Cairnzy & Rizzel's Racing Tips

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It was a good day on the thread yesterday with one winning selection at advised odds of 9/2 and some nice each-way profit gained with my 20/1 selection grabbing a place.

Rizzel was rewarded by going with his gut with Vauban. The Willie Mullins trained runner travelled strongly like Rizzel said he would and glided to the front. The runner-up was staying on like a steam train inside the final furlong but got going too late. Andesite looks in need of experience. He looks like he has the potential to be a very nice horse, but he was keen, and it's not a surprise as it was his first run since the Dante meeting. He had no cover and was then squeezed out by the eventual winner, but he then stayed on again when he had no chance of winning or placing, so I think with time he will be a good horse.

My first selection Derry Lad was far too keen in his race and although he plugged on in the end, he never looked like he was going threaten in the business end. My other selection Starlust ran a blinder at advised odds of 20/1, he looked like he was going backwards in the final furlong however he found a second wind to knuckle down in the final furlong and managed to grab us a place to gain some nice each-way profit.

Cairnzy's Tips

Burdett Road 12/1 EW – York 3.35

As expected this years Ebor handicap is massively competitive and finding the winner in this race race can be tough. Bet 365 are offering 6 places which has pushed me more towards going down the eachway route again.

I was drawn to quite a few horses, one of which was Epic Poet, who stayed on powerfully last time out at this track to finish fifth. He came into a lot of traffic problems when attempting to lay down his challenge and if given a clear passage he probably would have gone close. He's drawn in 16 for this contest which was enough to put me of him. David O'Meara is a menace when it comes to handicap races and although I've opted to avoid him this time round, he should still go well if producing a similar performance to that of his last run. The other obvious one was Queenstown for Aiden O'Brien, who brings solid form to the table with his runner up efforts behind Kyprios who on recent performances in the best stayer in the business. Queenstown carries top weight and is drawn in 22 which will be a tough ask for James Doyle and for those reasons I also opted to avoid. After a lot of consideration regarding the remainder of the field, my dart final landing on the James Owen trained Burdett Road.

York has tended to favour those drawn low with the first six winners from yesterday drawn in 9-4-8-3-2-6 and from looking at those drawn low in this particular race, Burdett Road was the one who ticked most of the boxes for me as being a solid eachway play. Originally trained by Michael Bell, Burdett Road switched hands to James Owen in October of last year and has been in great form since changing stables. He won on his first outing for James Owen when landing a Class 4 Hurdle contest at Huntingdon under jockey Harry Cobden. Burdett Road followed up next time out when winning at Cheltenham and ran well in defeat at the same course next time out when finishing a well beaten second by the well regarding Sir Gino. My selection was reverted to the flat after a long layoff of 181 days and finished just under four lengths back in fifth. I think connections would have been happy enough with that effort given the long layoff and it was also Burdett Road's return to flat racing having raced over the jumps prior to that. That run should have blown away any cobwebs, and it appears that this valuable handicap has been the aim for this horse. Settling Burdett Road will be key, as he tends to run quite freely in his races, but if Silvestre De Sousa can pop him out prominently along the rail and get him into a rhythm, he should give punters a run for their money at an attractive price.

Mr Lightside 9/4 – York 4.45

My final selection of the York Ebor festival comes in the shape of the Mick Appleby trained Lightside who will be ridden by jockey Rossa Ryan. I was tempted to avoid Mr Lightside, as the form of Mick Applebys yard has dropped of a little and his two highly regarded sprinters Big Mojo and Big Evs both flattered to deceive in their recent outings this week, more so Big Evs than Big Mojo. With that said, the more I digged into the form of Lightside the more I was drawn to roll the dice with him in this Listed contest over 5f.

My selection remains lightly raced at the age of 2, having only raced the four times in his career but he's progressed at a rate of knots since disappointing on debut back in June of this year. His debut run came at Leicester over 6f and he finished a remote 15L off the eventual winner Pentle Bay, for what it's worth, Pentle Bay finished second behind Bedtime Story next time out, so be it nine and a half lengths behind the O'Brien runner on the day.

My selection took a massive step forward from his debut run when he won a Novice contest at Redcar over 5f. The drop back to 5f seemingly suited Mr Lightside as he followed up once more when winning at Nottingham. He finished over 2L ahead of the now 85-rated Hallasan who boosted the form with a convincing three-and-a-quarter length victory next time out. The third-placed horse Diligently boosted the form further on Thursday when getting the better of my selection on the day Arizona Blaze.

My Lightside then took his form to another level when finishing third in a Group 3 contest at Glorious Goodwood. The form of that Group 3 contest is head and shoulders above anything else on offer. My selection finished 1L behind Big Mojo who ran well enough yesterday in the Group 2 Gimcrack Stakes. Aesterius who finished one place ahead of my selection is now rated in the low 100s while Celandine who finished behind Mr Lightside that day has since boosted the form when winning the Group 2 Lowther Stakes, getting the better of recent Queen Mary Stakes winner Leovanni and Aiden O'Briens Heavens Gate.

Rizzel's Tips

Enfjaar 4/1 – York 1.50

We kick off the final day of the York Ebor festival with a Group 3 where we get some decent young horses taking on the older horses. We've seen on a few occasions this year, that the younger generation doesn't appear to be a ‘golden' generation, other than the main lad, City Of Troy, and for that reason, I am happy to take on those at the bottom of the weights.

We see Ryan Moore and other jockeys attached to big stables/owners get it wrong, but it can be a tough task for Ryan who rides for the best operation in the whole of horse racing and they produce some crazy horses, so you can let it slide when it comes to him. Jim Crowley on the other hand, he has opted for Alyanaabi in this race over Enfjaar, which does come as a surprise to me. He is evidently a good horse, as shown by his 2-year-old campaign when he won a Group 3 and finished as runner-up to City Of Troy in the Group 1 Dewhurst at the back end of the season. This year, he has finished fifth in the Guineas, and then fifth in the St James's Palace at Royal Ascot, but last time out when taking on the older horses when going off 6/5F he was easily put in his place, and that saw Jim Crowley ride him over Al Aasy who was second in that race. I think he has got it wrong for today's race, as Enfjaar has a cracking chance based on what we've seen from him on his last couple of runs.

Since the Gelding operation, Enfjaar's form has gone through the roof. He should be 3/3 this year but he didn't get the rub of the green last time out at Glorious Goodwood, but prior to that he won in great style on his reappearance and then won the John Smith's Cup in fairly easy fashion. Last time out he was positioned a fair bit off the pace in a race which saw the pace hold up nicely, but he recorded the highest finishing speed percentage of any horse of the meeting at 115.66%, which suggests he had plenty left to give and simply lost purely on his race position, which is so often the case at Goodwood which is a punter's nightmare. This is undoubtedly his hardest assignment to date, but I don't see another horse in the race other than maybe the filly at the bottom of the weights, who can cause Roger Varian's 4-year-old gelding a problem. Obviously, he lacks Class 1 form coming into this, but the John Smith's Cup has been won by some decent horses in the past, with Anmaat being a recent prover of that, who won a Group 1 last year for the same owners.

Andrew Balding's horse at the bottom of the weights is my idea of the main threat as she was second to Opera Singer last time out at Goodwood. I think she will enjoy the fast ground, but I'm not totally sold on the form of the Group 1 race she ran in last time out. If you are a supporter of the three-year-olds in this race take a look at the stats…

2023 – 3rd/6 & 6th/6
2022 – winner, 4th/7, 5th/7 & 7th/7
2021 – 6th/7
2019 – 2nd/6 & 3rd/6
2018 – 3rd/8, 5th/8, 7th/8 & 8th/8
2017 – 2nd/7 & 7th/7
2016 – 8th/10
2015 – 9th/9
2014 – 3rd/7
2013 – 4th/7 & 5th/7

Other than the 2022 winner, the last 3-year-old winner was back in 2009.

Summerghand 9/1 EW – York 4.10

I'm not going to write about how overly optimistic I am about the Summerghand in this race as it's a 19-runner sprint handicap at York which has been a nightmare for punters this year and that's probably the case for this type of race on any track due to the amount of runners, but I think if everything drops right for him, he has to be hitting the frame.

It wouldn't surprise me to see him strong in the market throughout the day as he is going for the hat-trick of wins for this race, which a lot of punters will latch onto, but I'm hoping his age will put people off and we get a decent price on him. At the age of 10, he's going to have to prove he still has it at this level, and based on a couple of runs this year, I think he still can operate at this level, especially off his current handicap mark. He has had a fairly brutal campaign over the last 15 months, which has seen him hit the race track every month since February 2023, he won this race in 2022 off a mark of 97 and won it last year off a mark of 102 when dead-heating with Albasheer, who has franked that form on a number of occasions since. On both of those occasions, he has raced in the Great St Wilfrid Handicap at Ripon, running well on both times before coming and winning today's race. Last year he was running okay throughout the season, but then upped his game at Ripon and finished in second by a head. This year, his form has been okay with a few good runs here and there, but he ran a belter at Ripon and it was a return to form as he had a lot of work to do from his rear position. It's almost as if David O'Meara has said at the start of the year, we'll work backwards from today's 6f handicap and we'll prep him for the hat-trick, with him simmering and is now ready to boil at the right time.

He clearly likes the track, which is a big positive for York, and he loves fast ground and a very good pace to aim at. He has been blessed by the stalls gods as he has been put in stall 6 which is definitely on the right side based on how results have panned out this week, and he should be able to get a nice toe into the race from some pacesetters like Apollo One and Strike Red. Like every big field handicap when you're on a horse who is held up, we're going to need luck in running, but he's managed it two years on the trot, so fingers crossed it's another good passage this year.

Danny Tudhope isn't on board, but that's all down to Danny not being able to do the weight of 8st 8lbs. But not to worry, David O'Meara has booked one of the best in business, Oisin Murphy. He could've easily gone for another stable jockey like Jason Watson, but he's got Oisin in the saddle and that screams out to me like they really fancy their chances for this. Oisin isn't used too much for this stable but has racked up 7 wins from 25 rides for David in the last five years, which is a 28% SR, with a further 10 being placed in the top three.

Related Topics: Racing Tips York
Horse Racing Tips
Burdett Road
York - 3:35 pm

12/1 EW @ Bet365

Mr Lightside
York - 4:45 pm

9/4 @ Bet365

Enfjaar
York - 1:50 pm

4/1 @ Bet365

Summerghand
York - 4:10 pm

9/1 EW @ Bet365

21 Comments
  1. recoba 1 month ago

    🇺🇸
    Charles Town 💃

    Big night Charles Town with best trainers and jockeys shipping to n

    Late Yankee I’ll catch most these tomorrow

    Charles Town…Race 9…Tapalo 10/3 ***
    4 – 5- 9 combo forecast
    Race 10…My Mane Squeeze 7/2 *****
    Race 11…Skippylongstocking EVS
    Race 12..Maggies Girl 11/8 **+

    Well done to the winners yesterday! ✅

    🛏️ 🕰️

    1
  2. dazzman1979 1 month ago

    Stay away from James Doyle he’s turned to the dark side ! 😂

    3
  3. hibee1 1 month ago

    Rosy Affair 2.10 Newmarket 5/2 very confident bet 1.5 stake win

    Hate to be a hater but the tips on this site always seem to be the same as Daryl Carter’s on Betfair tips site. I’m all about being kind to people but it’s pretty unfair to members ( didn’t realise this site was a members site till other day) if the tips are just copied. I’ve even posted my own bets on here days before, then they are copied and posted as tips on here. Don’t have any problem with my own stuff being used in all honesty but it’s unfair on these guys who are paying money on here.
    Take my annual break from racing/work/ punting to prepare for the NH season so all the best everyone, stay positive everyone. Much love, Chris.

    13
    • Rizzel Tips 1 month ago

      Really? is this what it’s coming to?

      Just to put it bluntly, we do not and never have copied tips from elsewhere. Yes, we might have the same tips as other tipping platforms, but that happens all the time, and if I were to hazard a guess it’s because we have a similar approach of picking out horses.

      So for this week at York Daryl has tipped up 17 horses, which has seen either me or Cairnzy use 3, yes 3, of the same horses. And when you even whittle it down, one was City Of Troy, hardly a shock many people stuck him up, and the other was Arizona Blaze, similar comments apply due to his strong form in Ireland.

      Today, I’ve got Enfjaar. Personally, I thought a lot of people would be on him today as it looks like an obvious play, maybe I’m wrong.

      To suggest we’re copying your bets is also a crazy statement. You put your selections up well in advance, so if we somehow stumble onto the same horse on a random shite day of racing on a Tuesday, we must be copying, right? The way you work is sticking up horses well in advance, normally on jollies that are priced up at a much better price when the market opens, and then the prices drop. So is it a surprise that we might stumble onto the same horse? When the day of racing is horrendous, and we think a horse looks like a good shout and then realise you’ve stuck it up as well?

      Also, if we were to copy bets, surely we’d be going for someone who is in form, not like Daryl who has even admitted in the last week that he’s had a stinker recently.

      Crazy it’s getting to this point, but hey-ho. I usually do keep quiet in the comments, but not having this one, sorry.

      9
    • hibee1 1 month ago

      Genuinely sorry to bring it up Cairnzy but I’m a punter and will look after other punters. I didn’t specifically mean Daryl Carter, I just meant that site so likes of Alan Dudman , Mike Norman. All of the tips above are tipped from them today. I’ve noticed this happening on here going back to last Autumn and I don’t think you even were on here then. I also wasn’t just meaning in the short term, no idea what you or they have tipped this week and I don’t read either daily. Sincere apologies if its just a massive coincidence

      5
    • Rizzel Tips 1 month ago

      It’s Rizzel, not Cairnzy, but that’s to be expected considering you think we ‘steal’ tips.

      You can comment, as can anybody else in this thread, but this is pure codswallop.

      I have never heard of Alan Dudman or Mike Norman, not a clue who they tip for. It seems like you read through every tipping site known to man, and if that’s the case, then it’s hardly a surprise that we’ve got the same horses.

      And last Autumn? I was the headliner for a couple of years, so that’s a straight arrow at me. Fair enough, seems like you’re set on your opinion and won’t change your mind on the matter, but that’s fairly insulting given the amount of time it takes for us to go through the racing and then type it up.

      10
    • tungsten 1 month ago

      Hibee you are a class act. I for one appreciate your tips. Whether the ones at the top of the thread are copied or not, they stink. Have a good weekend all

      9
  4. busstop.2018 1 month ago

    Afternoon All . No bet yesterday after a fantastic Thursday. Trying 3 at Cartmel today but not as big stakes .Otherwise it a Typical fill the bookies satchels Saturday on tv.

    CARTMEL

    15.25. .Tommie Beau. .5/1. .E/W

    16.00. .Restandbethankful.. .7/2

    16.35. .Kicksaftersix. .6/1. .E/W

    Definitely smaller stakes today competitive racing at Cartmel

    GL ALL

    14
  5. Wildhorse 1 month ago

    Hello

    The Ebor running not good for Me , right now .

    Lets hope for the Final !!

    Win

    R . 6 – Tropical Storm

    Each Way

    R . 4 – Magical Zoe

    R . 5 – E,monjed

    R – 7 – Bystander

    To be placed

    My Mate Mozzie

    Time for a break , G luck & See you soon .

    1
  6. azzthewigan 1 month ago

    oso rapido 4.10 ew well done all winners today and yesterday

  7. azzthewigan 1 month ago

    exactly 4.05 ew

    2
  8. recoba 1 month ago

    🇺🇸
    Ellis Park -Race 1…Geraldraydaplergray 4/1 *** Bet365

    • recoba 1 month ago

      🇺🇸
      GILFSTREAM -Race 5…White Claw Woman 13/8 Skybet boost ****
      SARATOGA -Race 11….Mullikin 15/8 Skybet ***+
      Race 12…Little Ni 11/1 Ew Skybet
      This looks wide open although fancy Prince Of Monaco’ who as I type is on the drift as to 5/1?
      He seems the class act to me it’s pity few NRs reduced race to 3 places.
      Regarding’Little Ni’ I’m maybe missing something here but seems a strange price for a horse that was only reeled in late at Monmouth on last run by the current joint favourite Book’em Damo? Monmouth form shipping to the likes of Saratoga isn’t always the greatest but bar that worth an Ew play.
      Only Little Ni 5th outing here compared to Book’em Damo on his 10 jont.
      Race 13 I’ve 5 on my tracker but Accede is NR so back later with Tricast for the race but I’m surprised Thorpedo Anna is drifting when I’ve heard numerous shouts he’s the best dirt horse in USA in training?
      Fierceness very capable of beating them ALL!
      DEL MAR -Race 8…Pushiness 6/5
      Race 9….The Chosen Vron EVS
      Combo forecast No: = 3- 5 -6 -7

      GL yoll and well done any winners today 👌

      1
  9. azzthewigan 1 month ago

    palace rock 4.15 ew

  10. azzthewigan 1 month ago

    jelski 4.35

  11. busstop.2018 1 month ago

    Another good day .Restandbethankful. WINS nicely 7/2

    and both E/W bets are placed 17/2 and 6/1

    Nice profit again

    GL ALL

    11
    • Mike33 1 month ago

      Great stuff. It is so good to have you posting again – I always follow.

      5
  12. azzthewigan 1 month ago

    heroism 7.00 ew well done all winners today

  13. azzthewigan 1 month ago

    intercessor 7.15

  14. azzthewigan 1 month ago

    grand style 7.30 ew

  15. azzthewigan 1 month ago

    pink stripes 8.00 ew lucky last

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