This tip has expired. Please check our free horse racing tips section of the website to find the most up to date.
Rizzel only had one selection on Tuesday which was unfortunately a losing one.
I missed the race, however, Rizz informed me that the horse was brought very wide into the straight which didn't help its chances but ultimately never looked like landing a blow.
Cairnzy's Tips
Humble Spark 10/11 – Newcastle 1.33
My first selection of the day isn't the most exciting of prices at 10/11 but I do fancy the chances of this horse getting the job done.
I actually backed this horse last time out when winning at this very same course at the end of December last year, and I have to admit, I was quite impressed in how Humble Spark saw out that particular contest. My selection was ridden towards the rear of the field in a slowly run contest and encountered traffic problems when he tried to mount a challenge. The gaps did finally appear for Humble Spark as they entered the business end of the contest and he quickened up quite stylishly to get up on the line by half a length.
Jockey Paul Mulrennan is one of the best in the business at producing horses late from off the pace and I'm glad to see him back on board my selection this time around. My selection is up 2lb for that recent success which seems fair and a return to 1m4f looks well within reach given how well he stayed on last time out.
Percy Willis is a proven C&D performer and looks the main danger to Humble Spark in what looks a tight little contest on paper.
Transparent & Golden Thorn RFC – Kempton 5.30
Forecasts aren't my sort of bets, but I thought I'd throw up something different on the thread and chance my arm.
The two horses I liked in this contest were Transparent and Golden Thorn who I think will battle this contest out unless one of the new comers are to spring a surprise.
I'm not surprised to see Transparent marked up for favourite in this contest given the promise he showed on debut in October of last year. He should have learned plenty for that run and will likely progress further for the experience. The form of the debut run reads okay with the third coming out and winning next time out.
The other horse I liked was Andrew Baldings Golden Thorn and If I was to have a straight win bet on this race she would be my selection at more attractive odds of 5/1. Golden Thorn has had two career starts to date and she took a massive step forward from her debut effort to finish second at this very same course last month. Golden Thorn has plenty of pace about her and will more than likely be ridden prominently by jockey Haley Turner on Wednesday evening. The contest in which she finished second in was over 1m and she ran out of puff when entering the final furlong. Tomorrow's drop-in trip to 7f looks like the correct move, and she could take some pegging back if getting an uncontested lead.
Zoran 5/2 – Kempton 8.00
I spoke to Rizz earlier on and mentioned that I fancied Haaland for this particular contest but I've had a change of heart since then and I've back tracked on my initial thoughts.
The horse I've decided to go with is Emma Lavelles Zoran who I think should have a bit too much for this field. Zoran is a horse who is proven over further than today's distance of 2m and was last seen finishing a respectable third at this course last month in the Class 2 London Stayers' Series Handicap, a race that was eventually won by the now 96 rated Duke Of Oxford. Zoran ran a blinder on that occasion and was only railed in when entering the final furlong to go down by just over one length.
Zoran drops down into a class four for this contest and I think he should have too much for this field.
Racing prospects until Saturday
Wednesday
Taunton Going soft; inspection 7.30am Wednesday
Newcastle Going standard to slow
Kempton Going standard to slow
Thursday
Lingfield Going standard to slow
Newbury Going chase, soft, hurdles, heavy, soft in places; inspection 8.30am Wednesday
Chelmsford Going standard to slow
Catterick ABANDONED
Clonmel ABANDONED
Friday
Lingfield Going standard to slow
Huntingdon Going soft; inspection 8.30am Wednesday
Doncaster Track unraceable; inspection 8am Wednesday
Newcastle Going standard
Dundalk Going standard
Saturday
Warwick Going heavy, soft in places, waterlogged in areas
Wetherby Course covered in snow, but also extensively flooded and frozen
Kempton Course waterlogged in places
Fairyhouse Unfit for racing with parts of the track frozen
Newcastle Going standard
Wolverhampton Going standard
Show no fear 1-33 Newcastle.
6-4 top 2 finish BETFAIR. NAP 🏇
And a couple of quids on the win 6-1 bet365
Not ran since September and distance probably too short to win but could well run on for a top 2.
Horses in these shit handicaps don’t often win back to back so that casts doubt on the odds on favourite humble spark.
Humble spark beat Percy Willis recently but Percy was unlucky in running and better off weight wise today so could reverse that form.
Illucidate is a hurdler but came 4th in a recent flat run at 80-1 but would be a surprise winner.
Show no fear has been running in better class races than these admittedly over further and won after a break last may and ran a cracker in the class 2 Northumberland vase here at Newcastle in June finishing 2nd.
A repeat of that performance could see him coming close here if it’s a true run race and not a tactical affair.
affirm 11.10 happy valley
the azure 11.40 happy valley well done all winners yesterday
beauty light 12.10 happy valley
kykorock 12.45 ew
Fallen soldier 1.03n 14-1🍀🍀gl all
Percy Willis 1.33
northern ruler 2.05 nap
tom doniphon 2.15 nb
Rhythm and hooves 2.33n 9-2☘️☘️gl all
Russian virtue 3.03n 9-1🍀🍀gl all
Also 3-4-5 ctc ☘️☘️gl all
Keep me stable lucky last 16-1☘️☘️gl all
🇺🇸
Mahoning Valley -Race 1…Buckeye Rose EVS *****
Race 2…Princeofthenorth 9/4 ***
Gulfstream – Race 2…West Bank 6/5
Race 4…Take Your Seats 7/4 ***+
Tampa – Race 5..Western Run 7:4 Skybet Boost
Race 9…Rose Collector 6/5. ****+
All Bet365 less stated ⬆️
Ew plays Tampa Bay -Race 1…He’s Side Eyed 9/2 Skybet
Race 2…She’s A Joy 8/1 Bet365
GL all and well done the winners today ✅
All good in the donkey derby.
Cairnzy got his winner and I got my NAP.
didn’t look at Taunton as I thought it would be abandoned 🤔
All jumps meetings off tomorrow and friday.
Wetherby already off on Saturday
Just the all weather rubbish again ☹️
poncho 8.00 ew
well done all winners today
🇺🇸
Tampa Bay -Race 8…American Direction 11/2 Bet365
Coral Insurance bet – as in money back if 2nd or 3rd is 7/2 👌
Ran once (on turf) so has experience versus a lot of these, dirt workouts are good and although trainers records been poor the jockeys Sammy Camacho record is top notch and he takes the reins.
If it was on turf he be favourite im sure. 🤔