During the summer, the Spanish top flight became the destination for one of the world’s biggest goal-scoring superstars.
So how is the ‘Trofeo Pichichi’ race in La Liga shaping up with Kylian Mbappe's debut season at Real Madrid taking centre stage?
Best La Liga top scorer odds
The race for the Pichichi Trophy has seen Robert Lewandowski setting the early pace. But after his first goals of the season, Mbappe has quickly shortened at the head of the market. Here’s a look at the latest La Liga top scorer tips.
Kylian Mbappe – 11/8
After leaving Ligue 1, Mbappe now attempts to tear up the goalscoring charts in the much tougher La Liga. Unsurprisingly, Mbappe is the favourite in La Liga top scorer odds, but after a tricky Euro 2024 and failing to score in his first three La Liga matches, the odds-on quote seems overpriced.
Mbappe got his first La Liga goals with a brace against Real Betis, leaving him with two goals (one penalty) from an average of 6.5 shots per game in his first four La Liga matches. He should be in the running once he gets up and running, but his price to do so won’t improve.
Betting tip: Kylian Mbappé First Goalscorer 16/5
Mbappe is now up and running after a slow start to the season. The Frenchman is on a four-match scoring streak in La Liga and Real Madrid are big home favourites against Villarreal on the weekend.
Robert Lewandowski – 7/4
Barcelona’s Lewandowski powered four goals in his first four campaign appearances. Lewandowski, who won the Pichichi Trophy in 2023, could easily be back among the goals this season with new Head Coach Hansi Flick’s penchant for flowing, attacking football.
Betting tip: Barcelona Win, Over 3 Goals and Robert Lewandowski to Score Anytime 9/2
Lewandowski is showing no signs of slowing up in front of goal, with five goals in his last three matches in all competitions. Barca visit Alaves this weekend and Lewandowski will get his chances.
Vinicius Jr – 12/1
Vinicius Jr tallied 15 league goals in 26 appearances for Real Madrid last season and is a decent quote to be the league’s top scorer. The price leaves room for the big question of how much his influence is going to be helped or hindered by the presence of Mbappe. Vinicius Jr could be the first Brazilian to win the Pichichi Trophy since Ronaldo in 2004.
Betting tip: HT/FT Real Madrid/Real Madrid, Vinícius Jr to Score Anytime and Real Madrid Most Corners 5/2
Vini Jr has been a bit quieter than usual this season, with just three league goals to his name so far. He’s not been at his best, but is still capable of those influential moments of brilliance.
Raphinha – 14/1
Three goals in four games have given Raphinha half of his tally from the previous campaign. But 16/1 seems generous for a player who’s only reached double figures once in eight European seasons. Still, his early form makes him a dark horse in La Liga top scorer tips.
Betting Tip: Raphinha Anytime Goalscorer 11/5
Barcelona’s Raphinha has been contributing well this season and could be on course for double figures this season.
Our La Liga top scorer prediction
Everyone is looking for Mbappe to run away with the top goalscorer accolade. But the better value in the La Liga top scorer odds is on Lewandowski, who is already a proven top goalscorer.
His return last season of 19 goals was his lowest tally in a campaign since the 2014/15 Bundesliga, but he’s now the focal point of a much more attack-minded Barcelona side.
Article by Lee Jackson
I am an experienced sports writer with a passion for football, rugby, cricket, darts, snooker and more. With over 15 years of expertise in sports writing, I have developed extensive knowledge in sports betting, strategies, and odds. I enjoy researching facts and statistics and outside of sports writing I enjoy photography and reading.
In December 2020 we sadly 
