worldcuptrophy

World Cup qualifying, Group A, Hampden, 8pm

FOR me this game is all about Gareth Bale. If he plays well Wales have a chance but if he doesn't turn up Scotland could win.

Bale missed three days training this week with a virus and also has an ankle knock but he'll start even if he has to play one leg. The Spurs star has netted Wales' last four goals – including two against Scotland – so that's how important he is to his country.

It's also a huge game for new Scots boss Gordon Strachan and the game is difficult to call. I accept Wales are a tempting price at 4-1 with Stan James bit I'm siding with the draw.

There is the Strachan factor and Scotland don't lose many competitive games at Hampden – they have already drawn with Serbia and Macedonia in this campaign.

One amazing stat I read is Wales have drawn any of their last 44 internationals. I hate the expression “they're due one” but they must be due one.

So it could well be a draw which pays 13-5 at BetVictor and won't help either side in their uphill battle to qualify.

Anyone thinking about Wales could consider 11-4 at bet365 on the draw no bet market.

Scotland won their debut match under Strachan but it was a hardly a convincing 1-0 victory against Estonia so I'm reluctant to back the home at a best 5-6 at Coral.

Bale is that good he is 5-1 with William Hill to beat Scotland on his own with Strachan's side 8-13. With McBookie.com the Bale v Scots draw pays 9-2 and that's a worth a look.

To score first Bale is 6-1 at Ladbrokes and 15-8 at BetVictor to net at anytime.

He is 6-1 with McBookie.com to win a penalty and 16-1 to be booked for diving – and he's got history in the Premier League this season.

Steven Fletcher is seen as Scotland's best bet of a goal at 5-1 with BetVictor but both he and Jordan Rhodes, 6-1 Ladbrokes, have been struggling for counters.

The player to look at could be on-form Wigan star Shaun Maloney at 9-1 with Ladbrokes and what about Welsh comeback star Craig Bellamy at 9-1 with the same firm.

In the popular both teams to score market a yes is 5-6 with William Hill and that looks likely.

Recommendations

Draw
(13-5, BetVictor)

Both teams to score
(5-6, William Hill)

World Cup 2022 Coverage

Avatar of Mr Fixit

Mr Fixit

5773 articles

Resident football tipster at Scotland's most read newspaper, the Daily Record, for over 20 years and proud host of one the best betting communities on the web with daily betting tips.

8 Comments
  1. Avatar of danny higgins
    danny higgins 12 years ago

    Paul. Joe Ledley @ 20/1 1st goal and 7/1 any time with 365 could be worth a punt

    • Avatar of Mr Fixit
      Mr Fixit 12 years ago

      Danny, could be but I’m not backing against Scotland.

  2. Avatar of danny higgins
    danny higgins 12 years ago

    You should not let your heart rule your head Paul.

    • Avatar of Mr Fixit
      Mr Fixit 12 years ago

      Danny, never bet against Scotland or Clydebank. Have tipped against Scotland though and obviously wouldn’t mislead punters on that front. Just a feeling we won’t lose and might nick it of Bale isn’t 100 per cent.

  3. Avatar of Stephen Miller
    Stephen Miller 12 years ago

    do you think the game might get called aff am just a few mile fae hampden and the snows pelting doon.

    • Avatar of Mr Fixit
      Mr Fixit 12 years ago

      Stephen, don’t Scotland is in any doubt but wouldn’t fancy sitting in the freezing cold watching it. Will see from the comfort of the office.

  4. Avatar of Craig alves
    Craig alves 12 years ago

    paul I got 10/3 for bale anytime in hills this morning

  5. Avatar of Danny
    Danny 12 years ago

    Bonkers Bet James MaCarthur anytime goal 9/1 Ladbrokes

    Even more Bonkers Chris Burke 1st goal 16/1 Coral

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