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Cairnzy is away on Saturday as he has made the trip over to Liverpool to watch his beloved Everton. So with that said, it's just two selections for Sunday's racing.

Rizzel's Tips

Cockalorum 5/1 – Pontefract 5.45

After looking through this race and seeing if I could see a way that Highwaygrey could play a big role and get run late on, I came to the decision that this race doesn't look that strong and I'm more than happy to back the top weight who has been running consistently well in recent times.

Cockalorum is now a 9-year-old but is still operating at a decent level and seems like a gatekeeper for horses who want to go up in class. He has run some cracking races this season, which saw him get a win three runs ago, followed up by two placed efforts in some competitive races, which look a lot stronger than today's race. Over the years, Cockalorum has been best seen when making the running, and that's something that Ben Sanderson employed on his last two runs, but with Jason Hart in the saddle and drawn in Stall 6, I'm not sure whether they'll go for the front running tactics again, but either way, he should be placed prominently and should get a clear run.

The form of his last two runs looks to be the best in this race. The third-placed effort behind Lieber Power looks very strong in comparison to what the other horses in this race have achieved, as the winner has since won a Racing League race and then nearly followed that up with his second Racing League win, but was edged out by a horse who landed the hat-trick. The runner-up from York hasn't franked the form, but the two runs after have come over shorter, which definitely appears to be too short for him, as his runs over 1m 4f previously were good efforts behind the likes of Fairbanks. Obviously, today's race is over 10f and not the 12f that the York race was over, but Cockalorum has always been known for racing over today's trip, and he showed he is still good at this trip when winning a Class 4 race at Beverley and finishing a good second last time out at Ripon behind a younger progressive horse who ran in the Sandown race won by Blake, which looks like strong form with the fourth (Ashariba) winning next time out.

Today's handicap mark and the weight of 10st 2lbs is going to make this tricky, but if he can put in a repeat performance of the last two/three races, that could be good enough in a race which doesn't appear to have the most well-handicapped horses. The 3-year-old horses will carry the threat as they are unexposed, but See That Storm only beat a 68-rated horse, whilst running off a 1lb lower race weight when 8lbs higher in the handicap, by 1L and that doesn't scream out to be impressive.

Path To Dubai EW 10/1 4 places – Southwell 3.55

I am out quite early on Saturday, so these are being typed up before the odds have been released, but going off the forecast odds, which can often be wrong, I thought that Path To Dubai was of interest back on the AW in a race that offers four places.

If you are a supporter of Path To Dubai you're going to need to forgive his last two runs which have been nothing short of terrible. He has finished last on both of his last starts, but you can probably give him the benefit of the doubt. At Kempton, before his gelding operation, Neil Callan looked down at his mount when the horse went backwards very sharply and it did seem something wasn't quite right, so you have to be able to forgive him for that performance as prior to that, he had been running very well and looking like a horse who was progressing nicely on the all-weather. Last time out he made his turf debut and he didn't exactly look in love with the grass, and might've needed the run as he was weak in the market and was never really put into the race.

I think he is worth a chance in this race now he's back on the all-weather and running over 12f. His form prior to his two recent efforts looks strong against some exposed types in this Southwell race. He has already shown a liking to the track as he managed to win here on debut, and then he proved that promise when running well in his follow-up runs at Wolverhampton and back at Southwell. In hindsight, it was a tough task to win on his second run when he bumped into King Of Spain as he was carrying a penalty for his debut win and the winner has since come out and won a Class 3 handicap with ease, and is now rated 81. The third in that race was See That Storm who is in the Cockalorum race, and is the favourite for that race too, so is expected to go well. The time after back at Southwell he bumped into another horse who was on a decent mark. Attila The Honey was racing off a mark of 75 and had a 7lb claimer on board, which effectively meant he was racing off a mark of 68. That horse has since won a Class 3 race at Newbury and was second in the same class race at Ascot the time after off a mark of 87.

Clifford Lee takes the ride today, which isn't a concern from taking over from Neil Callan who has been the main rider for James Tate this year as Clifford sits in second spot for most rides for this yard and he has been the most successful for James. Clifford has a 39% SR for this stable this year, which has seen him get 7 winners from 18 rides, with a further 5 in the top four, which bodes well for the extra place on offer in this race today.

Horse Racing Tips
Cockalorum
Pontefract - 5:45 pm

5/1 @ Bet365

Path To Dubai
Southwell - 3:55 pm

10/1 EW @ Bet365

15 Comments
  1. hibee1 2 months ago

    Design 3.20 Southwell tomorrow

    Odds have literally disappeared in last few minutes. Best price 9/4 now from 7/2 opening show. I’ll stick a few stats down incase it’s of any help when I get a minute

    35% strike rate for William Haggas in the last 2 weeks. Yard have been in excellent firm. 7 of their last 12 runners have won.
    Yard have only had 8 winners from 50 two year old runners which obviously isn’t too good but when you look a bit closer you see their 2 year old are starting to win. 5 from their last 16 2 year old have won.
    27% strike rate at Southwell for the stable.
    Looked really green in all her races but you can see she’s starting to get the hang of it. Her form stands out a mile compared to the other runners.
    On debut in a class 5 at Ripon she was 3rd to Loom who then went on to finish 7th in the Norfolk at Royal Ascot. The 2nd placed runner at Ripon, Artagnan went on to win a class 2 race at Goodwood.
    Next run at Nottingham was 6th to Mr Lights idea beaten about 5 lengths, who then went on finish 3rd to Big Mojo in the Group 3 Molecomb at Goodwood.
    Next race at Thirsk finishing 2nd to Li Banwho went on to finish 3rd in a 100k race at Naas.
    AW debut tomorrow, but breeding suggests she should be OK.
    Owner has another horse with William Haggas, Art Market, who has a similar profile in that they also ran in a few novice events then went on to win a couple of nurserys ( as this race is tomorrow) .
    Really confident bet tomorrow with the Yard in such good form, form looks far superior to any other runners. This is a big drop in class. Should take all the beating if taking to the fibresand, which I think she will no problem.

    **This was just a copy and paste from yesterday’s page. Apologies its a bit of a mess hopefully it makes sense why I’d been waiting for this bet. Its been hammered from when I got on at 7/2 into 7/4..some are even as short as 11/8. Worth a read just for the stats. Haggas stable been very profitable this last 3 or 4 weeks. They are getting big priced winners as well so worth a little look at all their runners for those who might not have noticed. 16/1, 14/1, 25-1 are just in the last fortnight.

    What I forgot to mention also was this is the only runner for the stable on Sunday.

    All the best everyone. Check out Tryfan at Newcastle on Thursday if I don’t get back on. All the best everyone

    14
    • hibee1 2 months ago

      Art Design 3.20 Southwell ********

      12
    • lossie jim 2 months ago

      Good shout, although didn’t make it easy for himself, and a nice drift to 5/2.👍

      2
    • hibee1 2 months ago

      Thanks Jim. Was planned to miss the break imo. Needed to hit the line just ahead or she’d have not known what to do if in front alone. Was a good ride. She was way too good for them. Another nursery again I’d imagine. Should go in again.

  2. hibee1 2 months ago

    Rage Of Bamby 4.45 Pontefract 1-1 betting without Adday In Devon

    Really quickly..

    Fast ground essential. Best form this time of year. Win at York last run been franked by Dare To Hope winning yesterday. Only 2 runs this season compared to the favourite Adday In Devon who has run 8 times. Highly rated by trainer. Won’t be backing for win as Adday In Devon is the most genuine type, gives you 100% every time, she also has stall 1. Can only see it being between the 2 of them. Very confident bet. Will only be on this if Art Design wins. Will only be a half stake as I usually avoid all Listed and Group races but I know how much she’s fancied today ( to at least place)

    4
  3. elvis parsley 2 months ago

    Deauville 🇫🇷

    12-58 Goya señora betting without double major and alessio 11-4 bet365

    Is past his best but won this in 2022 and won a listed race here last time out
    ➖➖➖➖➖➖➖➖➖➖➖➖➖➖➖➖➖➖➖➖
    14-15 nosdargent 16-1 ew 5 places bet365

    Another veteran who runs off just 8 stone and is a bit of a c+d specialist on the all weather at deauville.
    ➖➖➖➖➖➖➖➖➖➖➖➖➖➖➖➖➖➖➖➖
    14-50 daylight 11-8 top 3 finish 🏇 NAP 🏇 William HILLS.

    Cracking race this with 2 Karl burke hotpots in, also rashabar the Coventry winner at ascot and a decent Aiden O’Brien nag.
    Daylight’s mother was a horse called earthlight who I remember well and was a potential superstar at 2 but didn’t train on.
    Daylight lost to one of Burke’s entries arabie a while back but won a group 3 last time so top 3 possible with more improvement.
    ➖➖➖➖➖➖➖➖➖➖➖➖➖➖➖➖➖➖➖
    15-25 rose Jaipur 25-1 ew 3 places BETFRED

    Apart from the gosden favourite there doesn’t look much between the rest on form.
    ➖➖➖➖➖➖➖➖➖➖➖➖➖➖➖➖➖➖➖
    16-00 Siam paragon 2-1 bet365 🏇 NB 🏇

    Could outclass these despite carrying top weight on a course he’s won on 4 times 🤣

    3
  4. JGWulvo 2 months ago

    14:50 Deauville – Shareholder 2/1

    Best of luck today everyone :)

    1
  5. ew thief 2 months ago

    Airshow 2.20s 5-1 all in ☘️☘️gl all

  6. elvis parsley 2 months ago

    Goya signora came 2nd to double major being backed into 9-1 from 25-1 so that bet came in safely.
    Off out to watch footy now, good luck with yer punts today peeps 🏇

    1
  7. azzthewigan 2 months ago

    naval academy 4.15 ew well done all winners yesterday

  8. azzthewigan 2 months ago

    acclaimed princess 4.25 ew

  9. azzthewigan 2 months ago

    tiger bay 4.45 ew

    0
  10. azzthewigan 2 months ago

    godsend 5.15 nap

    • azzthewigan 2 months ago

      wd

  11. azzthewigan 2 months ago

    curious rover 6.15 ew nb

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