Tottenham v Newcastle
Tottenham

Tottenham vs Newcastle

, KO: 17:30 , Tottenham Hotspur Stadium
Newcastle

Both Tottenham and Newcastle will be targeting their first Premier League wins of the season when they square off on Saturday evening.

Spurs came into the new campaign feeling a lot more upbeat after coming precariously close to relegation last season, with a huge summer outlay on new recruits adding to the excitement around the club.

However, that feeling quickly changed last weekend when Tottenham were swept aside 3-0 by Brentford.

Roberto De Zerbi's side did get that defeat out of their system in midweek, though, cruising to a 5-1 win over Charlton in the EFL Cup.

As for Newcastle, they have one point on the board, but they'll be disappointed not to have more after conceding a late equaliser in a 2-2 draw with Liverpool last Sunday, a game that brought up my recommended bet.

Like Tottenham, the Magpies also marched into the third round of the EFL Cup in midweek, seeing off lower-league opposition with a 3-2 win over West Brom.

How the bookies view it: Tottenham to triumph

Despite last week's defeat to Brentford, Tottenham head into this clash as 5/4 favourites with bet365.

Newcastle are 19/10 outsiders with the same firm, while the draw is an unfancied 11/4.

Head to head: History favours the hosts

Tottenham have won 74 of their 175 meetings with Newcastle, with the Magpies winning 66 and 35 ending all square. However, it is worth noting that Newcastle avoided defeat in both of their Premier League meetings with Tottenham last season, including a 2-1 victory at this venue. The same scoreline on Saturday evening pays 11/1 with bet365.

Players to watch: Tonali to be targeted?

Sandro Tonali could come in for some rough treatment against his former club, with the even-money quote for the Tottenham midfielder to be fouled two or more times looking to offer some value with bet365.

Lewis Hall proved extremely effective at drawing fouls last season, earning Newcastle an average of 1.65 free kicks per game in the Premier League. That makes the Magpies' left-back an appealing option to be fouled at least twice here at 5/6 with bet365.

Predicted line-ups

Dejan Kulusevski, Mohamed Kudus, Wilson Odobert and Xavi Simons are all in the Tottenham treatment room, while James Maddison and Pape Sarr are major doubts.

Newcastle will be without injured trio Dan Burn, Joelinton and William Osula, while Tino Livramento is rated touch and go.

Tottenham: Kinsky; Porro, Van Hecke, Van de Ven, Robertson; Fernandes, Tonali, Gallagher; Savio, Richarlison, Tel

Newcastle: Hornicek; Dedic, Thiaw, Botman, Hall; Gonzalez, Miley; Elanga, Wissa, Barnes; Woltemade

🔍 X-pert tip from The Betting Desk
Don't know your xG from your xP? We've got you covered with our data-led X-pert tip!

MFT's X-pert tip: Over 2.5 goals & BTTS

Tottenham and Newcastle both showed enough defensive weakness on the opening weekend to support both teams to score and over 2.5 goals at 10/11.

Tottenham lost 3-0 at Brentford after conceding 3.87 xGA, 26 shots, 20 attempts inside the box and six big chances. Their attacking return was limited to 0.59 xG, but they still managed four shots on target and created two big chances.

Newcastle’s 2-2 draw with Liverpool produced 4.91 combined xG, 40 shots, 11 shots on target and six big chances. Newcastle scored twice from 1.27 xG, but their defence allowed Liverpool 3.64 xG and 27 attempts.

Last season’s figures provide further support. Both teams scored in 13 of Tottenham’s 19 home matches, with those fixtures producing 53 goals. Newcastle kept clean sheets in only 26% of their away games and conceded 25 times.

Neither defence showed enough control in its opening fixture. Tottenham should improve at home, while Newcastle have already shown they are capable of scoring against strong opposition.

Anything else catch the eye?

With neither outcome holding much appeal in the 1×2 market, I'm instead going to dip into the Bet Builder market.

Combining both teams to score alongside both teams to receive a card generates a 10/11 (bet365) shot that holds plenty of appeal.

This bet would have landed in each of Newcastle's opening two games of the season, while it would also have paid out in Spurs' midweek win over Charlton.

Tottenham vs Newcastle Betting Tips & Predictions
Both Teams to Score & Both Teams to Receive a Card
10/11
Bet365
Lewis Hall To Be Fouled 2+ Times
5/6
Bet365
Sandro Tonali To Be Fouled 2+ Times
1/1
Bet365
Further Reading
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All betting odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.

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