Today’s tennis betting tips feature two intriguing matches as the events in Vienna and Basel come towards a close. We’re backing a straightforward over between Arthur Fils and Ben Shelton, given that we have two players who won’t be broken easily.
In the other match, we’re predicting Jack Draper to be upset simply because we’re impressed by how Lorenzo Musetti has been performing this week. It’s not the most outrageous pick either, so keep reading to see why we think it’s the best move this Saturday.
Best tennis tips and predictions today
Here’s a full breakdown of our tennis tips today, based on the latest odds from bookmaker Betfred.
Shelton vs Fils – over 23.5 games @ 5/6
Right from the start, you can see why this line is set so high, and it’s for a good reason. Both players are extremely difficult to break indoors, given their powerful serves and strong play behind them. Shelton has the more powerful serve, while Fils has been the better baseline player, at least so far this week.
Both players have scored significant wins, with Fils defeating Stefanos Tsitsipas and Shelton overcoming Andrey Rublev.
We expect this to be a close one, though Fils might have a slight edge due to his indoor experience. Still, we’re hesitant to go against Shelton, as he’s proven himself tough to beat.
The over bet makes more sense, given that both players are likely to hold serve. They recently faced each other in Tokyo under somewhat similar conditions, with sets finishing at 7-5, 7-6, and 7-5.
A similar scoreline here would easily cover this bet, which we believe is the most likely outcome based on their recent form.
Musetti to defeat Draper @ 9/5
Now, this is a pretty surprising pick, but there's a good reason behind it. Draper has been an exceptional indoor player so far in his career, and he's played quite well this week too.
However, what makes us think Musetti could pull off an upset here is simply the form he’s shown. He's been performing strongly here, and he's been coming to Vienna for a couple of years now.
This might be one of the courts he knows best, and it’s clear he’s comfortable on it. He beat Alexander Zverev in his previous match, and with that level, he could certainly beat Draper as well. Draper’s biggest advantage indoors is his serve, but we believe Musetti can handle that, giving him a really good chance.
From the baseline, the Brit can be quite erratic at times, so we’re going to go for the upset here. Draper is 2-0 against Musetti so far, so the Italian will likely be extra motivated.
Bren is our resident Kiwi, and has been playing or watching sports down under in New Zealand for the better part of three decades. With 12+ years experience as a professional writer, Bren loves to dive deep into all things sport to bring the best betting analysis and predictions here at Mr Fixits Tips.
