Bayern Munich continue their record-breaking title charge at home with an exciting clash with relegation-threatened Wolfsburg, whose life under Daniel Bauer as permanent manager began with a disappointing defeat.
The Bavarians ended 2025 with a nine-point lead at the top of the table, and their 41-point tally is the tied-best after 15 rounds in Bundesliga history. Even more impressively, they scored 55 goals in the process, which is an absolute record, so teams with struggling defences like Wolfsburg have a lot to worry about.
The Wolves gave Danuel Bauer the permanent job after he spent two months as caretaker, but his official tenure began with a sensational 4-3 loss at home to Freiburg.
While the match itself was one of the highlights of the season, Wolfsburg allowed Freiburg to come from behind twice for the final score. With this, the Wolves ended the year just three points away from the drop zone.
The one positive since Bauer’s appointment has been their goal output. Wolfsburg have scored in seven consecutive domestic fixtures, including 3+ goals in three games in a row for the first time since 2019.
How the bookies view it: Extreme home advantage
The bookmakers' odds completely negate any standard bets in favor of Bayern, because their advantage is huge.
However, you can go for 1/10 on Bayern Munich or take a risk on Wolfsburg winning this match at 16/1. Even the price for a draw is abnormally high at 9/1.
Recent head-to-head: The Wolves have never won away in Munich
The Bavarians hold many Bundesliga records and, unfortunately for Wolfsburg, they are on the wrong side of one of them. The Wolves have never beaten Bayern Munich away in the league, and this will be their 29th visit in total.
No team has been unbeaten more times against the same opponent at home than Bayern against Wolfsburg, with 26 wins in 28 games to date.
If we focus on their most recent encounters, both matches last season had the same result – 3-2 for Bayern.
Players to watch: Olise is putting in superstar numbers
Harry Kane to score will always be the obvious pick, and he is now the fastest player to reach 100 goal contributions in the Bundesliga at 78 appearances. But you will not find much value in his odds at this point, so we will instead move our attention to Michael Olise.
The Frenchman already has 15 goal contributions in 15 rounds (G7, A8), which is not surprising after he had 29 in 34 games last season. He also scored and assisted in the same fixture against Wolfsburg last season.
Probable line-ups
Bayern Munich: Neuer, Laimer, Upamecano, Tah, Stanisic, Goretzka, Pavlovic, Olise, Gnabry, Diaz, Kane
Wolfsburg: Grabara, Zehnter, Koulierakis, Seelt, Kumbedi, Arnold, Gerhardt, Eriksen, Majer, Wimmer, Pejcinovic
Anything else catch the eye?
Every possible angle points to a high-scoring encounter. Even if Wolfsburg had improved their scoring form, Bayern average 3.9 goals per game at home.
We must also consider their recent matches against each other. Four of the last five have included over 2.5 goals and goals from both teams. Wolfsburg in particular scored a total of seven goals in those five clashes, while Bayern scored 14.
Given Bayern's phenomenal defensive play in most games, there is considerable value in the odds for both teams to score. Additionally, we feel like the Bavarians are more than capable of scoring early, just like they held the lead at HT in the last nine H2Hs.
Think both sides will find the net? Our BTTS Masterclass explains how to spot the fixtures where goals are a given.
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