The last two rounds have made the title race more challenging after Bayern Munich didn't win either of their matches. However, this upcoming clash against St Pauli will likely end in an outright victory.
The Bavarians allowed themselves a slight relaxation in the league to have more strength for the Champions League, where they performed flawlessly and eliminated Bayer Leverkusen. But now they have to liquidate their chances in the Bundesliga too, where the gap is only six points with eight rounds to go.
The match against Bochum was very tough, with the reserves unable to hold on to a 2-1 lead after receiving an early red card. However, they should have won the game against Union Berlin and the blame for the draw is all theirs. They only managed to score one goal with 18 shots and a late mistake by Urbig allowed Union to equalise.
St Pauli find themselves a full 37 points behind Bayern Munich, just above the relegation zone. The team is in danger of returning to the lower division, but their last two games have put them five points ahead of 16th-placed Bochum. The draw with Wolfsburg and the win over Hoffenheim ended their run of four consecutive losses, but given the H2H record against Bayern, it's quite likely they'll taste the familiar feeling of losing again.
How the bookies view it: There's a Crazy difference in the odds as usual
Bookmakers are giving St. Pauli almost no chances in this fixture. As usual, the odds for Bayern Munich to win are minimal – just 3/20. The draw is priced at 7/1, while St Pauli's win is available at 14/1.
Recent head to head: St Pauli haven't won in 23 years
Bayern Munich and St Pauli have met a total of 15 times in official Bundesliga and DFB Pokal matches. At the moment, the Bavarians' advantage in the aggregate is huge. The Neighbourhood Kickers have just two wins against Bayern Munich, with the most recent one dating back to 2002. The Bavarians have 10 wins and won the first game of the season 0-1.
Players to watch: Musiala is at his best when playing at home
You can always pick Harry Kane and you'll never be wrong, but we're going to go with Jamal Musiala, who has played particularly strongly in Bayern Munich's home games lately. His last five Bundesliga goals were at the Allianz Arena, and he has 11 in total this season. He also scored the winning goal in the reverse fixture against St Pauli in November.
Probable line-ups
Bayern Munich: Urbig, Guerreiro, Kim, Dier, Stanisic, Kimmich, Goretzka, Sane, Muller, Olise, Kane
St Pauli: Vasilj, Nemeth, Ritzka, Wahl, Treu, Smith, Irvine, Saliakas, Saad, Weisshaupt, Eggestein
Anything else catch the eye?
Bayern Munich conceded four goals in the last two rounds of the Bundesliga, but three of them were in the game against Bochum, in which they came out with a lot of reserves and luck was not on their side. These games do not change the fact that the Bavarians have the strongest defence in the league and have only conceded 24 goals in 26 rounds.
On the other side stand St Pauli, who in turn have the weakest attack in the league, with only 20 goals scored in the same 26 rounds. It's important to note that most of their best games this season have been as visitors, but that's unlikely to matter in this match. We don't expect them to score in this game. An interesting statistic is that they have only scored two away goals against Bayern Munich in six games in their history overall.
This German Bundesliga match between Bayern Munich and St Pauli will be played on and kick off at 14:30. Check below for our tipsters best Bayern Munich vs St Pauli prediction. You may also visit our dedicated betting previews section for the most up to date previews.
GambleAware