There can be very few football fans who would want to deny Lionel Messi a fairytale ending to a magical career, but that's the task at hand for Croatia in tonight's World Cup semi-final.

The Croats have been here before however. Four years ago they ended England's dream of World Cup glory at this stage to reach their first final and the core of that squad are just one win away from repeating that feat.

As highlighted on yesterday's thread the Croations haven't won a knock-out match inside 90 minutes since 1998. Of their last five KO matches, four have been won on penalties, the other victory was secured in extra-time  – against England. A penalty shoot-out win for the Europeans pays 9/1. For Argentina to win on spot-kicks it's also 9/1, despite them being significantly shorter on the outright market.

Cards will be popular among punters especially after eight Argentinians picked up a booking in their fiery clash with the Netherlands in the quarter-finals. Significantly these cards won't carry over in to the semi-final which means that none of the offenders run the risk of missing the final and effectively start with a clean slate.

Even money was on offer for Over 3.5 Cards in that Argentina v Netherlands match but the bookies aren't being quite so generous tonight. Bet365 have pushed the line out to Over 4.5 at just 5/6. A bigger ask for a short price.

For the same price you can back both teams to pick up two or more cards, which can be boosted to over evens at Bet365. With so much at stake this has to be a runner.

Goalkeepers are always worth a look for a card in games of this magnitude since they might incur the wrath of the referee as they seek to run down the clock. Dominik Livaković has been the Croatian hero so far and he's 10/1 to pick up a card. At the other end of the pitch Emiliano Martínez (Damien at bet365) is 12/1 to go in to the book. The Aston Villa keeper picked up two yellows in his last two Premier League matches before the break.

Only six goals have been scored inside the first half hour of the 12 knock-out ties so far, and three of those came in Brazil's 4-1 win over South Korea so it could pay to back no goal before 34:00 at 5/6 with Bet365 which has been a profitably pick throughout the tournament.

Super Singles

  • Two or more cards for each team 1/1 Bet365 (with Winnings Boost)
  • No goal before 34:00 5/6 Bet365
  • Emiliano Martínez to be booked 12/1 Bet365

Upcoming Match Previews & Tip

Racing Tips

Cairnzy steps in to Rizzel's shoes with two tips for Tuesday.

As always, let us know your best betting tips and predictions for today in the comments section below and good luck with all your bets!

25 Comments
  1. cockerspaniel 1 year ago

    Argentina v Croatia
    Taking a wee gamble on corners .
    Over 4 first half corners 19/10 Hills
    Over 8 corners in the match 11/10 Bet365 .

    2
  2. Alves 1 year ago

    Argentina v Croatia 19.00 KO

    Messi to score or assist 6/4 – PP

    Betfair betbuilder, free bet for tomorrow’s game win or lose, pays 16/1+

    Brozovic to be carded
    Brozovic 2+ fouls
    Messi 1+ fouls
    Croatia 3+ SOT
    4+ cards

    Messi is 4/6 for a foul and looks a great price considering what’s at stake, could be his last WC game and had 3 fouls v Holland

  3. Double up 1 year ago

    Luka modric over 0.5 shots on target -11/10
    Luka modric to score 17/2
    Luka modric to score from outside box 18/1
    All odds a mix from bet365 and William hill

    Good luck 🤞

    1
  4. maccathered 1 year ago

    A word of caution to anyone placing bets on the EFL cup on the 21st/22nd Liverpool will be without ten first team players and the same for City,i expect it could be the same for Man Utd.The Premier league games on the 26th and the 27th could also see lots of players missing due to World cup commitments.

    14
  5. goalden oldie 1 year ago

    both teams to score
    alaves v levante
    william hill 6/5
    NAP lost

    both teams to score
    boavista v guimaraes
    bet365 11/10
    NB lost

    double on above
    william hill 7/2 lost

    1
  6. maccathered 1 year ago

    Arsenal v Ac Milan quick post
    Arsenal to win at 10/11
    Arsenal should win easily enough.

    7
  7. 1terrytips 1 year ago

    Skybet special…. Messi to score in 90 mins @ 2-1

    2
  8. richtea 1 year ago

    Longshot acca for tonight (1st post for a couple of months)😎
    Both Teams to Score
    Lorient II v Vierzon FC 17/20

    Over Total Goals 4.5
    KR Reykjavik v Fram Reykjavik 21/20

    Both Teams to Score
    Dorking Wanderers v Maidstone
    1/2

    Both Teams to Score
    Rio Ave v Farense 20/23

    Both Teams to Score
    Bristol Rovers v MK Dons 7/10

    Both Teams to Score
    Cheltenham v Chelsea U21 @ 4/6

    Both Teams to Score
    Burton v Accrington 4/7

    Acca Odds 46.35/1

    Good luck all👍

    3
  9. chelseagirl 1 year ago

    Croatia win 4/1 [ far too big a price] Croatia on pens 10/1. Croatia 18/1 in ET. Small stakes on latter 2. Croatia done Argentina 3-0 in the last WC so bear no fear about big games and of course were in the final last time out !

    3
  10. cc 1 year ago

    btt receive a card
    each team one FH corner
    Croatia 2nd half corner
    evens

    6
  11. HullShaker 1 year ago

    Afternoon gents,

    No joy with either of my bets in England’s game – turning my attention to the Modric v Messi show tonight!

    ARGENTINA VS. CROATIA (7.00pm)

    BROSOVIC CARDED
    (15/8, paddypower) NAP ⭐️⭐️⭐️

    90 MINUTE RESULT = DRAW
    (12/5, betfred) NAB ⭐️⭐️

    ARGENTINA WIN ON PENALTIES
    (9/1, bet365) LONGSHOT ⭐️

    Best of luck with all bets!

    2
  12. spursman 1 year ago

    Dorking W v Maidstone
    Over 4.5 goals 3/1

    🙂

    6
  13. mint 1 year ago

    Evening,

    Croatia v Argentina k.o 19.00

    Dejan Lovren Booking in 90mins.

    Skybet 9/4 Goodluck.

    Mint…

    1
    • mint 1 year ago

      Evening,

      Croatia v Argentina k.o 19.00

      Dejan Lovren Booking in 90mins.

      Skybet 9/4 Goodluck.

      Mint… 😷 Lost.

  14. Jonesey 1 year ago

    Messi shot on target now 6/4
    Bet 365 boost
    Good luck

    1
    • Jonesey 1 year ago

      Scrap that is with Argentina to qualify too

  15. cockerspaniel 1 year ago

    Mac callister carded 21/4 Unibet

    1
  16. dc john boy 1 year ago

    Canvey Island
    Worthing

    Over 2.5mgs double 7/5

    Good luck

    5
    • Oscarsal 1 year ago

      Good one dc john boy. Ur tip actually save d day.

  17. Alves 1 year ago

    Argentina v Croatia 19.00 KO

    Messi to score or assist 6/4 – PP

    👍👍👍

    Messi foul but the BB down after Brozovic getting subbed just after HT

    3
  18. HullShaker 1 year ago

    That’ll be a no for my picks…think Brosovic went off just after h/t to down the Nap!

    Well done any winners 👍

    2
    • 1terrytips 1 year ago

      Alright Hull, not seen you on much. hope your well 👍

  19. maccathered 1 year ago

    Arsenal v Ac Milan
    Arsenal to win at 10/11 WON
    Messi the best player ever and still doing the business at 35.
    Well done all winners

    12
  20. dc john boy 1 year ago

    Canvey Island
    Worthing

    Over 2.5mgs double 7/5**WON**

    Well done all winners

    11
  21. Alves 1 year ago

    Getting betfair free punt in early as working 12 hrs tomorrow. Pays just under 18/1

    France v Morocco 19.00 KO

    France 5+ SOT
    France 5+ corners
    Amrabat 2+ fouls
    Amrabat to be carded
    Giroud 1+ SOT
    Mbappe to score or assist

    1

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