I've opted for just the two runners on a busy Thursday, both being Richard Fahey runners, and I think they both have a nice chance.
CROWNTHORPE instantly caught my eye for this Class 2 race at Newcastle, as I've seen him run many good races at this venue before.
His recent run at Nottingham was a signal that he's bouncing back to form, as he travelled well throughout the race, but was behind a well handicapped and capable horse in Brentford Hope, who has been a bit of an enigma. Off a mark of 87, makes him attractively handicapped and he's on a mark where he is definitely capable of winning off. He's won at this track off a mark of 88 in the past, and he also finished 2nd off a mark of 87, on both occasions he ran much better than his rating was (96 and 99 RPRs). At the current odds of around 6/1, I make him a decent enough bet, and thankfully he's not been backed in, as of yet.
Ray Dawson is a noticeable jockey booking for Richard Fahey, who claims a handy 3lbs. Off a basement weight of 8st 3lbs, with the jockey's claim, he could run a nice race, in a race where a lot of the horses in the race have questions to be answered.
Eagleway is a strange horse in this race, as his recent run at Ascot puts him top of the list. However, that was on soft ground, and prior to joining Ivan Furtado's yard, his form in France was best on soft ground, so I'm prepared to give him a swerve and go for a horse I know will handle this track and conditions.
Advised: Each Way
SHOW ME SHOW ME has been falling through the handicap ratings in the last couple of years, after being a smart 2yo, and off a mark of 76 I'm willing to give him a play today.
Apprentice Jonny Peate gets ride for the Richard Fahey, and claims 7lbs, which will be a massive help for this horse, as without him he'd be carrying 10st, so the fact he'll be carrying 9st 7 is a big bonus. With the jockey's claim taken into consideration, Show Me Show Me is running off a mark of 69 which is ridiculously low for what he is clearly capable of. Obviously, he was a forward 2yo, and the rest of the bunch caught up with him when they turned 3, but he still has ability and a mark of 69 (With jockey's 7lb claim) is rather insulting, and it would be disappointing if he wasn't going close off this mark in a race like this.
He has always been a slow starter, and then he stays on late, which is why I think this track could potentially suit. If they go a good gallop, hopefully, he'll be picking up the pieces late on. He's been tried over 6f in recent times, but I still believe a quick 5f or stiff 5f would be better suited for him, so hopefully a combination of a drop down in class, trip and rating will give him a big chance today.
As for the rider, I've not seen anything of him in terms of how good of a rider he is, but the fact Richard Fahey is using him, is a good indicator of his ability. He's 2/6 in the last fortnight which is a good strike rate, and 5/26 overall.
12:00 Redcar - Race: 1
12:25 Perth - Race: 1
12:35 Redcar - Race: 2