IT'S the European finale as far as World Cup qualifiers go with four top spots still up for grabs.
Belgium, Italy, Germany, Holland and Switzerland are through while Russia, England and Spain and almost certain to join them with wins on Tuesday night.
The closest fight for first place is in Group G where Bosnia and Greece are locked on 22 points with the Bosnians having a far superior goal difference.
However, they face a tricky trip to Lithuania while the Greeks, who have netted just 10 goals in nine games, will almost certainly beat Liechtenstein not by many. It's all about bottle for Bosnia but they can do it at a short price if the likes of Edin Dzeko puts in a super show.
England did the business against Montenegro so should beat a weaker Polish outfit with little to play for. However, Roy Hodgson could be without Andros Townsend who performed so well on his debut and the visitors are no mugs.
Southampton keeper Artur Boruc must have impressed Joe Hart by keeping four successive clean sheets in the Premier League and he is showing the kind of form that once him idolised at Celtic.
And they have a striker in the shape of Borussia Dortmund's Robert Lewandowski who can penetrate the best defences. The FA have handed the Poles 18,000 tickets – double what was required of them – so there should be an electric atmosphere in a sell-out Wembley.
England are short at a best 1-5 so I'll be looking at other markets. Wayne Rooney to score is a possibility as is over 2.5 goals.
Ukraine are away to San Marino so England must win if they are to avoid a play-off lottery.
Germany have won Group C and Sweden will finish second but the Swedes need a point to be one of the seeded sides in the play-offs.
The Germans will make changes but not wholesale ones while the home men will be without their main goal threat Zlatan Ibrahimovic who is suspended. It's therefore a difficult call but maybe both to score is worth a look at 8-13 with Ladbrokes and bet365.
The last time the sides met Germany blew a 4-0 lead to draw 4-4 in Berlin – the only points they've dropped in qualifying.
Austria's trip to the Faroe Islands is a dead rubber as is the meeting between the Republic of Ireland and Kazakhstan in Dublin.
Spain only need a point in Group I but should take all three at home to Georgia to leave France fighting in the play-offs.
The Spanish were a bit lacklustre in beating Belarus 2-1 in Mallorca on Friday so don't go mad on the handicaps. At a best 1-20 it's difficult to see a value bet although Alvara Negredo impressed when coming on and is 31-10 at 888sport to score first.
France must floor Finland by at least three and hope for a Georgian miracle. Les Bleus thumped Australia 6-0 in a Friday friendly so will be looking to cover the -2 handicap at 7-4 with Paddy Power. The Finns, however, have conceded just six goals in seven qualifiers.
Arsenal striker Olivier Giroud hit two in that game and should start at the expense of Karim Benzema. He is 15-4 at 888sport to bag the opener.
All three games in Group A are essentially meaningless although the bottom four teams are all playing for positions. Group winners Belgium should celebrate with a home win against Wales and Romelu Lukaka will be a popular scorer pick at 1-1 with 888sport after hitting a double against Croatia on Friday.
Croatia have 12 players one booking away from a play-off suspension so it will be interesting to see what sort of side Igor Stimac puts out away to Scotland. if he rests star man Luka Modric and others the Scots – who won in Zagreb – could be worth a look at a best 13-5 at McBookie.com.
Turkey start the final round second in Group D but with Romania level on points, Hungary just two behind and their Dutch opponents unbeaten going into the Istanbul clash.
Fatih Terim's side were helped by Holland's 8-1 demolition of Hungary on Friday so Romania the more dangerous threat to the Turks.
They take on Estonia in Bucharest and while a draw could be enough if results go their way they need a victory to stand the best chance and are 1-2 at Skybet to claim it.
Hungary host Andorra in Budapest but a big win will only help their cause if Romania are held and Turkey fail to win. The fact the Dutch netted eight when it didn't matter against Hungary suggests they'll go all out to topple the Turks and are 6-4 (various) to grab the victory.
Russia need a point away to Azerbaijan to progress from Group F and Fabio Capello's side should take all three against a side whose only win came against Northern Ireland last week.
Portugal must beat bottom side Luxembourg to stand any chance of making the finals automatically and also make up seven goals on the Russians.
Israel will clinch third place if they beat the Irish in Tel Aviv and I fancy their chances.
Switzerland have won Group E but second place is up for grabs and it could go to Iceland who are eyeing a first play-off place.
A win away to Norway will give the Icelanders a chance to make their first major tournament although a draw or defeat could be enough if Slovenia don't better their result when they face Switzerland.
Iceland have 16 points and Slovenia 15 and with the likes of Gylfi Sigurdsson and Alfred Finnbogason in their ranks they could pull it off against a Norwegian side who hit a low with their 3-0 defeat in Slovenia on Friday. The Icelanders are 19-10 at McBookie.com.
Armenian need a miracle to reach the play-offs heading into their Group B game against Italy. Friday's win against Bulgaria lifted Armenia to fifth place but just one point behind Bulgaria who are second.
But they must beat Italy and hope other results go their way. They need Bulgaria and the Czech Republic to draw in Sofia and for Denmark to fail to beat bottom side Malta at home.
Not even a second-place finish might be good enough for Armenia anyway as the eight best runners-up go through and Bulgaria have the lowest points total at the moment.
The Italians have already clinched top spot but coach Cesare Prandelli has demanded a better display after they scrambled a draw in Denmark and AC Milan striker Mario Balotelli could be back after recovering from flu.
In South America, Ecuador and Chile will both qualify if they draw – so guess what that resut will be.
Argentina and Colombia will make short trip to Brazil while South American champions Uruguay face a play-off against Jordan next month and that's one they should win.
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Anytime goalscorers treble
Rooney
Giroud
Lukaku
£5 on £42.28 return
SUPER SINGLE:
7:45PM ITALY V ARMENIA
TIP – ITALY OVER 2.5 TEAM GOALS @6/4
Armenia have to come to Italy and win to stand a chance of qualifying and this should open the game up for a much stronger Italy side to steam roll their way past their opponents. Italy have scored plenty of goals in this campaign and this is looking like another win for them against spirited, yet weaker opponents.
DOUBLE:
6:00PM LITHUANIA V BOSNIA
TIP – BOSNIA -1 @5/6
Bosnia must win this to make sure they stay ahead of Greece in the race for top spot and they are considerably better than their opponents and should win by at least two goals as they look to cement top spot. Back it at 5/6.
7:45PM IRELAND V KAZAKHSTAN
TIP – IRELAND -1 @10/11
There’s no doubting that this Irish side are better than their opponents and you’ve got to fancy them to put on a show for the fans who’ve suffered a lot during this campaign. They should win by at least 2 goals here and this makes decent value for us here at 10/11.
PAYS: 2.5/1
TREBLE:
7:00PM SWITZERLAND V SLOVENIA
TIP – SLOVENIA OR DRAW @3/4
Slovenia must better Iceland’s result so will likely go for this. Switzerland have already topped the group and may take their foot off the gas against a Slovenia side on an excellent run of form that has put them in contention at the end of this campaign. Back the double chance at 3/4.
7:00PM NORWAY V ICELAND
TIP – BTTS @4/5
Iceland have scored at least twice in their last three away games in this group and they are going to need a win here to secure their place in the play-offs. They have conceded in all their away games in this campaign too and nerves are likely to play a part here as they seek to qualify for their first ever major competiton. BTTS appeals here at 4/5.
8:00PM ENGLAND V POLAND
TIP – OVER 2.5 GOALS @4/5
This is a massive night for England and they must beat Poland to come top of their qualifying group which they should do. Poland will attack England as they look to spoil the party and this should lead to goals for both teams here.
TREBLE PAYS: 4.67/1
FOURFOLD:
6:00PM ISRAEL V NORTHERN IRELAND
TIP – ISRAEL @1/2
I think this is very very generous for an Israel side who did brilliantly to seal a point in Portugal against a Northern Irish side in total disarray barring one freak result against Russia. I was expecting Israel to be much bigger than this so go with them at 1/2.
7:00PM ROMANIA V ESTONIA
TIP – ROMANIA HT/FT @1/2 (SHOWS UP AS ROMANIA-ROMANIA ON BET365)
We think that Romania are likely to be up at HT as they should be fired up to win this crucial match against much weaker opponents who have conceded by the bucket-load away from home in recent matches. Back the HT/FT option at 1/2.
7:30PM SERBIA V MACEDONIA
TIP – SERBIA @2/5
Serbia should finish off their campaign with a victory here and probably condemn Macedonia to the bottom of Group A. Macedonia’s away record is very poor and Serbia have only lost to Belgium at home in these qualifiers. For the fourfold, the odds here are acceptable at 2/5.
7:45PM SWEDEN V GERMANY
TIP – OVER 2.5 GOALS @13/20
There’s been over 2.5 goals in Germany’s last five matches and 7 of their last 9 away matches in all competitions and friendlies. Sweden tend to score plenty at home and have a habit of conceding too. The reverse fixture ended 4-4 and whilst we shouldn’t expect that, we think goals are likely here at 13/20.
FOURFOLD PAYS: 4.2/1
If Lukaku starts that could be a very good treble
Treble: ghana, iceland, croatia.
Do u tink ghana can beat Egypt just like that?
@Horsing Around where is that price from on will hill £5 pays £21.33
Dma9411, odds were from Bet365.
Checked it Tuesday morning and is still available for a return of £42.25 (3p less return).
I’m a little surprised that both Sturridge and Rooney are more than 2.25 to score anytime.
I am thinking about to bet those combi a 10 fold.
What do you think about this one Mr F ??
Belgium – Wales (0:1)
Handicap: 1
Romania – Estonia (0:1)
Handicap: 1
Sweden – Germany
Tip: 2
Azerbaijan – Russia
Tip: 2
Denmark – Malta (under/over 2.5)
Under/Over: 2
Italy – Armenia
Tip: 1
Spain – Georgia
Tip: 1
England – Poland
Tip: 1
Turkey – Netherlands
Tip: 2
Norway – Iceland
Tip: 2
FakSke, too many picks for me to comment on but I’d never do a tenfold.
It is worth remembering still that these 2 Holland matches aren’t meaningless; they have to win both to have chance of moving into the top 8 in the rankings – meaning they will be top seeds at the World Cup. Also, there are players that need to start impressing the coach to be in the side, Sneijder and Van der Wiel, for example.
Cammy, that’s right, enough incentive for the Dutch and they want to finish unbeaten but tough one anyway.
Decent wee read that :) also think Holland are a good price and rvp to be in the goals, lewandowski is 20/1 to score twice v England too which is decent but main bet is Montenegro Bosnia and Israel to score 2+ at 11/5 and a few daft bets. Lakuku RVP & Dzeko hat trick treble my biggest over 10,000/1 haha
Holland a great bet but no chance with lewanowski to score twice.
Probably not mr t, lucky if poland score twice but it’s worth throwing in a longshot
Switzerland Holland France treble
n South America, Ecuador and Chile will both qualify if they draw – so guess what that result will be.- I hope FIFA are reading the sentence above and send a rep to the match.
What is the point of International Football if matches are a fix. And I see the bookies go 4/6 the draw!
Well they don`t need to fix it…technically. Nobody can force either team to attack like idiots when they only need a draw.
Switzerland
Germany
Holland all to win
Belgium
England to score in both halfs
Theres a gd chance robin van persie will miss tnyts game with a toe injury so just make sure u check before bettin !
Ecuador and Chile should be severely reprimanded if they conspire too play out a draw. Sporting integrity and fair play go right out the window in this instance. Makes my blood boil at the thought of it. In a roundabout sort of way it’s cheating but proving it shall be very hard as usual
Remember Craig Levein sending out a team to play the Czechs without a forward? Both managers in tonights game are quite entitled to put out a team of 10 defenders each and hold out for a draw. We cant criticise teams who have amassed enough points that leaves them needing a point each to reach what they have been aiming for. If Scotland needed a draw to qualify and Croatia were the same we would accept a dull 0-0 without hesitation.
Agree 100%
Who’s all putting Chile vs Ecuador in their coupon then? Sporting intregrity or not if it wins me money a don’t care lol
Point taken Raalj but put the shoe on the other foot and if it were Scotland in Uruguayan position. They should play it out fairly for all teams concerned and play too win which would guarantee the winner a spot in the World Cup knowing that all teams had an equal playing field. I accept both sides of the argument and merely stating my opinion. Could imagine the outcry if it were a champions league group stage game and it were man utd,barca or Madrid in Uruguayan position
Your right Mr H from Uruguays point of view. I personally would never back the draw at odds on anyway as I don’t think Chile know how to defend!
If the two teams concerned don’t attempt to win FIFA should boot them out and promote the two teams below them.
So much for “Fair Play”- might be good for draw backers though of which I’m one.
Yesterday I watched Spain U21 – Hungary U21. Hungary never attempted to go forward, even 1-0 down. Their only purpose in that game was not to concede too many. So what do UEFA do about that one? I say Hungary never had intention to win that game. If they did my bet +2.5 goals would came ;-p
Lord Clegg, it happens from time when two sides need a draw and they get it. Draw is now about 8-11 and I won’t be backing against it. If they threw out sides who played for results that suited both there’d be no one left to play in the likes of Italy.
Draw odds @1.65 lmfao
I can mind Sweden v Denmark I think a few years back needing a draw to qualify for a tourny and I watched the game and ut finished, both teams going for the win in an attacking game but end to end stuff. I’d be on Chile if anything in this game at 13/8
Craig – It was in the European Championships, and it was an entertaining 2-2 draw, with a last minute Sweden goal. Both sides went through, at the expense of Italy, who had beaten Bulgaria with a late goal and thought they’d gone through, only to find out the result from the other game.
I am not sure if there is enough value in tonights games to place a bet. I just worked out that a 10-fold bet with Will Hill for £2 would return only £28 if successful
Holland-1 9/2 seems good bet
South Korea looking lively.
Is anyone watching the Scotland v Germany u19’s game? Any insight as to how Scotland are keeping a clean sheet let alone winning?
Single 4 Today
Turkey v Holland 1900 (Holland Win 17/10 Bet365)
Not an easy place to visit but believe that Holland will want to finish on a high and have preferential seeding goal – And 17/10 for me is a nice price.
I’m with you Craig, i would rather back Chile in this game, ecuador can still lose and qualify, as long as Uruguay don’t beat Argentina by a big score, thats why ive taken Uruguay at evns on my treble…
Bosnia -1 4/6
England -1 4/6
Uruguay evns
That Suarez penalty proves it- nobody gets anything in Montevideo. I’ve never seen anything less like a penalty in my life. 3/4 draws up for me so far but the Chile game is now 2-0- what is happening- there must be some mistake. It must have been arranged to finish 2-2!