What a week the NFL had last week with huge comebacks all over the shop, of course not in the pick I made which may be the worst against the spread loss of the whole season as the Colts pooped all over themselves and scored nothing against the Jags… The under on the Steelers game landed fairly easily while the Bengals stuttered again and the Broncos are terribly coached, so I won't be betting on anything involving their side of the ball until it's proven that Nathaniel Hackett isn't a fraud.

On to week 3 and there are some good spreads on offer for betting.

Best Spread

Ravens -2.5 @ Patriots.

Taking on Bill Belichick at home might be a stupid idea but I just don't rate the Patriots this year, they don't have much in the passing game and while Bill is great against old-school attacks I don't think he adjusts (yes I'm judging the greatest coach of all time) to modern offences and Lamar Jackson is about as mobile and modern as they come. The Pats will try and run the game but it's the Raven's secondary they should be attacking as it's already littered with injuries although should have Marcus Peters back.

Lamar Jackson would have been the talk of the league this week had his team not given up a huge lead to Tua and the Dolphins he looked great on the ground and in the passing game with 119 and a TD on the ground and 318 and 3 through the air for a 142 passer rating. He should be able to take advantage of an average Patriots' defence.

I think the Ravens win going away.

Best Total

Lions v Vikings 52.5

Who'd have thunk that my totals would be the winning bets so far, something I'm usually terrible on… let's see how this week goes.

It might be one of the highest totals on the board, but it's there for a reason, neither team can defend very well and both have explosive offences. The Lions have scored over 30 in both games and allowed nearly 70 themselves while the Vikings games haven't been quite as exciting they are very capable of putting up points in the early kick-offs where Kirk Cousins plays well. Justin Jefferson has 430+ yards in the last 3 matches against the Lions and should feast again here.

Should be a ton of points and hopefully the most fun game of the early starts (Bills v Dolphins over was the other choice)

Best TD Scorer

Jalen Hurts at plus money? Yeah go for it – Jalen Hurts anytime TD – 6/5 (William Hill) – He's rushed for 3 TDs over their first two games, the lines on both sides of the ball for the Eagles have been dominating and the Eagles look as good as predicted this early in the season as they beat up on poor teams. He's arguably the MVP through the first two games of the season. They'll move the ball all day against this bum defence of the Commanders and should take another step towards the NFC East title on his back.

Best Player Prop

Tua Tagovailoa longest pass completion was o36.5 yards

In what could be the highest scoring game of the weekend I'm a little surprised this line is as low as it is, he had a 42-yarder in week one against a solid enough Pats secondary and both Hill and Waddle took to pass over this marker last week against the Ravens, so going up against a Bills team who are missing a whole host of players in their secondary I don't see any reason why Hill and Waddle won't be able to break away for a big score once more and bring this bet home without too much fuss.

Thanks for reading, hopefully, we're on the up this week after a rough start to the season. #WHODEY

19 Comments
  1. Inches 2 years ago

    Hi Adam,
    Any other player props you like? Would love to see your shortlist if you have time please.

    • TDTips 2 years ago

      I’ll admit I was in a rush today, but there’s more on my page tdtips.com that I’ve got through

    • Inches 2 years ago

      Thanks Adam great write up.

  2. Inches 2 years ago

    Mixing attd looks like a bet of the day to me.
    Might add adams and hurts for a treble

    1
    • Inches 2 years ago

      Mixon

    • Inches 2 years ago

      5/1 treble sky

  3. TDTips 2 years ago

    I’m on the early treble, quite like that today at the price. Adams should get loaded up with looks, the Jets defense is poor and Kelce is always a sensible option

    5
    • ChrisBax 2 years ago

      Nice one Adam 😄

      Travis Kelce (KC), Davante Adams (LV) & Ja’Marr Chase (CIN) All to Score a Touchdown @ 9.00 ✅

      4
    • Inches 2 years ago

      Wwll done 🥳🥳

  4. Inches 2 years ago

    Ravens -2.5 5/6
    Mixon attd 8/11
    Adams O 6.5 receptions 8/13
    4.12/1

    Lions O49.5 4/6
    Juju O4.5 receptions 8/13
    Jags +9.5 2/5
    Eagles ML 4/11
    4/1

    25/1 roll up. (32/1 boyle s. With acca boost)
    Gl all.

    3
    • Inches 2 years ago

      2nd acca 5/1

  5. nflfan 2 years ago

    Sorry for late post
    Two prop bets again
    D pierce houston over 60.5 rush yards
    General 10/11
    Over two games had at least 12 carry’s a game Chicago defensive against rush is poor
    Second p Mahones over 10.5 rush yards
    5/6 skybet
    I have done this bet previous in week one
    No good but tonight I expect him to move about as the hostile crowd could alter the play calling ☘️☘️ All

    2
  6. nflfan 2 years ago

    Both prop bets up early ☘️👍

    1
    • Inches 2 years ago

      Class mate I took them with jefferson under 97 and Harris over 44.5 harris finished with 41 ffs. Well done again.
      Waiting on jags +9.5 for a nice 5/1 winner 🤞🍀

      1
  7. nflfan 2 years ago

    Good luck inches ☘️☘️

    1
  8. nflfan 2 years ago

    Good luck inches ☘️☘️

  9. nflfan 2 years ago

    Good picking tonight Adam ☘️

    1
  10. Inches 2 years ago

    Ravens -2.5 5/6✅️
    Mixon attd 8/11❌️
    Adams O 6.5 receptions 8/13❌️
    4.12/1

    Lions O49.5 4/6✅️
    Juju O4.5 receptions 8/13✅️
    Jags +9.5 2/5✅️
    Eagles ML 4/11✅️
    4/1

    25/1 roll up. (32/1 boyle s. With acca boost)
    Gl all.

    5/1 winner, can’t believe adams only had 5 receptions when raiders trailed the whole game. And mixon was head scratch.
    Well done Adam and nflfan, great picking.

    1
  11. nflfan 2 years ago

    👍 inches

    1

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