MRFixTips has analysed a series of unique angles to shape our BetBuilder for the Champions League final clash between Paris Saint-Germain and Arsenal on Saturday.
Paris Saint-Germain vs Arsenal, Saturday (17:00)
Puskas Arena sets the stage for an intriguing Champions League final on Saturday evening as holders Paris Saint-Germain lock horns with Arsenal.
Les Parisiens are looking to become only the second team to retain the coveted European crown since the competition’s rebranding in 1992-93 following their emphatic victory over Inter Milan in last year’s showpiece.
The Gunners, on the other hand, are aiming to be second time lucky, having lost their only previous final to Barcelona in 2006.
Arsenal over 3.5 corner
One of Arsenal’s biggest weapons has been their set-piece threat, and it is only natural to expect the Gunners to lean on that edge against a PSG side that are likely to dominate possession.
Mikel Arteta’s men are among the most dangerous sides in Europe from dead-ball situations, and the data supports how often they convert that into pressure, highlighted by the fact they have registered at least four corners in four of their last five Champions League matches.
PSG, meanwhile, have shown vulnerability in this area in recent times, conceding four or more corners in two of their last three UCL outings, so Arsenal over 3.5 corners at 4/9 (1.44) appeals.
Gabriel Magalhaes 1+ shot
The second selection in the BetBuilder ties neatly into the first, with Gabriel Magalhaes often Arsenal’s key aerial outlet in attacking set-piece situations.
The Brazilian averages 0.8 shots per game in this season’s Champions League, just under one attempt per match, but given Arsenal’s likely reliance on dead balls, he should get at least one effort away even if it does not trouble the net.
The centre-back also features in our first goalscorer shortlist and anytime goalscorer market, further strengthening the case for Gabriel Magalhaes 1+ shot at 4/9 (1.44).
Under 3.5 goals
This final brings together one of the competition’s most dangerous attacks against one of its most organised defences, but the high-stakes nature of the occasion suggests caution rather than chaos.
Each of the last seven Champions League finals has seen no more than one team score, with six of those finishing under three total goals, the only outlier being PSG’s 5-0 win over Inter last year.
While Les Parisiens boast elite attacking quality, they meet an Arsenal side that has conceded three or more goals in a competitive match just once in over two years.
The Gunners themselves are also a controlled, pragmatic outfit rather than an open one, so under 3.5 goals at 3/10 (1.30) looks a strong angle for the BetBuilder.
Nuno Mendes to be fouled over 0.5 times
Completing the BetBuilder is Nuno Mendes to be fouled at least once, with the Portuguese full-back’s playing style strongly supporting this selection.
Mendes is effective at both ends of the pitch, with his pace, strength and aggressive overlaps making him a constant outlet down the left flank.
The full-back’s attacking bursts often draw pressure, and he could regularly force Arsenal into recovery fouls, especially in transition moments.
The 23-year-old averages 1.3 fouls drawn per game in this season’s Champions League, so Nuno Mendes to be fouled over 0.5 times at 9/50 (1.18) completes the BetBuilder.
This four-legged Bet Builder pays 11/5 with bet365, and it represents a solid value angle.
Recommended Bets
- Arsenal over 3.5 corners
- Gabriel Magalhaes 1+ shots
- Under 3.5 goals
- Nuno Mendes to be fouled – over 0.5
- Bet Builder – 11/5 (3.19) – bet365
GambleAware