IT'S D-Day for Germany who can't afford another slip-up on Saturday night as they bid to protect their record of never being knocked out at the group stage.

After loisng to Mexico the Germans try to recover against Sweden and it won't be easy. In the other Group F match Mexico should see off South Korea and progress to the last 16.

First up today though is Belgium v Tunisia in England's group and that should be a win for the favourites.

Belgium v Tunisia (1pm)

Belgium aim to stay on course for a Group G decider with England by beating a Tunisia side who are winless in their last 12 group games. In contrast their opponents are unbeaten in 20.

Boss Roberto Martinez could make some changes ahead of next week's crucial clash with Gareth Southgate's men but he'll want to remain in contention for top spot.

Tunisia will be without first-choice keeper Mouez Hassen who was injured saving a John Stones header and he will be replaced by Farouk Ben Mustapha who does wear the No.1 jersey.

Belgium are just 4-11 at Coral to win or alternatively take Belgium with a clean sheet at 21-20 with Ladbrokes.

With Thibaut Courtois between the sticks the Belgians have stopped teams scoring in five of their last six.

Romelu Lukaku improved on his scoring incredible recent scoring with a double in the defeat of Panama.

Skipper Eden Hazard had to give Lukaku a half-time pep talk after claiming the Man United man was “hiding”.

The words had the desired effect with the striker netting twice after Dries Mertens's spectacular opener.

Lukaku is 11-4 with Betfred to score first and 10-11 at Sky Bet to net at any time.

Hazard takes the penalties and is an alternative choice at 22-5 with Unibet while he is 6-4 to score.

Best Bet

  • Lukaku to score

South Korea v Mexico (4pm)

It was a brilliant tactical display by the Mexicans against Germany and I expect them to follow up with a win against South Korea today to book a last-16 spot.

Coach Juan Carlos Osario is unlikely to make many if any changes – those can be left for the final game if they've qualified.

Mexico are nicely priced at 9-10 with Marathonbet against a side who showed their limitations as they lost 1-0 to Sweden.

Former Arsenal star Carlos Vela looked Mexico's star man until he was subbed and he is 6-1 with McBookie to score first.

Ex-Man United man Chicarito is one short of his 50th for his country and is 6-4 at William Hill to get it.

South Korea will again look to Spurs striker Son Heung-min for a goal and he is 10-1 at sportingbet to strike the opener.

Mexico defended well against the Germans and are worth a look at 6-4 with McBookie to win to nil.

To win Group D Mexico still look worth backing at a 8-11 with Betfred while Sweden are 4-1 at William Hill and third favourites at 7-5 with BetStars to qualify.

Best Bet

  • Mexico

Germany v Sweden (7pm)

Germany usually get it right but like Argentina could be a big letdown. Or should that be a big Lowdown.

The Germans' 1-0 defeat was the surprise of the first round of games and I can't remember seeing a worse performance from them.

So like Lionel Messi's men the Germans are staring at a shock exit from which boss Joachim Low wouldn't be able to recover.

On Saturday they face Sweden and while Janne Andersson doesn't have any top stars they play as a team and can get results.

Sweden weren't brilliant in their opener but a 1-0 win against South Korea was exactly what they wanted and they are capable of making life difficult for the defending champions.

Defensively Low's men were exposed by Mexico and it could have been three or four. They have now won just one of their last seven so confidence must be fragile.

Germany have slow centre-backs who dropped deep when Mexico were in possession and that left space for the South Americans to exploit.

Sweden will try to expose them and their attacking full-backs and with Germany chasing goals they could take advantage although they're not as pacy as Mexico.

Having watched them lose last week I can't back the Germans at no bigger than 1-2 with Coral. However, they are unbeaten in the last 11 against their rivals with seven victories.

Most recently meeting they met in the 2014 World Cup qualifiers and bot legs were crackers – 4-4 and 5-3.

After a disappointing and low-scoring tournament what would we give for a repeat of any of those scorelines.

Sweden are a best 7-1 at bet365 and draw has a chance at 15-4 with bet365 if the Germans don't show a massive improvement.

Maybe they'll edge a one-goal win so the bet here could be Sweden +2 at 8-13 with Betway. Sweden plus one is 15-8 at betfair.

Goals have been at a premium in the tournament and under 2.5 looks the play at evens with William Hill.

If you have a feeling there will be goals back both to score and over 2.5 at 6-4 with William Hill.

Germany have always made it through the group stage in 16 previous appearances at the finals and Low will hold on to the belief he can make a couple of tweaks that are needed.

Not to qualify Germany are 2-1 at 188BET and still favourites at 2-5 with William Hill to progress.

It's in their hands but can the Swedes make them feel sour tonight?

Best Bet

  • Sweden +2
15 Comments
  1. GregBrowning 3 months ago

    Evening gents

    Friday’s matches were a significant improvement on the guff we’ve been served up with so far

    Don’t disagree with what Mr F has said and I think Saturday could be the day for backing the favourites

    Belgium ?? should take care of Tunisia ?? with minimal fuss.

    Mexico ?? will be full of confidance and I’m expecting them to edge passed goal shy South Korean ??

    Germany ?? won’t do the unthinkable and lose consecutive games for the first time in 70 years. They haven’t lost against Sweden ?? in 40 years and although Sweden will play to their strengths and try and keep it tight, Germany should Edge this 1-0 or 2-0

    1pm – Belgium to win ??
    4pm – Mexico to win ??
    7pm – Germany to win ??

    Treble pays 5/2 (Unibet))

  2. GregBrowning 3 months ago

    KO Sunday 1pm

    England ??????? v Panama ??

    Cards?

    I watched Panama kick lumps out of Belgium on Monday – they ended up with 5 players carded and it doesn’t really get any easier for them as they play Garth Southgates England side. This will likely be another backs to the wall affair for them with England bossing possesion and they have the players with pace who can draw fouls – or in Panama’s case kick.

    I Fancy Panama’s inexperience and lack of patience to be their downfall again

    Panama bookings -1 6/5 (Bet365)

    • HullShaker 3 months ago

      ENGLAND VS. PANAMA:

      My line of thinking is exactly the same Greg…Panama have 2 plans:

      Plan a) kick the sh*t out of the key players

      Plan b) kick the sh*t out of anyone else and the key players again.

      PANAMA OVER 2.5 CARDS…11/8
      ????

      ****************************

      BELGIUM VS. TUNISIA:

      OVER 2.5 MGS…19/20
      ???

      Best of luck ?

    • Author
      Mr Fixit 3 months ago

      Yeah looks a decent shout.

  3. 3 months ago

    Curico Unido btts 1/1,only basing my bet on the fact that Barnechea have scored an away goal in all their fixtures in 2018(10)&also the last time these played each other although a friendly ended 3-1 to the hosts at the start of 2018

  4. HullShaker 3 months ago

    One for any Night Owls or early risers to look at – I’m heading out fishing in an hour so will put up a brief…looks to have a chance!

    CURICÓ UNIDO VS. BARNECHEA (0100 KO):

    The hosts start solid favourites and Curico have the better stature playing out of the Chilean Premier but I don’t wonder if 2nd tier side Barnechea may grab an away lifeline in this 1st leg encounter.

    They’ve done relatively well in H2Hs but it’s their recent form away from home that draws me in here; they have scored in 100% of their last 10 games on the road and that’s as rare as rocking horse sh*t in Chile so can’t be ignored:

    Two selections to consider:

    BARNECHEA TO SCORE…4/6
    ??

    BTTS 1ST HALF…9/2
    ?

    ?

  5. maccathered 3 months ago

    Can’t see any teams resting players or playing weakened teams until they have qualified,it’s the world cup not the mickey mouse cup lol.
    Belgium v Tunisia
    South Korea v Mexico
    Germany v Sweden
    All btts at 9/1
    best of luck

  6. bullseye 3 months ago

    World Cup 13:00
    Belgium vs Tunisia – over 4.5 first half Asian corners 1.875 Bet365 **LARGE NAP**
    —————————————————————————————————————–
    World Cup 13:00
    Belgium vs Tunisia – Belgium over 3 first half Team corners

    World Cup 19:00
    Germany vs Sweden – Germany over 3 second half team corners

    Going with a large investment in a Group G match again. When Tunisia played England there were five corners at HT (2 from Tunisia, 3 from England). When Belgium played Panama there were nine corners at HT (7 from Belgium, 2 from Panama). With the players that Belgium have I’d expect them to Stretch and get in behind Tunisia (much like England did in the first half) and this should again produce corners as it did against Panama.

    Good luck all

    Good luck all

    Double 2.85/1 Paddypower **NB**

    • bullseye 3 months ago

      Made a meal of the last bit of the post ? should read:

      World Cup 13:00
      Belgium vs Tunisia – Belgium over 3 first half Team corners

      World Cup 19:00
      Germany vs Sweden – Germany over 3 second half team corners

      Double 2.85/1 Paddypower **NB**

  7. crypto thief 3 months ago

    Mexico look likely winners, but can see South Korea sneaking a goal, and Son Heung Min is 6.37 to score anytime on cloudbet.com. That’s my ‘bonkers bet. Safe bet is BTTS at 2.31 on sportsbet.io.

  8. HullShaker 3 months ago

    No 1st half goals in Chile but there was one on 56′ ?

    One for any Night Owls or early risers to look at – I’m heading out fishing in an hour so will put up a brief…looks to have a chance!

    CURICÓ UNIDO VS. BARNECHEA (0100 KO):

    The hosts start solid favourites and Curico have the better stature playing out of the Chilean Premier but I don’t wonder if 2nd tier side Barnechea may grab an away lifeline in this 1st leg encounter.

    They’ve done relatively well in H2Hs but it’s their recent form away from home that draws me in here; they have scored in 100% of their last 10 games on the road and that’s as rare as rocking horse sh*t in Chile so can’t be ignored:

    Two selections to consider:

    BARNECHEA TO SCORE…4/6
    ??

    ***WON***

    ?

  9. kirantotti365 3 months ago

    @alex great tipping mate

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