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Like most of the UK, Cheltenham is expected to get a lot of rain during Friday's meeting. The ground will likely get worse and go to soft ground, so if you're making your own judgements, take that into account.
In this article, I'll take an early look at the Cheltenham November Meeting and offer some of my predictions for it, but also share a special welcome offer from BOYLE Sports since they are offering money back if second to the SP favourite, which is a fantastic offer and one you should take full advantage of.
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Key Terms for Free Bets: 18+. New UK customers (Excluding NI) only. £40 in FREE Bets (FB) as £30 in sports bets & a £10 casino bonus (CB). Min Deposit £10. Min stake £10. Min odds Evs. FB applied on 1st settlement of any qualifying bet. FB 7-day expiry. 1 FB offer per customer, household & IP address only. Account & Payment restrictions. 14 days to accept £10 CB, then active for 3 days. CB 5x wagering & max redeemable £100. Game restrictions apply. Cashed out/Free Bets won’t apply. 30 days to qualify. T&Cs Apply.
Key Terms for Money Back as Free Bet if 2nd to SP Favourite: 18+. IRE/NI & UK online only. Max Free Bet £/€10. Win or win part of e/w outright singles. 5+ runners. 1st bet on each race. Free/void/antepost bets don't qualify. In event of a dead heat, offer won’t apply. Applies to First Past the Post result. Unnamed 2nd Favs don’t qualify. Acc & Payment restrictions apply. T&Cs apply.
A Pai De Nom 11/2 – Cheltenham 1.10
The opening race of the November meeting is a conditional jockeys' handicap hurdle. In these specific races, it often pays dividends to side with the better jockeys.
Tristan Durrell has been part of the Dan Skelton team for many years now and has slowly been getting his claim down. He has had four noticeable winners in his career, so we know he is capable in big field handicaps like this.
A Pai De Nom is one of the least exposed horses in this race, and this is his handicap debut. The handicap mark might be on the high side based on what he has achieved from his two starts over hurdles in novice races, but there is potential for improvement.
Dan Skelton has started the season off well with his novice hurdlers, and even though many have been quietly ridden, in the last few days, he has unleashed some nice types. This horse doesn't have to be a world beater to win this race, but based on his runs over hurdles and in bumpers, he has to be a huge player.
The ground will not be an issue for him on the bare fact that he handled soft ground on his first start at Chepstow last October.
Bruant 13/2 – Cheltenham 4.00
It's hard to know what level of form to expect from Bruant, but travelling from Ireland from the Tony Martin stable and booking Sean Bowen are positives.
Tony Martin has been one of the more notorious gambling trainers, and whenever his runners make the trip to the UK, they scare the bookies. He has sent two over for this race, but Sean Bowen on Bruant has to be the pick of the two.
Sean has ridden one winner for Tony, but the others have all been inside the top three. Sean is the best jockey in the business, so securing him for a race at Cheltenham shows huge intent.
This horse is running off a mark of 108, which isn't too high. He has managed to win once over hurdles in his three attempts. The only win came on soft ground at Downpatrick in the summer of this year. Since then, he has been running on the flat, probably to keep his fitness up and his handicap mark down for a target like today's race.
I don't think the UK horses are weighted to be extremely well-handicapped, so taking a chance on an Irish runner is definitely the play for this race. If this specific runner doesn't catch your attention, there are others to choose from.
GambleAware