Day three of the French Open sees Brith Dan Evans take on No. 13 seed Holger Rune for a spot in the second round. As the last British man standing in the men’s draw, can Evans pull off a big upset in Paris?
Read on for our Evans vs Rune prediction and betting tips.
Evans comes to Roland-Garros in a shocking patch of form. The former world No .21 has only won three matches all year on the ATP Tour, and is currently riding a six-match losing streak dating back to mid-March.
The 34-year-old’s French Open record doesn’t provide much solace either. From seven main draw entries, Evans has just the solitary win. Does the Brit stand any chance here? Thankfully, he’s playing one of the most mercurial players on Tour, the 21-year-old Rune.
Rune’s brief career so far has had some high highs, and low lows. From defeating Novak Djokovic in the final of a Masters 1000 and making four consecutive finals, to losing seven matches in a row–he’s done it all.
The Dane comes to Paris in modest form. He’s 6-4 across the European clay swing so far, with his biggest win being world No. 9 Grigor Dimitrov. As a defending quarter-finalist at the French Open, can he surprise his critics and put together a deep run here?
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How the Bookies View It: Rune the Heavy Favourite
Bookmaker bet365 has Rune as an enormous favourite in this clash, with the 21-year-old returning just 1/12 for a victory in round one. Evans is at long odds, paying 7/1 to prevail, while set betting puts the most likely result as Rune 3-0, returning 4/5.
Recent Head-to-Head: Nothing to See Here
Rune and Evans have not met on the ATP Tour, and will be playing their first match together on Tuesday at the French Open.
Anything Else Catch the Eye?
While Evans has a poor record at Roland-Garros, the Brit does have a knack for being a tough beat in Paris. Of his six losses here, he’s won at least a set on five occasions. Even recently on the ATP Tour, while he’s been losing, his past two defeats have gone the distance.
Rune has made two Grand Slam quarter-finals in the past 12 months. However, the Dane has also dropped at least a set in three of his past four first-round matches at majors. Historically, the 21-year-old has struggled with focus and consistent effort, often running hot and cold across matches and tournaments.
Evans vs Rune Betting Tips & Predictions
Sorry British tennis fans, we think it’ll be the end of the road for the Brits at the French Open this Tuesday. If it’s any consolation, there’s a good chance that Evans knuckles in and makes this a gritty loss. Expect him to nab a set on his way out, as he’s made a habit of doing.
- Rune to win 3-1 @ 9/4
- Total games over 31.5 @ 4/5
Evans and Rune take to Court Suzanne-Lenglen fourth on Tuesday, with play likely to start around 3pm local time. In the meantime, check out our outright predictions and seed analysis for the men’s French Open 2024.
Bren is our resident Kiwi, and has been playing or watching sports down under in New Zealand for the better part of three decades. With 12+ years experience as a professional writer, Bren loves to dive deep into all things sport to bring the best betting analysis and predictions here at Mr Fixits Tips.
In December 2020 we sadly 
