It’s a slow day on the football front but a big week lies ahead for nations aiming to qualify for the Euro 2024.
England are cruising through qualification as usual. They meet Ukraine in Wroclaw, Poland on Saturday and win would all but seal a place in Germany next summer. With qualification nailed on Bet365 go 11/4 on Gareth Southgate doing so by winning all their games.
Scotland are in a phenomenal position at the top of Group A after four wins from four. A win in Cyprus on Friday would set them up nicely for their trip to Spain in October. Bookies rate Steve Clarke's men as 1/6 chances to qualify from the group from here.
If they fail to qualify from Group A the Scots will get a second bite at qualification via the Nations League Play-Offs. Passports at the ready.
Wales are struggling in Group D where Turkey, Armenia and Croatia sit above them in the table. Two defeats in the last double-header could prove fatal to their chances of qualifying so Monday’s match in Latvia is must-win for Rob Page’s men. They're currently 3/1 shots to qualify.
Northern Ireland’s hopes are even more forlorn at 50/1 to finish in the top two of Group H. Their only points have come against minnows San Marino and this week will be clocking up miles, if north points, on tricky assignments in Slovenia and Kazakhstan.
Despite just one win from three Republic of Ireland are still in contention for a qualifying spot but face a tough week with a trip to France tomorrow before welcoming the Netherlands to Dublin on Sunday. Justifiably they're 10/1 to finish top two but there could be a zero added to that by the end of this international break.
It's a struggle to find a bet for tonight but in Ireland Derry City should record a comfortable win at UCD. The hosts have managed just two wins this season and have shipped 71 goals, averaging Over 2.5 goals conceded per match. Derry have put 4, 4, 3, 1, 7, 2 past UCD in their last six visits.
Derry are 1/6 to win but they shouldn't be too far away from hitting Over 2.5 goals themselves at 5/6.
Upcoming Match Previews & Tips
- Thu 19:45 Slovenia vs Northern Ireland
- Thu 19:45 Wales vs South Korea
- Thu 19:45 Czech Republic vs Albania
- Thu 19:45 Netherlands vs Greece
- Fri 19:45 Cyprus vs Scotland
Horse Racing Tips
Rizzel is back for Wednesday's racing and he has put up 2 fancies coming at Bath and the evening Kempton card
As ever, please share your tips in for today in the comments section below.
WH specials Japan cup 4 games – 11am KO
2+ gls each game – 11/4
Can get 12/1 for GIBH also but not being greedy here.
Morning interest ,
Consadole Sapporo vs Yokohama marinos 🇯🇵
Over 3.5 mg’s 1/1 ……….
Goodluck if you can find a bet today not much about 👍
🇵🇪 Peru 2 league 🇵🇪 Kick off 9.15pm
Pirata FC v Deportivo Llacuabambe
Over 3 Asian Goal line at 1.900 b365
Best of luck
after the womens world cup
thought there would be a buzz about the womens champions league
Over 4.5
Match Under/Over 4.5 Goals Live – Vorskla Poltava Women v Flora Tallinn Women
2-1
Yemen U23
Match Result and 5 or More Goals in the Match Live – Singapore U23 v Yemen U23
0-3
half time
about to start
In play bet
Juventus women
Under 7 gls
6/5
Currently 2-0
🤞
Bottled in and cashed it out for a small profit
finished 6-0…..
4pm
match
arsenal women
btts
whills
evens
Another clean sweep yesterday…unfortunately this time around it was the reverse! After a good last few days at the US Open going 9 out of 11 winners all selections lost last night. Still a profit in the tournament (just under 5 units) but that did take away a lot of the good winners over recent days.
As I thought Ostapenko struggled in the heat but despite only serving at 38% 1st serves she only had 2 double faults which amazes me. I did discuss the Gauff -3.5 games so a little annoying I didn’t opt for that one. The Tiafoe vs Shelton match goes to 4 sets and includes a tie break but still somehow doesn’t cover the 39.5 games. Both players were serving so well before last night I would never have imagined 11 breaks of serve in 4 sets. The break of serve line was set at 6.5 so you can see how the bookies were expecting the match to go as well.
Ostapenko 7 or more Double Faults @ 1.91 Boylesports ❌
Ostapenko 8+ Double Faults @ 3.0 Bet365 ❌
Tiafoe vs Shelton Over 39.5 Games @ 1.97 Pinnacle (NAP) ❌
Tiafoe Over 12.5 Aces @ 1.83 Bet365 (NB) ❌
Tiafoe vs Shelton bet builder Bet365 @ 1.95 ❌
Well done all winners yesterday
AFCON qualifiers
Libya v Equatorial Guinea
Over 2.5 goals at 6/4
Over 3.5 goals at 4/1
Best of luck
8.00pm kick off
My plays today for the 2 ladies quarter finals at the US Open
Sabalenka -4.5 Games vs Zheng @ 2.0 Pinnacle (NAP)
Will side with Sabalenka once again today. She has been brilliant all tournament, hitting the ball so well & most importantly serving well. Zheng has done very well but this is a big step up from opponents she has faced so far. Jabeur has not played well all tournament. Other than that she has beaten 2 clay courters (struggled massively to beat Bronzetti in 3 sets) & a declining erratic Kanepi in 3. Over this summer she did push Swiatek to 3 sets but she has also not been at her best in recent months. Interestingly Zheng has lost to Samsonova & Keys since August & these two are probably the closest likeness to Sabalenka in terms of game style with the power & good serve. The biggest issue for Zheng in this match is likely to be her 2nd serves. If she continues to have a 1st serve % close to 40% then this will allow Sabalenka & her heavy hitting to get on top of the rallies early. When she lost to Keys she had just 38% 1st serves & against Samsonova 53% but winning only 26% of 2nd serves. Unless Zheng can serve much closer or above 60% I think she will massively struggle in this as her 2nd serves will just be sitting up for Sabalenka. She also lost both of those matches I have mentioned in straight sets & by 7 games so I think Sabalenka can repeat that again. Another factor in this one could be nerves. Sabalenka is a grand slam champion along with 5 SF. Zheng is in new territory having never made it this far in a grand slam so she is likely to be feeling it at the start. If Sabalenka can get on top early it could be one way traffic.
Keys to beat Vondrousova @ 1.82 Pinnacle
Another player who has been playing incredibly well is Madison Keys & for me this match is completely on her racquet. She has been serving so well, holding close to 95% & only being broken on 2 occasions in her first 4 matches. However, Vondrousova will be the best returner she has faced so far. The biggest concern for Vondrousova is not only trying to break Keys but how will her injured elbow hold up? She wasn’t 100% in her previous match & was seen with ice on her elbow afterwards in tears before pulling out of her doubles match. This is her left serving arm so far from ideal. If she is not able to serve at a high level this will allow Keys plenty of chances & then breaking back is going to be an issue. I try to avoid bookies that don’t void retirements but in this case I will use one that only voids if the 1st set is not complete. If Vondrousova is not right I sense she will give it a go & then if she loses the 1st set easily may then retire to save herself from further injury. If she has recovered then this match will be close but I would still give Keys the edge given her ability to find cheap points.
Will post my plays for the 2 men’s matches shortly.
GL 🤞
Cheers radu. Nice to see we are both thinking the same with Keys. GL to you as well.
Vondrousova – Keys
🎾 Keys to win @ 1.80 ⭐⭐
=======================
Medvedev – Rublev
🎾 Medvedev to win & over 3.5 sets @ 2.15 ⭐⭐⭐
Alcaraz – Zverev
🎾 Alcaraz to win 3-0 @ 2.38 ⭐⭐
========================================
🍻
Kazakhstan – Finland
⚽ 1X @ 1.74 ⭐⭐
France – Ireland
⚽ over 2.5 goals @ 1.76 ⭐⭐
Netherlands – Greece
⚽ Net. to win by 1 goal @ 3.55 ⭐
⚽ Net. to win by 2 goals @ 4.25 ⭐
Slovenia – N. Ireland
⚽ Slovenia to win @ 1.80 ⭐⭐
============================
🍻
Medvedev -3.5 Games vs Rublev @ 1.85 Pinnacle (NB)
Expecting Medvedev to come out on top against his good friend again today. He leads the head to head 6-2 which includes two 3-0 set wins in grand slams. Rublev is currently 0-8 in grand slam QFs. The excellent defence of Medvedev is likely to be too good for Rublev. He also doesn’t have the variety in his game & will find it difficult to break down Medvedev from the baseline, especially in the conditions. This will likely frustrate Rublev & lead to errors especially off his forehand which has 73 unforced errors in the opening 4 matches. With the hot weather again today I like the chances of the -3.5 games. Even if it went to 5 there is a chance this line hits if Medvedev can win an easier set like he did in his previous round. Over a best of 5 you have to favour the defence & overall better game of Medvedev.
Still thinking about the last match & whether I have a play or not. Will post later if I do.
WD , Medvedev played like Rublev was Ukrainian 🙃
Yesterday’s bet lost
Today’s bet
Columbia primera B
Real Soacha v Leones
Both teams to score + over 2.5 goals
William hill. 11/10
NAP
Club Nueve de Octubre v Chacaritas SC
21:30
Ecuadorian Serie B 🇪🇨
Both team to score 10-11 SKYBET.. NAP/NB..
Interest only side bets (small stakes)
BTTS and over 2.5 match goals 13-8 (UNIBET bet builder)
Chacaritas to score 1st half 7-4 HILLS
Prediction 1-1 or 2-1.
All 5 head to head seen BTTS including 3 this year.
Chacaritas scored in the 1st half of all these 5 head to head.
Chacaritas tend to score in 50-60% of away games 7/13 games so hoping one is today.
Alcaraz and keys double
5 for 10.63 back
B365
Shame the matches are on so late….
Couple goals short I Japa cup games this morning…tomorrow bet in the qualifliers, 9 games in total and 5 games look a certainty, Denmark France Holland Czech & Poland…that’s my thinking anyway so 4 games for 12/1 shot
2+ gls each game – 12/1 – WH
Hi Alves, do you mean this one?…”Offer 3 – Over 1 Goal In Each Of Thursday’s 9 European Championship Qualifying”…
Aye, daily drops that come on at 8pm
Half time bet
Chapecounse
Spelling…
Currently 3-1
Over 5.5
1/1
B365
Just restarted
Vondrousova – Keys
🎾 Keys to win @ 1.80 ⭐⭐ ✅
=========================
Medvedev – Rublev
🎾 Medvedev to win & over 3.5 sets @ 2.15 ⭐⭐⭐ ❌
Alcaraz – Zverev
🎾 Alcaraz to win 3-0 @ 2.38 ⭐⭐ ✅