worldcuptrophy

IT'S been a marathon rather than a sprint but overall punters have fleeced the bookies even if it's been with the help of moneyback offers.

Bet365 alone handed back £10 million after 10 0-0 draws and that stat is amazing when you consider the goal-laden start to the tournament.

Germany and Argentina have been involved in 0-0 draws after 90 minutes during the tournament but hopefully we'll finish on a high with a few goals in an action-packed game.

That's not a given though. Brazil 2014 has been a mixture of boring and brilliant and the two semi-finals were in stark contrast to each other.

While Germany bulldozed Brazil with 7-1 trouncing, Argentina and Holland played out the worst 120 minutes of football I think I’ve seen.

In the end Argentina edged a nervy penalty shootout and will have to play better to have any chance against Joachim Low’s forward-thinking stars. Germany haven’t been outstanding the whole tournament but confidence will be at an all-time high.

I tipped Argentina on the anteposts at 7-2 but switched allegiance to Germany after they defeated France in the quarter-finals so it doesn’t matter to me which side wins.

But I’ll be backing cautiously Germany at 7-5 with McBookie and BetVictor in 90 minutes and 8-11 at Paddy Power and Betfred on the outrights.

Argentina are 5-2 at bet365 and 11-10 with Betfred respectively while the draw in 90 minutes pays 9-4 (various).

In the group stage Lionel Messi carried the Argentines through but in the knockout phase he has been fairly anonymous with defensive midfielder Javier Mascherano the outstanding performer. Angel di Maria has been the South Americans' other top star and is expected to recover from injury to take his place in the starting line-up.

The possibility of the Argentines cancelling out their opponents the way they did the Dutch can't be ruled out but if Germany manage an early goal we should be treated to a cracker – although Argentina won’t collapse in the same way as their fierce rivals Brazil.

A 1-0 (6-1, McBookie) or 2-0 win (11-1, McBookie) win for Germany is my call.

Messi is first-scorer favourite at 5-1 with Ladbrokes but I’d prefer to be on a German. Five of them netted against Brazil and I tipped Thomas Muller to net first in the semi-finals and I’m standing by the Golden Boot hopeful and Golden Ball shortister at 6-1 with Ladbrokes.

Muller needs one goal to draw level with James Rodriguez at the top of the scoring charts and is 2-1 with Ladbrokes to score at anytime and best odds of 15-2 with William Hill to net two or more according to easyodds.

Messi is Muller's closest rival still in action, with four goals to his name, but the Barcelona man needs two to equal Rodriguez. He is 9-1 through easyodds and Paddy Power to score two or more in the game.

Stan James on are a biggest 4-7 on Colombia's Rodriguez to finish tournament top scorer. Muller is 11-4 with Ladbrokes and Skybet to top the chart with Messi further back at 16-1 through SkyBet.

Alternatives are Toni Kroos, who hit a double against Brazil, at 17-1 with McBookie and Sami Khedira who was on target in a super show. He is 25-1 (various).

And you can’t rule out record World Cup scorer Miroslav Klose who is 7-1 at Ladbrokes. Klose has three goals in his last three appearances for Germany against Argentina. The World Cup goal king is 9-4 with a number of bookies to add to his 16 tournament goals at anytime in the Final.

I tipped Bruno Martins Indi at 12-1 for first card in the second semi and I’ll be on Argentina’s Martin Demechilis at 12-1 with bet365. He was my second choice in the semi and was the second player booked.

Germany have scored more than twice as many goals as Argentina en route to the Final. Argentina have just eight from their six matches, with Germany registering 17 so far. Germany to score two or more in the Final is best odds of 8-5 with Paddy Power.

Argentina are still yet to go behind at any point in the tournament, say easyodds, and are 6-4 with bet365, while Germany are 16-1 to become the first side to turn around a deficit against Argentina and win.

The South Americans have failed to score in the first 90 minutes in two out of three of their knockout matches. Argentina to draw another blank in normal time is 7-5 with Paddy Power.

Recommended Bets

Germany to win
(7-5, McBookie, BetVictor)

Demechilis first card
(12-1, bet365)

Muller to score first
(6-1, Ladbrokes)

Argentina not to score
(7-5, Paddy Power)

30 Comments
  1. Marky mark 5 years ago

    I’m a similar situation to you Mr F….Argies were my antepost pick and I’m due £225 back if they be in! if the
    Gerries win I’m due c.£200 back after backing thru the tourney! Great news…means I can kick back and enjoy the game!

    Gerries 2-1 for extra interest !

  2. geesaclue 5 years ago

    I have a wee bet running djokovic to win last week with both players winning a set @ 6/4 & Germany to win the world cup @ 5/2 £20 double.
    not sure I want to cover as I fancy Germany in 90 mins

    not sure about your argies not to score mr f only takes 1 flick of the wee mans left boot anywhere around the box if he gets any space/freekicks.

    must say well done to raal on his boxing tips again been following since the start but never backed them

    maybe should start!

  3. Cally g 5 years ago

    I’ll be on Germany outright tonight at 4/6 and with bet 365 who are offering money back if Germany lose on pens. Good value considering the only way in my mind agentina can win is in pens so this looks great.

  4. Rickastley 5 years ago

    Put £20 on Thomas Muller for top scorer @33s with Paddy Power at the start of the tournament…they are now offering me a cashback of £145…if he scored once in the final would be on 6 with Rodriguez but Muller has more assists…does anybody know if assists count for bets or would dead heat rules apply?

    • Mr Fixit 5 years ago

      Rickastley, assists count for Golden Boot but not top scorer – two different markets so check the one you’ve backed.

  5. Ritchie 5 years ago

    Same boat as MrF & Marky Mark, with regard jumping ship from Argentina to Germany!I sound like Steve the pirate!Excellent tips MrF.& lots of others!G`luck all!

  6. Craig Alves 5 years ago

    Rick if he’s tied it’ll be split by how many players are tied. 33/1 will go to 33/2 for 2 players(16.5/1) and 33/3, 11/1 if Messi manages a couple and Muller gets 1, I’ve got £20 on Messi so hoping for a hat trick from him but also covered £5 on Muller at 6/1 with 1 of the free bets off PP l. Also waiting on Germany 6/1 for £35 with Coral, had Spain too but if Brazil or Argentina win they’ll give free bets ti stake so at least £10 free bet at worst.

    Betfred also doing in-play offer up to £10, have a bet inplay and if it loses they’ll give yi a free bet, using my placepot risk free £10 from Friday that’s back in my account this morning for it

  7. Rickastley 5 years ago

    Cheers Craig…will probably just let it ride then in the hope that Muller can score at least 1 and Messi doesn’t score 2!…at least I’ve had a good run for my money:)

  8. Cally g 5 years ago

    Backed germany from the start of 20 pounds at 6/1 but put on 650ont hem to win outright with bet365 which are offering stake money back if Argentina win on pens and also have 225 on germ ya to win in90mins at 13/10 so fingers crossed

  9. Cally g 5 years ago

    Ps Jamie rednkapp has tipped Argentina so germany are now officially going t win now. This guy has to be the worst football analyst known in th game. Rednkapp red hot tips wth skybet are a joke. I thnk in the whole season he never got one score right

  10. Will Hill 5 years ago

    Another night ruined by shocking refereeing decisions.
    I had both teams to get a penalty 33/1 and each team to have a player red carded 80/1. Two minutes gone, soft penalty and no red card for being last man, then Danny blind hammers Oscar, so it’s a stonewaller and a second yellow. If Oscar dived then why was Blind stretchered off.
    This is the third time ive been robbed of decent money.
    The Brazil/Colombia game was the worst refereeing ive witnessed at any top level game and i was waiting on the Ivory Coast not to get beat against Greece for a big 5 timer to qualify from their groups and you know the last minute penalty history.
    To sum up this tournament was hearing co-commentator Clark Carlisle saying Mascherano was the player of the tournament!. Im not saying he isn’t, but when a defensive midfielder is the best player then the attackers must be poor. He also said Dirk Kuyt was one of the top 5 as covers every blade of grass. Maybe he should take up horticulture.
    Apologies for the gripes and would to thank Mr.F for all his hard work and tips and also wish every one a successful betting evening.
    Bring back football please……..

  11. Craig Alves 5 years ago

    Rick that’s it, got our ££ back in free bets already so couldn’t have asked for anything else than to still be in with a chance in the final. Let’s hope it’s not 0-0, any return I’ll be happy with and no more bets from me tonight I think

  12. franny kelly 5 years ago

    Hey,Mr Fixit

    Can you advise me on any reliable sites where i can study the stats before picking my teams out.
    At the moment i use soccerway.com but not sure if the information is reliable, cheers

    • craigyboy 5 years ago

      franny kelly soccerway is all I use. For me its the best source of stats in terms of history of games and recent results. If there isn’t a game on there that is inplay I don’t bet on it. Its effectively a gamblers bible :)

    • Mr Fixit 5 years ago

      franny, nothing wrong with soccerway who I use to.

  13. Craig Alves 5 years ago

    Apart from Betfred inplay offer and will probably go for goalscorer or Germany in 90 mins

  14. craigyboy 5 years ago

    I fancy and sincerely hope Germany win it in 90mins. Backed them pre tournament and I’ve backed them to do the job tonight. I hope they can get an early goal and force Argentina to open up a bit.
    Also backed Muller top goalscorer so I’m hoping he can net a brace.

    Picks for tonight:
    Germany to win 13/10
    Germany -1 handicap 17/4
    Germany HT/FT 31/10

    I fancy a nice comfortable 2-0 German win. Too many match winners all on fire in the German team IMO. Messi to walk round in a strop after 30mins.

  15. craigyboy 5 years ago

    Also 13/8 for Germany over 1.5 goals looks a decent price for a team who knocked 7 past Brazil :)

  16. maxclover 5 years ago

    Germany win to nil 4/1

  17. maxclover 5 years ago

    Germany win to nil 12/5*

  18. Johnny J 5 years ago

    Not a bad end for me 3 bets alive still

    William Hill Yes or No @ 33/1 after taking.

    England to score 4 or less
    Brasil to score 10 or less
    Spain to score 8 or less
    France group win
    Arg & Ger top groups

    Only waiting on a score at h/t other than a draw i actually thought i had the opposite but ive covered anyway.

    2nd Bet Argentina e.w @ 4/1

    Think this game will be a close one and ive got a feeling for argentina however i dont fancy messi to be the star of the show as he rarely is

    Fifa Mcdonalds dream team currently in 2nd place with 40pts in it but made a big call and dropped the wee man in favour of a 532 formation.

    Good luck

  19. Andy 5 years ago

    I also have muller top scorer and germany to win, was reading comments over the net and it seems that some people thing if its a tie it then goes to assists. This is how muller won the last top scorer award

  20. MR H 5 years ago

    Johnny J, Brazil have scored 11 goals not counting penalties. Including extra time. I got on with ladbrokes who said extra time does count towards total tournament goals. Just waiting on Argentina to score 3. I haven’t got a prayer. Lol

  21. Rick 5 years ago

    Would like to thank everyone for their tips over last month, ive lost a bit but won a whole lot more, icing on the cake would be Germany to lift trophy which I backed at 11/2 & 11/4

  22. Greg 5 years ago

    Mr F. and everyone, sky bet special is muller to score a header at 10/1! surely that cant be overlooked?

  23. Garyedinburgh 5 years ago

    Hi all,

    could be tight game so took specials for interest:
    Muller headed goal 10/1 (Greg)
    Muller score and card 11/1
    Both teams to score a penalty @ 50/1
    Booked Martin Demichelis @ 2/1 (Mr f)

    £10 on each, see what happens. Good luck all

  24. Garyedinburgh 5 years ago

    Oh all skybet

  25. 1plus2 5 years ago

    Not 2 shabby for a 0-0 could go anyway

  26. bradsbets 5 years ago

    Germany just been crowned world champions and all credit to them as they have been the best team in Brazil by a country mile but you have to feel sorry for messi who had he of won this game would have achieved a status bigger than maradonna

  27. nev 5 years ago

    Had Messi for player of tournament from start and was about to rip slip up luckiest winner i had in long time no way deserved not even best Argentina player in tournament but ill gladly take it,well done to everyone on what was good world cup for people who followed this site

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