THE Premier League title won't be decided at the Etihad today but a win for either side will go a long way to determining the destination of the trophy.
Man City hold a slender one point lead over rivals Liverpool and there's been little to choose between the sides over the last few seasons. In fact, over the last four seasons a single point is all that separates them. City narrowly lead with 338 points from 144 games, while Liverpool have 337.
It'll be fine margins that decides the title and it could be fine margins that decide the outcome of today's match.
BBC Sport published a fascinating piece of analysis based on research by Data experts Nielsen Gracenote and FBref on how the numbers might help us pick a winner this afternoon. Key findings include;
- Liverpool are now taking more shots than in any of the six previous seasons – 557 goal attempts in 2021-22, an increase of nearly 30% compared to this stage of last season
- Defensively they are the top two teams in terms of allowing fewest shots again this season. City have only allowed 67 on target in 30 games. Liverpool are second with only 83 allowed
- City complete more passes – 91,644 over the past four seasons compared with 79,683 for Liverpool
- Over the past four seasons Man City have held the upper hand in the fixture, winning three and drawing three of the seven matches
Home advantage makes City the favourites at 21/20 and they've not lost to the Reds at the Etihad under Guardiola but is that about to change today? Liverpool have been building momentum and have rarely been in better shape to win there. Klopp's men have only tasted defeat once this year, and even then they could afford to do so, against Inter Milan when they were already two goals to the good from the first leg.
With nothing between the sides it's worth taking a punt on the Reds at 13/5 (SBK). Their front three are amongst the most deadly in the world and a match for any defence. If you're being offered those odds on Liverpool at the moment they have to be worth taking, even if it is against the highest ranked team in Europe at the moment.
Fulham can open up a 13 point lead at the top of the Championship and a degree of revenge could be on their minds this afternoon. Coventry beat the Cottagers 4-1 when the sides met back in October but it could be a very different story this afternoon.
The Sky Blues have won just one of their last eight and sit mid-table while Fulham will be desperate to take another step closer to promotion and the title. 38 goal Aleksander Mitrovic can help them to a win at 1/2 but the 13/8 on them scoring more than two goals for the 16th time this campaign.
In Scotland, Celtic heaped the pressure on to Rangers with a scintilating 7-0 win over relegation-threatened St Johnstone. The Hoops didn't let up following their win at Ibrox and now sit nine points clear of their Glasgow rivals.
The Gers simply must respond today in Paisley where they visit St Mirren. Results didn't go the Buddies' way on Saturday so a top six finish is beyond them but they need to be careful not to be drawn in to a relegation battle.
Defeat to Braga on Thursday failed to lift the mood at Ibrox and anything other than three points this lunchtime would all but end their title defence. Alfredo Morelos is proving a big miss for Giovanni Van Bronckhorst's men but there's enough talent elsewhere in the squad to find goals versus St Mirren, against whom they've scored two or more in each of their last six meetings.
Rangers have failed to keep a clean sheet in their last four and only managed to shut out their opponents in four of 15 away games in the league so BTTS appeals at 6/5.
Super Singles
- Liverpool to win 13/5 SBK
- Fulham to score 3+ Goals 13/8 Bet365
- St Mirren v Rangers BTTS 6/5 Bet365
Upcoming Match Previews & Tips
- Sunday's Goals Accumulator Tips: Today’s 4/1 Both Teams to Score, Over 2.5 Goals & Total Team Goals Acca
- SlipsTips Tips: Fulham vs Coventry City
- Sun 11:30 Genoa v Lazio
- Sun 12:00 St Mirren v Rangers
- Sun 14:00 Brentford v West Ham United
- Sun 14:00 Leicester City v Crystal Palace
- Sun 15:00 Fulham v Coventry City
- Sun 16:30 Manchester City v Liverpool
- Sun 19:45 Torino v AC Milan
- Sun 20:00 Levante v Barcelona
Racing Tips
A quiet day for Rizzel on Sunday with just one selection in the Hollywoodbets Alleged Stakes (Group 3) at the Curragh
The Masters Golf Tips
Scottie Scheffler continues to lead the way at Augusta, at least at the time of writing. The Caddy's main tip for The Masters holds a four-stroke lead thru 13 with Cameron Smith providing the closest challenge. It's all to play for going in to the final and those of us who have backed The Caddy's tip will be hoping Scheffler can keep his cool and hold on to that lead on Sunday. Best of luck!
As always, let us know your tips and predictions for today in the comments section below and good luck with all your bets!
Night owl/LONGSHOT
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Racing de Cordoba V Crucero del Norte
00:30
Argentine Torneo A
crucero del norte to score 7-4 (UNIBET)
BTTS 11-4 (HILLS)
Very long shot BTTS and over 2.5 goals 9-2 (HILLS)
Racing finished top last season, crucero bottom hence the match odds.
Crucero have won their 1st 2 games this season, and scored at home to racing last season but lost 3-0 here.
Historically that 3-0 was the only game crucero didn’t score v racing in 7 head to heads
Probably scraping the barrel but worth a small investment…..
Probably be 1-0 or 2-0 but hoping for 2-1
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That was a decent recoup Elvis, nice👍
Excellent – thanks Elvis! Nice way to finish the night (or to start Sunday).
Cheers guys,
Which bet did you take asotosyios ??
BTTS price stuck out as too big didn’t it. The lowest price I saw was 2-1.
3-1 now an unusually high scoring game for this league
Not full stakes by any means but 7-4 11-4 and 9-2 made it worthwhile 👍
I went with both BTTS and BTTS + over 2.5. Small stakes, but enough for some pints today after another (hopefully) Fulham win.
Main bet
Kristiansund win first half or second half odds 1.62
My accumulator for today
Kristiansund win first half or second half odds 1.62
Leipzig – Hoffenheim 2-5 match goals
Holstein – Hamburg x2 Hamburg can win
Sassuolo – Atalanta 2-5 match goals
Bodo Glim win first half or second half odds 1.37
Great shout Elvis 👍🏽👍🏽👍🏽
Not a bit write up after last week’s disastrous effort in Greece, but I will have a small stake effort tonight at the corners between AEK Athens and Aris Salonika.
Aris’ matches do not feature that many cornes, but AEK Athens can win enough depending on the nature of the game: they won 6 last week away at Olympiakos (11 total corners for both teams).
AEK Athens have won at least 6 corners in 8 of their last 11 games (9, 3, 8, 10, 7, 6, 12, 5, 7, 5 and 6) and there were at least 9 total corners in 9 of their last 11 games (17, 8, 14, 16, 9, 12, 13, 7, 8, 9 and 11).
17.30 Greece Super League 1; AEK Athens – Aris Salonika (all bets with Bet365)
Over 8 match corners @1.80
Over 5 corners for AEK Athens @2.37
Small stakes
Over 9 match corners @ 2.25
Over 6 corners for AEK Athens @3.40
Also, over 1.5 match goals:
17.00 Giannina – Panathinaikos
17.30 AEK Athens – Aris Salonika
Double @ 2.25
Good luck everyone!
Posted on Friday and still very happy with this..
City v Pool Sunday
Pool have to be backed here at the prices, their odds are far too generous imo.. won’t back the win but their odds for goals and corners are far too tempting.. my main bets will be as follows;
1+ mg 4+ Pool corners 4/6
1+ mg 5+ Pool corners 13/10
1+ mg 6+ Pool corners 9/4
1+ mg 7+ Pool corners 4/1
2+ Pool goals is 6/4 too and I’ll be on that, crazy price
All bet365.. BOL
All good on paper. Apart from the Benfica game Liverpool have not been creating a lot but should be more open for them v City. Gl .
Today ,
Club brugge
St Gallen
Over 2.5 mg’s double 1.2/1 hills
Goodluck…….
Hi fairly new to this forum. Had a dream last night that Manchester City and Liverpool drew 4-4 😳
Over 4.5 goals in the game at bet365 4/1 is my wager and “tip” if you like ( not purely based on my dream) alot of pointers without even having to go into detail say a goal fest. 🌞👍⚽️
Want to say a big thank you to Hullshucker, kris, and The caddy you guys are awesome. Plenty others who I forget names also! Appreciations from 🇫🇷
Goal in both halves in all Norweigan top flight games 25/1
Goal in both halves in all the Dutch and Swiss Top flight games 34/1 Doing all three 927/1
Adding the Belgian top flight games for the same apart from Sint Truidense and Union St G 4850/1
Reason these games have been left out is maxed out selections
sky prices should be a lot better elsewhere usng acca boost bookies
BIG BIG BIG BIG BIG ODDS 170
Leipzig – Hoffenheim 2-5 match goals
Hamburg 1-3 team goals
Kristiansund – Sarspborg 1x& over 1,5 match goals
Bodo Blim win first or second halfs
Helsinborgs – IFK Botteborg over 8,5 match corners
AIK – Norkoping 2-6 match goals interval
Djugarden 1-3 team goals
Osters – Brage over 1,5 match goals
Portimoiresne – Farmalicao 2-6 match goals interval
Porto win first or second halves / reprise odds 1.22
Vitesee – Cambuurs btts or over 2,5 match goals
Rosenborg win first or second halves
Viking – Aalesund 1x& over 1,5 match goals
Stromgodsets – Molde 2-5 match goals intevral
Sandhousen – Dresden Sandhousen over 4,5 team corners odda 1.55
total odaa 170
Bet this accumulator eith small stake or wherever you want
good chanse for all bets to win
Be more inspiren then me
I think there are 2 teams in the Italian serie c group A that are a certain bet to win….Padova and sudtirol….only 3 games to go in that division and only one point separating both teams….most of all the next match is a direct clash between them 2 teams …..so both will be going for a win today
Both of them teams won 🤣🤣🤣
St Mirren v Rangers
St Mirren should be up for this one
Over 1 card each team 2/1
Rangers card in each half 10/3
Bet365
St Mirren corner in the 1st 15 min 11/8
Over 1 St Mirren corner in the 1st 15 min 5/1
Hills
No joy with my Buddies corners LOSERS
St.Mirren have been terrible my bets aint lookin good !
St.Mirren/ Gers – Bet build, Both to get over 3 corners, U 3 1st haf cards + u 5 match cards .2/1. WH. BTTS 13/10 WH. Bonkers bet St.Mirren win and btts 20/1. General. £2 on that ! Gid luck.
WOW the bet build has landed after a late surge of Saints corners.
Servette
Sassuolo
Btts double evens
Gent over 1.5tgs
Anderlecht over 1.5tgs
Charleroi over 1.5tgs
Sint Truidense over 0.5tgs
Belgian 4 fold 17/10
All 7 Belgian games over 2.5mgs 13/1
Good luck
In play Sweden 12mins played
Ostera
Btts 6/4
Over 2.5mgs 21/10
Prices seem very generous
Good luck
Osters
Btts 6/4**WON**
Over 2.5mgs 21/10**WON**
1-2 58mins
Nice one mate cheers
PaddyPower & Bet365 both giving free £5 bet builder bets for Liverpool Vs Man City.
Anyone got any (semi) sensible ideas? 😉
I`m on over 1 Liverpool corner in the 1st 10 min 11/1
My bets are – O 5 City corners,O3 Pool corners,O 4 1st half corners,O 3 goals,both teams carded, Btts + City ht/ft. 40/1 B365. PP one – Liverpool win and O 3 goals,Over 10 corners, O 4 City O4 Pool corners + U 5 cards. Returns £418. Freebies so i try and win a bit.
Shouldn’t be far away today
Leicester v Palace BTTS
Bochum v Leverkusen BTTS
Sassuolo v Atalanta BTTS
Fulham o1.5tgls
5/1
England Premier League 14:00
Brentford vs West Ham – GIBH & 4+ corners in each half 5/2 Skybet **NAP**
Good luck all
LOST no first half goal
LOST no first half goal
Poor day for me in Paisley, all bets LOSERS
Fulham bet build- To win and score at least 2, u3 1st half cards,u 5.5 match cards and over 4 Fulham corners. 13/10.
Afternoon
Last post Friday lost in style 0/4🤦♂️
Todays longshot
Fulham v Coventry over 3.5 match goals
Man City v Liverpool over 2.5 match goals
Bodo Glint to score 2 or more goals against Sandefjord
Pays 13/2 skybet
Good luck everyone
Benevento RT9 corners 4/6
Goal less at HT & Benevento lead 5-0 on corners. Vicenza had man sent
1 corner short
🇨🇱 Cobresal v Audax Italiano 🇨🇱
17:30
Chilean Primera Division
BOTH TEAMS TO SCORE 10-11 (BET365)
🇨🇱 NAP 🇨🇱
Small side bet BTTS and over 2.5 goals 6-4.
*** Last 11 head to head here seen BTTS with 10 BTTS and over 2.5 ***
19 of last 22 h2h home and away seen BTTS.
Cobresal 2nd top and have seen BTTS in all 4 home games
Audax are bottom after 8 games but it’s early days
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AC Milan game u2.5g ⚽
Afternoon gents,
Sticking with the big EPL game and fancy the following bets – wouldn’t like to call the outcome although a score draw would have plenty of appeal:
OVER 5.5 MAN CITY CORNERS
(8/11, bet365) NAP ⭐️⭐️⭐️⭐️
CANCELO BOOKING
(19/10, unibet) NB ⭐️⭐️
LIVERPOOL TO MISS A PENALTY
(20/1, bet365) LONGSHOT ⭐️
Best of luck!
Just in case the City v Liverpool ends up shite, 0-0 draw an no booking points 450/1 Skybet😁
Sky bet boost
De bruyne mane salah shot on target 5/1
Good luck
365 free bet
Trent jota silva shot on target 7/1
Man city vs lfc. Corners
Under 6 corners 8/1
Under 8 5/2
Under 10 nap sky bet
1/1 on nap
Easy cover available if anyone followed 🤩🤩 letting mine run as there will be another goal I’m sure … 🤞
City v Pool
In Play.. 2+ Liverpool corners 11/10
Ladbrokes
Bad day at the office . Fulham and lack of corners in the big game the culprits.
4 City corners within 36 minutes then none for the next 54 – unreal and downs the Nap 👎
No joy with others either – should have been more confident in the score draw 🤦
Well done all winners!
Over Goals 2.5+ fourfold:-
Zwolle v AZ Alkmaar
17/20
Viking v Aalesunds 1/2
Levante v Barcelona 8/15
Torino v AC Milan 19/20
Pays 15/2😎
evening ladies…………… its been a while as just dont get a chance these days……………..
tonite its iceland for me at 9pm…………….
o1.5 fhgls 11/8
o3.5mgs 6/4
o2.5 fhgls 9/2
usual second half red and both teams red in french game
GL……….
Servette
Sassuolo
Btts double evens**LOST** somehow no Zurich goal against 10 men despite 20 shots at goal
Gent over 1.5tgs
Anderlecht over 1.5tgs
Charleroi over 1.5tgs
Sint Truidense over 0.5tgs
Belgian 4 fold 17/10**WON**
All 7 Belgian games over 2.5mgs 13/1**LOST**
Well done all winners
Sky bet boost
De bruyne mane salah shot on target 5/1
Good luck ❌ no salah shot
Well done all winners
Today ,
Club brugge ❌
St Gallen ✅
Over 2.5 mg’s double 1.2/1 hills **LOST**
Goodluck…….
Finished 2-0 in brugge 3rd goal ruled out in the 81st 👎👎
Was on this Deano, thought we were there at 3.0, hey ho unlucky
Yer mate it was pretty unlucky loads of attempts at goal for club brugge not sure how they was only 2 goals , like you say we move on 👍
All well with the corners in Greece (9 for AEK Athens – 13 in total), but no goals at the Giannina-Panathinaikos game down the full house. Still, happy with that – well done all winners!
17.30 Greece Super League 1; AEK Athens – Aris Salonika (all bets with Bet365)
Over 8 match corners @1.80 – WON
Over 5 corners for AEK Athens @2.37 – WON
Small stakes
Over 9 match corners @ 2.25 – WON
Over 6 corners for AEK Athens @3.40 – WON
Also, over 1.5 match goals:
17.00 Giannina – Panathinaikos
17.30 AEK Athens – Aris Salonika
Double @ 2.25 – LOST
City v Pool Sunday
Pool have to be backed here at the prices, their odds are far too generous imo.. won’t back the win but their odds for goals and corners are far too tempting.. my main bets will be as follows;
1+ mg 4+ Pool corners 4/6
1+ mg 5+ Pool corners 13/10
1+ mg 6+ Pool corners 9/4
1+ mg 7+ Pool corners 4/1
2+ Pool goals is 6/4 too and I’ll be on that, crazy price
❌❌❌❌ for the corners.. and one more ❌ for doing 2+ inplay, shocked isn’t the word.. Pool had to win today imo so thought corners was a great bet, hope nobody followed
Evening
Todays longshot
Fulham v Coventry over 3.5 match goals✔
Man City v Liverpool over 2.5 match goals✔
Bodo Glint to score 2 or more goals against Sandefjord ✔
Pays 13/2 skybet ✔
All good touch of luck with late goal at Fulham
Tonight
Vizela v Braga 5 first half corners
Levante v Barca P Aubameyang 2 shots on target
Marseille v Montpellier over 1.5 goals over 8.5 corners over 25 booking points
Pays 11/2 skybet
Good luck everyone & well done all winners
Anybody know what happened to the Union Saint-Gilloise game ? It was 0-0 (crazily enough) but then suspended at 82mins and went off ?
It was Abandoned due to spectator riots
Thanks Martin, what happens if I had that game as part of an Acca ?
Should be counted as a non runner but different bookies have different rules
For example if its re-played within 24 hours
Thanks Martin, my bet was with William Hill
I think with William Hill your bet will stand for 36 hours and then classed as a non-runner if no result of the abandoned match has been declared.
Others on this site who use William Hill may be able to confirm
Again NAP lost, ended 0-1 🗑️
On to the NB
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Envigado FC v Santa Fe
21:00
Colombian Categoria Primera A
Both teams to score 11-10 NB ( bet365)
This looks like a 1-1 draw.
Envigado BTTS in last 9 league games.
Santa Fe BTTS in 5 of 6 away league games and conceded in all 6.
Last 3 head to head BTTS
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2 side bets
Team to score double pays 6-4 (UNIBET)
Envigado 1-2
Ahal 4-6
Btts double pays 3-1 (BETFAIR SPORTSBOOK)
Envigado 11-10
Ahal 10-11
Ahal v gharaffa is AFC champions League ko 9-15 pm at neutral ground
——————————————————
On the Colombian game and also having a go at BTTS + over 2.5 goals – good luck!
AFC 9.15
Al Taawon btts 4/5
Jamaica 9pm
Tivoli btts 10/11
2 singles & double 5/2
Good luck
@ Martin it has been settled as VOID like you said, so paid out but a little less but happy with that.
Thanks mate, much appreciated ❤️
👍
AC Milan game u2.5g ⚽. ✅💵👍
Ty man city game smashed it at not getting corners pur all my winnings on Scottie in golf.
As tipped by caddy
Night Owl – Paraguay…
LIBERTAD VS. SOL DE AMÉRICA (11.00pm)
Libertad back in the type of form they were in historically after a bit of a decline – a good chance they might grab a few here:
LIBERTAD OVER 1.5 TEAM GOALS
(8/11, bet365) ⭐️⭐️⭐️⭐️⭐️
LIBERTAD OVER 2.5 TEAM GOALS
(7/4, bet365) ⭐️⭐️
Best of luck!
AFC 9.15
Al Taawon btts 4/5**LOST**0-1
Jamaica 9pm
Tivoli btts 10/11**WON** 1-1
2 singles & double 5/2**LOST**
Bayern to qualify on Tuesday night ? Surely Villarreal can’t continue there run in the Champions League ? I’m seeing a 2-0 or 3-0 win.
Thoughts ?