusted source of analysis across the Premier League, EFL and major tournaments. His models track key metrics, long term trends and areas where market prices move away from underlying performance.
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