LEEDS look in a bit of a mess after a promising start to life in the Championship.

They have conceded eight goals in their last two home games – a 2-1 defeat to lowly Leicester and that 6-4 thumping by Preston after leading 4-1.

Middlesbrough were beaten away between those two losses but that's not much of an achievement these days and I can see them struggling against title-chasing Cardiff tonight.

The Elland Road crowd aren't the most patient and are likely to get on players' backs if they're not performing well.

Cardiff have the chance to join QPR at the top of the table and go into the game on a high after three wins on the spin over Coventry, Bristol City and Barnsley.

All were by a single goal which indicates the battling qualities of Dave Jones' side even when they aren't firing on all cylinders.

Cardiff are bidding for a fifth successive league win over Leeds and are unbeaten in their last four visits to Elland Road.

I reckon they'll get it and are a biggest 8-5 with the likes of Coral and totesport. Leeds are 2-1 at William Hill and the draw pays 12-5 with Chandler.

Leeds' defence has been so poor that it might be worth a wager on Cardiff minus one at 5-1 with Stan James while boylesports' minus two at 16-1 is giving me the eye.

Cardiff should start with Craig Bellamy and Jay Bothroyd, two strikers who can terrorise any backline. Bellers is 7-1 with Chandler to notch the opener but I prefer Bothroyd at 15-2 with Stan James.

An even bigger price is the ever-dangerous wideman Chris Burke at 16-1 with Chandler while Leeds, who have been playing with one up front at home, are likely to see Luciano Becchio, 7-1 with Stan James, provide their biggest goal threat.

This is a match that should produce goals and over 2.5 pays evens with Stan James.


Cardiff minus one

(5-1, Stan James)


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