Manchester City v Arsenal
Manchester City

Manchester City vs Arsenal

, KO: 16:30 , Etihad Stadium
Arsenal

In what is the biggest game in the Premier League title race to date, second-placed Manchester City welcome leaders Arsenal to the Etihad on Super Sunday.

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Arsenal’s hopes of a quadruple have quickly evaporated over the past few weeks, as defeat in the Carabao Cup final to Manchester City was followed by a shock FA Cup exit away at Southampton last Saturday.

Mikel Arteta’s men did squeeze their way through to the semi-finals of the Champions League on Wednesday night, as they knocked out reigning Portuguese champions Sporting CP 1-0 on aggregate following a goalless draw at the Emirates in the second leg.

However, the Gunners head into this clash having seen their four-game winning run in the Premier League come to an end last weekend, as they suffered a shock 1-2 loss at home to Bournemouth.

Manchester City seem to be hitting form at the right time, as they followed up their Carabao Cup success over the Gunners by putting four past Liverpool at the Etihad in the FA Cup quarter-finals.

Pep Guardiola’s men then took advantage of Arsenal’s slip-up against Bournemouth the following day, securing a 0-3 victory at Stamford Bridge against out-of-form Chelsea – on an afternoon I landed a 4/5 winner.

The Cityzens are now just six points behind their North London opponents in the Premier League table, and know a win on Sunday and victory in their game in hand against relegation-threatened could see them leapfrog the Gunners to top spot.

How the bookies view it: City favourites

Manchester City are favourites to secure a fourth consecutive win in all competitions on Sunday, with bet365 pricing a home success at 5/6.

The Gunners are 10/3 underdogs to claim just a second victory from their last six clashes in all competitions, whilst the draw is 11/4.

Head to head: City to follow up League Cup success?

As mentioned above, Manchester City were victorious in the last meeting between the pair less than four weeks ago, winning 2-0 in the Carabao Cup final.

What’s more, the Cityzens are unbeaten in each of their previous 10 Premier League meetings with the Gunners at the Etihad, winning seven of them (W7-D3-L0).

Players to watch: Silva to be shown yellow again?

Bernardo Silva did the business for us a fortnight ago by backing up his 15th card of the season against Liverpool (14 yellows & one red), meaning he has now been carded in six of his past 11 appearances for Manchester City in all competitions.

What’s more, the Portuguese international was booked in the reverse at the Emirates back in September, and is an appealing 15/8 at bet365 to be carded at the Etihad on Sunday.

Predicted line-ups:

Manchester City will still be without the injured Ruben Dias and Josko Gvardiol, whilst John Stones is a doubt.

Mikel Arteta will be without the injured Mikel Merino, whilst Jurrien Timber, Noni Madueke, Martin Odegaard and Bukayo Saka are doubts.

Manchester City: Donnarumma, Nunes, Khusanov, Guehi, O’Reilly, Rodri, Silva, Semenyo, Cherki, Doku, Haaland

Arsenal: Raya, White, Saliba, Gabriel, Calafiori, Zubimendi, Rice, Eze, Havertz, Trossard, Gyokeres

 
🔍 X-pert tip from The Betting Desk
Don't know your xG from your xP? We've got you covered with our data-led X-pert tip!

MFT's X-pert tip: City to win

Manchester City enter this game with the strongest underlying process in the league, ranking first for xG, NPxG, xPTS and big chances across the last eight.

They average 2.07 xG while conceding just 1.06, showing both control and efficiency. Arsenal remain strong, particularly defensively, allowing only 0.79 NPxGA away and winning 75.0% of away xG battles.

That defensive structure limits the likelihood of a high scoring game. City’s home profile shows dominance, winning 93.3% of xG battles and producing 15.60 shots per game. Arsenal still carry attacking threat with 1.73 NPxG, but against elite opposition their games tend to stay controlled rather than open.

This points towards a City edge in quality and territory, but within a structured game state. A home win paired with under 4.5 goals fits both teams’ profiles.

Anything else catch the eye?

Nico O’Reilly was the hero in the Carabao Cup final, as his two goals in the space of four minutes were enough to secure Manchester City the trophy.

The England international has scored six goals and provided an assist across his 10 appearances in all competitions for the Cityzens – including the opener at Stamford Bridge last weekend – and looks good value at 3/1 at bet365 to Score or Assist on Sunday.

Manchester City vs Arsenal Betting Tips & Predictions
Manchester City to Win
5/6
Bet365
Bernardo Silva to be Carded
15/8
Bet365
Nico O’Reilly to Score or Assist
3/1
Bet365
Further Reading
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All betting odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.

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