IT was quite a night for the home nations as the World Cup qualifying groups drew to a close.

England skelped a hapless, 10-man, San Marino by ten goals to nil, Scotland beat one of the form teams in Europe, Denmark, 2-0 at an electric Hampden Park and Northern Ireland held European Champions, Italy, to a creditable 0-0 in Belfast.

Now it's over to Wales to pick up the baton and get a result that will see them seeded in the play-offs and get to play the one-off semi-final match a home.

The only problem is that the World's No.1 ranked team, Belgium, stand in their way. The Welsh need a point to finish second in Group E but they have the safety net of a play-off berth via the their UEFA Nations League performance to fall back on. That route would leave them unseeded however and the prospect of a trip to Italy, Portugal or even Hampden(!) in the play-off semi-final.

The good news is that Belgium have already qualified comfortably and Roberto Martinez will use the match to hand some game-time to fringe players and future prospects. Their absentee list would walk in to most interational starting XIs around Europe; Courtois, Hazard, Denayer, Mignolet, Praet, Lukaku, Alderweireld and Tielemans.

Ordinarily Belgium at 13/10 would be a must-bet but the team news will be crucial before betting on this one.

One of three teams can still claim top spot in Group G. Netherland host Norway in Rotterdam where a draw would be good enough for the hosts. Defeat could hand top spot to Norway or open the door for Turkey who travel to Montenegro.

Norway will still be without Haaland and failed to find the net against Latvia last time out to all but blow their chances, so no surprise to see the Dutch as short as 2/5 to win. They've put an early 4-2 defeat to Turkey behind them and have scored 31 in nine so far, although 13 of those have been against Gibraltar.

Turkey drew 2-2 with Montenegro when the visitor stuck in the 98th minute in Istanbul but there can be no margin for error tonight. Only a win will be good enough to see the Turks qualify automatically, failing that it will be good enough for them to secure second spot.

Super Double

Netherlands & Turkey to win 6/5 (Bet365)

Upcoming Matches & Tips

Today's Racing Tips

Tuesday is a busy day for Rizzel as he has picked out five fancies from Fakenham and Ayr.

As always, let us know your tips and predictions for today in the comments section below and good luck with all your bets!

66 Comments
  1. bigwigg 2 weeks ago

    Over 1.5tgs treble @ 13/10 (Whill boost) nap
    Belarus u21
    Norway u21
    Northern Ireland u21

    Norway u21 over 2.5tgs @ 11/8 (Whill) nb

    Smaller stake
    Over 2.5mgs treble @ 2.3/1 (Whill)
    Liechtenstein u21 vs Belarus u21
    Azerbaijan u21 vs Norway u21
    Northern Ireland u21 vs Malta u21

    It was Austria last week I fancied taking a few off Azerbaijan and this week it’s Norway. Watched the game and it’s fair to say Azerbaijan are pretty dire, and kicked more shins than made passes. Norway took 3 off of Austria back in September, and have scored 2+ in their last 5 games, and 3+ in 4 of those. They have only failed to score a goal in two games against the Netherlands in the last 4 years. With the chance to go level on points (for a few hours at least) with top of the group Croatia, I can see Norway notching a few goals here at a generous price.

    Liechtenstein are awful, and Belarus took 6 off them at home a month ago. A bit wary after Iceland gave up at half time last week, but I can see them at least netting 2 or 3 against one of the worst u21 sides in Europe.
    Northern Ireland host Malta with what I can only imagine being revenge on their minds after an embarrassing 4-1 defeat in the away tie in September, with the irony being they completely dominated the game. They have won both their home games since then against Slovakia and Lithuania, scoring 5 in the process, while malta have lost all 4 games, conceding 17 goals. Can see NI scoring at least 2 here.

    Apologies for the lengthy write up, it’s the boredom of a nightshift kicking in and the only chance I have time to put reasoning behind it 😅

    Good luck all 🤞🤞

    15
    • christos76 2 weeks ago

      Really good reasoning, cheers. Deffo gonna be on this one.

      4
    • APC 2 weeks ago

      Took Norway -1 last night at EVS. Could only get -3 for Belarus. Reassuring reading your reasoning.

  2. Nathan 2 weeks ago

    Bet 2

    San Francisco +7.5 handicap
    Total match points UNDER 58.5
    (Bet365 betbuilder)

    2 units pays 4 units ✅

    Remaining Bank +104.34 units

    10
    • ChrisBax 2 weeks ago

      That was a vey astute pick, Nathan.

      Top man! 😉

      1
    • Nathan 2 weeks ago

      Cheers, Chris 👍
      Last two NFL plays have been very easy winners, hopefully will continue!

      2
    • BaDkO 2 weeks ago

      Update for the flat-stakes plan:
      San Francisco +7.5 and total under 58.5, odds 2
      Won
      Remaining bank: 113.44

  3. Nathan 2 weeks ago

    Bet 1

    Vietnam vs Saudi Arabia
    Over 2.5 match goals

    1 unit pays 2.1 units
    SBK

    Remaining Bank +103.34

    5
    • BaDkO 2 weeks ago

      Update for the flat-stakes plan:
      Vietnam vs Saudi Arabia, over 2.5 match goals, odds 2.1, stake 6 units
      Remaining bank: 107.44

      Good luck!

  4. jie337361489 2 weeks ago

    One bet every day. This is my favorite. Thank you

    1
  5. maccathered 2 weeks ago

    F.A Cup
    Cambridge United v Northampton
    Draw at 5/2
    game decided on pens at 11/2

    Exeter v Bradford
    Draw at 13/5
    game decided on pens 11/2

    Plymouth v Sheff Weds
    Draw at 9/4
    game decided on pens at 11/2
    Fa Cup replays for me tonight and i have looked at all the games and these three could be tight affairs again.
    Best of luck

    2
  6. gokeadeniyi12@gmail.com 2 weeks ago

    MY YESTERDAY GAME

    Just 2 games for me today

    Israel vs Faroe Island
    Austria vs Moldova

    Over 2.5 Goals Double @2+ (1XBET

    WINNER

    8
  7. dc john boy 2 weeks ago

    U21s

    Azerbaijan
    Lithuania

    Over 2.5mgs double 8/5

    Good luck

    1
  8. Nathan 2 weeks ago

    Bet 2

    China vs Australia
    Aus -1 Asian handicap

    2 units pays 4.1 units
    Bet 365

    Remaining Bank +101.34

    3
    • BaDkO 2 weeks ago

      Bet 2

      China vs Australia
      Aus -1 Asian handicap

      2 units pays 4.1 units
      Bet 365

      Remaining Bank +101.34

  9. BaDkO 2 weeks ago

    My comment above is not what I meant to post, no idea what happened.

    Update for the flat-stakes plan:
    China vs Australia, Aus -1 AH, odds 2.05, stake 6 units
    Remaining bank: 101.44

    • Nathan 2 weeks ago

      Hiya mate,
      If you’re flat skating, it’ll be 1 unit on each bet.
      In reality, my 1 unit could be £100 and your 6 units could be £6
      If you want it to be representative and comparable, you would need to adjust to 1 unit on each bet :)

      Don’t forget, everyone’s 1 unit differs, so putting down 6 units on each bet is hypothetical and not a true reflection of outcome

    • Nathan 2 weeks ago

      In other words, your independent variable would be the 1 unit stakes.

  10. anton 2 weeks ago

    Don’t know if the bookies are feeling a bit bruised today as most haven’t got any prices up for the Germany San Marino u21 match. Ladbrokes haven’t got the game listed and most of the others only the match price. Pathetic. Bet 365 is the only one I can see with handicap prices.

  11. Baggy6870 2 weeks ago

    U21 EURO QUALIFIERS
    Azerbaijan U21 v Norway U21 16.00
    Norway U21 3+ Goals.. Evs NAP
    ☀️ ☀️ ☀️ ☀️ ☀️
    Norway U21 4+ Goals.. 9/4 NB
    ☀️ ☀️ ☀️
    SKYBET…. Good Luck…. 🤞

    1
  12. gokeadeniyi12@gmail.com 2 weeks ago

    Montenegro vs Turkey
    Tip: Over 8.5 Corners

    Bosnia Herzegovina vs Ukraine
    Tip: Over 8.5 Corners

    Total: 2+ (1XBET) (NAP)

    EUROPE: World Cup – Qualification
    20:45
    Czech Republic vs Estonia
    Tip: Over 2.5 Corners

    BRAZIL: Serie A
    20:00
    Athletico-PR vs Atletico-MG
    Tip: Atletico MG to WIN

    GERMANY: Regionalliga Bayern
    19:30
    Eltersdorf vs Heimstetten
    Tip: Over 2.5 Goals

    Total: 3+ (1XBET) NB

    Total All: 9+

    Goodluck on all your bets.

    1
  13. BaDkO 2 weeks ago

    Hi Nathan,
    I’m curious to compare the stake plans, so we start with the same bank and we place the same bets (because I’m following you on paper).
    The only reason why I chose to place 6 units on each bet is this (I wrote that yesterday):
    “Starting with the same bank and using a stake of 6 units. In your system you lose 31 units after 5 wrong bets and with the flat stakes I lose 30 units with 5 wrong bets, so it’s a comparable amount of risk.”

    The novelty in your system is hitting the brakes if 5 bets lose. I’ve adjusted the stake size in the flat-stake plan accordingly (that’s the only variable I can adjust). I have idea if it’s a good staking plan or not, I’m just curious.

    And yes, I’ve read a lot of recommendations to use 1% of your bank in a flat-stake system and it makes sense. But I’ll keep staking 6 units.

  14. HullShaker 2 weeks ago

    Afternoon gents,

    Some crackers yesterday and the bookies deserved a bit of a bashing…still yet to see one on a bike!

    South American WC Qualifiers are drawing me to higher altitude tonight and the penalty and cards angle may pay dividends again – I’ll add goals into a 2nd longshot for good measure as the H2H has a rich history:

    BOLIVIA VS. URUGUAY (8.00pm)

    PENALTY AWARDED
    (2/1, bet365) NAP ⭐⭐⭐

    RED CARD AWARDED
    (10/3, williamhill) NB ⭐

    RED CARD SHOWN &PENALTY AWARDED
    (9/1, williamhill) LONGSHOT I ⭐

    RED CARD AWARDED
    OVER 3.5 MATCH GOALS
    (12/1, bet365) LONGSHOT II ⭐

    Best of luck!

    12
    • tipseebone 2 weeks ago

      Really nice tipping 🔥
      Cheers!

      1
    • williegee 2 weeks ago

      Great tipping Hull, would have been the full house by now, if not for the
      missed penalty, still 10 min to go, time yet!!

      1
    • maccathered 2 weeks ago

      Well in hull absolutely smashed it there lad

      1
    • fitzythegypsy 2 weeks ago

      Sensational 💪🏼

      1
    • HullShaker 2 weeks ago

      Cheers lads 👍

  15. florescum 2 weeks ago

    Olanda – Norveagia btts odds 2.20
    Muntenegru – Turcia over 0,5 match goals, over 6,5 corners, over 1,5 yellow cards odds 1.45
    Cehia – Estonia over 8,5 corners. I expect many corners here.
    Even over 10,5 corners
    Gibraltar – Letonia x2& 0-4 match goals interval

    1
    • christos76 2 weeks ago

      Muntenegru – Turcia over 0,5 match goals, over 6,5 corners, over 1,5 yellow cards odds 1.45
      Cehia – Estonia over 8,5 corners. I expect many corners here.

      I’m liking the look of that. Cheers Florescum.

      1
  16. williegee 2 weeks ago

    Hi Guys,
    Going for cards in the 2 group G games involving the top 4 in group.
    All to play for for the top 3, Netherlands, Norway and Turkey, all still
    in with a chance of qualification. With that in mind going for:-
    20+ booking points each team in the Netherlands vs Norway and the
    Montenegro vs Turkey games @ 2/1 with Skybet – 10 points staked
    Top plays 3rd in the Netherlands and Norway need a result to give them
    any chance of qualification, which could mean the Netherland’s miss out.
    Turkey also need something from their game to guarantee a play-off place
    Montenegro drew with Netherland’s last round coming back from a 2-0
    deficit, don’t think Turkey will have it easy tonight.
    GOOD LUCK WITH ALL BETS TONIGHT!!!

    1
    • williegee 2 weeks ago

      LOST – no cards for Turkey does this one!!

      1
  17. Nathan 2 weeks ago

    Bet 2

    China vs Australia
    Aus -1 Asian handicap

    2 units pays 4.1 units
    Bet 365
    Remaining Bank +101.34

    Very poor penalty decision meant a loss rather than refund!

    Bet 3

    Bosnia vs Ukraine
    Both teams to score, Ukraine double chance
    (Bet365 betbuilder) 2.05

    4 units pays 8.2 units

    Remaining Bank +97.34 units

    • BaDkO 2 weeks ago

      Update for the flat-stakes plan:
      China vs Australia, Aus -1 AH, odds 2.05, stake 6 units
      Remaining bank: 101.44
      Loss

      Bet 9:
      Bosnia vs Ukraine BTTS, Ukraine double chance, odds 2.05, stake 6 units
      Remaining bank: 95.44

  18. dc john boy 2 weeks ago

    Non league action tonight

    Hednesford
    Peterborough sports

    Over 2.5mgs 6/5

    All teams involved like to score & concede goals

    Good luck

    1
  19. christos76 2 weeks ago

    Bristol Rovers v Oxford Utd.

    Oxford win, 1.91 (Willy Hill)

  20. goalden oldie 2 weeks ago

    both teams to score double
    nautico v sampaio correa
    bucaramanga v tolima
    ladbrokes 11/4
    NAP WON

    14
  21. dc john boy 2 weeks ago

    U21s

    Azerbaijan
    Lithuania

    Over 2.5mgs double 8/5**LOST** no 3rd in Lithuania despite being 0-2 after 55mins

    2
  22. Corbo 2 weeks ago

    International treble

    Bosnia v Ukraine – Over 4.5 Match Cards
    Holland v Norway – Over 9.5 Match Corners
    Finland v France – Over 0.5 Finland TGS

    7/1

    All teams with things still to play for involved.
    GL All.

    1
  23. nate pesh 2 weeks ago

    Gibraltar vs Latvia
    Latvia over 2.5 TGS 9/4
    Gutkowski AGS 13/8

    1
  24. Jonesey 2 weeks ago

    Holland v Norway
    Pen taken 2/1 hills
    Holland been awarded pen in 4 of last 5 games
    Good luck

    1
  25. BaDkO 2 weeks ago

    A note for Nathan:
    In your original Martingale post you wrote “0.5×0.5×0.5×0.5×0.5 = 0.015625”
    I’m running some calculations in LibreOffice (I might post them later today or tomorrow) and it says the result is 0.03125. So it looks like you are twice as likely to hit 5 losses in a row.
    Let me know if LibreOffice is wrong.

    2
  26. goalden oldie 2 weeks ago

    both teams to score double
    cambridge v northampton
    exeter v bradford
    ladbrokes 9/4
    NAP

  27. gokeadeniyi12@gmail.com 2 weeks ago

    I am tempting to do another bet tonight

    Netherlands vs Norway
    Tip: Over 9.5 Corners @ 1.87

    1
  28. richtea 2 weeks ago

    Small stakes 163/1 acca, good luck tonight!

    Latvia
    Match Betting
    Gibraltar v Latvia
    1/2

    Over (+2.5)
    Stevenage v MK Dons
    20/23

    France
    Match Betting
    Finland v France
    4/9

    Netherlands
    Match Betting
    Netherlands v Norway
    1/2

    Belgium
    Match Betting
    Wales v Belgium
    11/10

    Over (+2.5)
    Bosnia & Herzegovina v Ukraine
    8/13

    Over (+2.5)
    Czech Republic v Estonia
    1/2

    Over (+2.5)
    Cheltenham v Gillingham
    8/11

    Over (+2.5)
    Exeter v Bradford
    17/20

    Over (+2.5)
    Oldham v Ipswich
    4/6

    1
  29. maccathered 2 weeks ago

    Was anyone else on De Bruyne to score from outside the area,lands after 12 mins at 10/1

    3
  30. elvis parsley 2 weeks ago

    🇻🇪🇵🇪 ░W░o░r░l░d░ ░c░u░p░🇵🇪🇻🇪

    VENEZUELA V PERU 9PM.

    BTTS 11-10 🏆NAP🏆
    2 side bets
    Over 2.5 match goals 6-4
    Btts and over 2.5 match goals 2-1.
    All at HILLS
    —————————————–
    Judging by the match odds bookies expect a narrow Peru win.
    I’m not so sure as they don’t travel well and Venezuela’s beat work is at home, in fact all their work is at home, all their 7 points have been gained in Venezuela.

    Peru got themselves back into contention for a top 5 spot with a 3-0 win at home to Bolivia, but they are notoriously bad travellers and that result was expected.
    They will see today as an opportunity to get back in the mix with 2 games after this to play.

    Peru beat Venezuela 1-0 in the Copa America earlier this year but that was on neutral territory.
    The last 5 world cup qualifiers in Venezuela between these were
    2-2. 3-2. 3-1. 4-1. 3-0.
    Venezuela’s last 3 home qualifiers in the last 2 months
    Venezuela 2 Ecuador 1
    Venezuela 1 Brazil 3
    Venezuela 1 Argentina 3
    *** These 3 opponents occupy the top 3 places in the standings ***

    Ok Venezuela can’t qualify but they are capable of scoring at home even without their main scorer saloman rondon.

    Reverse fixture in September was Peru 1 Venezuela 0.
    Venezuela had a red card after 30 minutes but shots, corners, possession etc were very close considering this.

    Peru have always struck me as a bit flaky and wouldn’t surprise me if they let me down here, hopefully they can manage at least one as it means a lot to them tonight.

    Prediction 2-1 or 1-2
    🏆🇻🇪🇵🇪🇻🇪🇵🇪🇻🇪🇵🇪🇻🇪🇵🇪🇻🇪🇵🇪🏆

    12
    • richtea 2 weeks ago

      Great tips Elvis, at great prices👍

    • elvis parsley 2 weeks ago

      Cheers rich 🇻🇪🇵🇪

  31. lossie jim 2 weeks ago

    Holland v Norway match would get fitba banned, both teams should be fined for non trying.

  32. williegee 2 weeks ago

    I see my friend Morton Thorsby pick up another booking tonight, he was only
    priced at 13/8 when I checked before kick off so didn’t post.

  33. dc john boy 2 weeks ago

    Non league action tonight

    Hednesford
    Peterborough sports

    Over 2.5mgs 6/5**LOST** lack of goals in hednosford. Picked wrong non league game as lots of games with plenty goals

    Well done all winners

    1
  34. Jonesey 2 weeks ago

    Holland v Norway
    Pen taken 2/1 hills
    Holland been awarded pen in 4 of last 5 games
    Good luck ❌
    Well done all winners

    1
  35. HullShaker 2 weeks ago

    Decent night last night with 11/4 and 8/1 winners but better again tonight 😀

    South American WC Qualifiers are drawing me to higher altitude tonight and the penalty and cards angle may pay dividends again – I’ll add goals into a 2nd longshot for good measure as the H2H has a rich history:

    BOLIVIA VS. URUGUAY (8.00pm)

    PENALTY AWARDED
    (2/1, bet365) NAP ⭐⭐⭐ ✅

    RED CARD AWARDED
    (10/3, williamhill) NB ⭐ ✅

    RED CARD SHOWN &PENALTY AWARDED
    (9/1, williamhill) LONGSHOT I ⭐ ✅

    RED CARD AWARDED
    OVER 3.5 MATCH GOALS
    (12/1, bet365) LONGSHOT II ⭐ 🙈

    Just a missed penalty shy on the 12/1 but happy enough with that!

    😉👍

    26
    • Jonesey 2 weeks ago

      Superb hull 👍

    • kf 2 weeks ago

      Brilliant…Cheers Hull

    • Yaap88 2 weeks ago

      Great stuff

    • richtea 2 weeks ago

      Fantastic again Hull👍

  36. nate pesh 2 weeks ago

    Gibraltar vs Latvia
    Latvia over 2.5 TGS 9/4 ✅
    Gutkowski AGS 13/8 ✅

    14
    • kf 2 weeks ago

      Well done Nate

  37. maccathered 2 weeks ago

    Exeter v Bradford were the only winner at 13/5 out of my 3 draws.hoped it would of gone to penalties which would of meant some profit but Exeter scored 3 goals in extra time to scupper that.
    Well done all winners

    2
  38. elvis parsley 2 weeks ago

    🇻🇪🇵🇪 ░W░o░r░l░d░ ░c░u░p░🇵🇪🇻🇪

    VENEZUELA V PERU 9PM.

    BTTS 11-10 🏆NAP🏆
    2 side bets
    Over 2.5 match goals 6-4
    Btts and over 2.5 match goals 2-1.
    All at HILLS
    —————————————–
    Judging by the match odds bookies expect a narrow Peru win.
    I’m not so sure as they don’t travel well and Venezuela’s beat work is at home, in fact all their work is at home, all their 7 points have been gained in Venezuela.

    Peru got themselves back into contention for a top 5 spot with a 3-0 win at home to Bolivia, but they are notoriously bad travellers and that result was expected.
    They will see today as an opportunity to get back in the mix with 2 games after this to play.

    Peru beat Venezuela 1-0 in the Copa America earlier this year but that was on neutral territory.
    The last 5 world cup qualifiers in Venezuela between these were
    2-2. 3-2. 3-1. 4-1. 3-0.
    Venezuela’s last 3 home qualifiers in the last 2 months
    Venezuela 2 Ecuador 1
    Venezuela 1 Brazil 3
    Venezuela 1 Argentina 3
    *** These 3 opponents occupy the top 3 places in the standings ***

    Ok Venezuela can’t qualify but they are capable of scoring at home even without their main scorer saloman rondon.

    Reverse fixture in September was Peru 1 Venezuela 0.
    Venezuela had a red card after 30 minutes but shots, corners, possession etc were very close considering this.

    Peru have always struck me as a bit flaky and wouldn’t surprise me if they let me down here, hopefully they can manage at least one as it means a lot to them tonight.

    Prediction 2-1 or 1-2
    🏆🇻🇪🇵🇪🇻🇪🇵🇪🇻🇪🇵🇪🇻🇪🇵🇪🇻🇪🇵🇪🏆
    Finished 1-2
    11-10. 6-4 and 2-1 winners 🇵🇪🇻🇪

    Well done all winners 👍

    11
    • kf 2 weeks ago

      Great work Elvis

  39. Alves 2 weeks ago

    Goal & 4+ corners each half

    Colombia v Paraguay – 7/2

    Argentina v Brazil – 9/2

    Wee interest bet for the next few hrs

  40. postman 2 weeks ago

    ARGENTINA vs BRAZIL (Bet Builder)
    A red card in the match
    Over 4.5 Cards
    Argentina – Match Odds
    Over 0.5 Goals – First Half Goals 0.5
    4 Folds (x1) @12.34

    1
  41. bigwigg 2 weeks ago

    Over 1.5tgs treble @ 13/10 (Whill boost) nap❌
    Belarus u21✅
    Norway u21✅
    Northern Ireland u21❌

    Norway u21 over 2.5tgs @ 11/8 (Whill) nb❌

    Over 2.5mgs treble @ 2.3/1 (Whill)❌
    Liechtenstein u21 vs Belarus u21✅
    Azerbaijan u21 vs Norway u21✅
    Northern Ireland u21 vs Malta u21❌

    The first half red card didn’t help Ireland, but beaten twice by Malta 🤦‍♂️ … apologies , was a load of 💩!

    Well done winners tonight 👏🏻👏🏻👏🏻

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