We already see a number of bookmakers offering punters some great prizes for correctly guessing six scores in upcoming Premier League games.
With that in mind, we have decided to take up the Super 6 Challenge.
Here are this week's selections.
Our Super 6 Challenge predictions
Leeds vs Man Utd
Elland Road has produced high event games and the home form table explains why. Leeds’ last six at home includes 100% both teams to score and 100% over 2.5, with 14 scored and 10 conceded.
Underlying home data supports the idea of chances at both ends. Leeds home xG is 1.54 with xGA at 1.26, and they average 13.67 shots for and 10.33 against. They also create 4.56 shots on target per home match while allowing 3.22. Shots in the box at home sits at 8.67 for and 5.67 against, and that blend usually creates matches where Leeds score but struggle to fully shut games down.
Manchester United’s away trend is even more extreme. Their away form table shows 100% both teams to score and 100% over 2.5 across the last six away games, scoring 13 and conceding nine. Away xG is 1.50 with xGA at 1.34, and they average 13.00 shots for and 11.67 against. United also generate 5.00 shots on target away, conceding 4.11, with 7.67 shots in the box for and 8.22 against. That shots in box against figure matters against a Leeds side that attacks quickly once territory is gained.
xPTS also suggests both sides are capable in this matchup. Leeds sit third in the home xPTS table at 18.64, while United are eighth in the away xPTS table at 10.07. Leeds have dipped in the last 10 form table, but the home attack remains productive. United’s recent away games show they create enough to score, yet keep allowing clear looks.
- Score 2-2 at 11/1 with Skybet
Bet on any team to score at 50/1 odds at Betfair!
T&C: Place a max £1 bet on “Over 0.5 Goals” in the Over/Under Goals market in Leeds v Manchester United on Sunday 4th January. Winnings paid in cash at normal odds and are topped up to the enhanced price in Free bet builder Bets. Free bet builder bets are valid 30 days, only deposits with Pay by Bank, Cards & ApplePay are eligible. Excludes multiples & in-play bets. T&C's apply. Please gamble responsibly.
Newcastle vs Crystal Palace
Newcastle’s home form is one of the strongest in the league and St James’ Park has become a high scoring environment. They sit fifth in the home form table with 14 points from six, scoring 12 and conceding seven, and their home profile supports that productivity.
Newcastle home xG is 1.23 with xGA at 1.13, and they average 12.89 shots for and 10.33 against. Shots on target at home sits at 5.00 for and 4.00 against, which is among the higher home SOT figures in the league. Shots in the box is 8.11 for and 7.78 against, which suggests Newcastle often play in the opponent’s half but still allow some danger through transitions.
Crystal Palace arrive with a respectable away xPTS and a balanced away chance profile. Their away xG is 1.33 with xGA at 1.15, and their away xPTS is 12.96, fourth in the away xPTS table. They average 9.33 shots for and 11.22 against away, with 3.56 shots on target for and 3.67 against. Shots in the box stands at 6.00 for and 7.00 against. Those numbers fit an away side that can stay in games, defend the box reasonably well, and still create chances through counters and set attacks.
Newcastle’s last 10 form is 14 points with 17 scored and 16 conceded, so clean sheets have not been a feature. Palace’s last 10 is also 14 points, but they have scored only 10, which lowers their ceiling.
Newcastle at home should create enough to win, but Palace’s away xG suggests they can find a goal.
- Score 2-1 at 13/2 with Skybet
Fulham vs Liverpool
Craven Cottage hosts a fixture where both teams arrive in strong last 10 form, but the home and away profiles hint at a match shaped by fine margins rather than dominance. Fulham sit fourth in the last 10 form table with 19 points, scoring 17 and conceding 13.
Their home numbers suggest balance. Home xG is 1.22 and xGA is 1.27, with 12.56 shots for and 8.67 against. Shots on target at home sits at 3.56 for and 3.11 against, while shots in the box is 7.89 for and 6.56 against. That indicates Fulham create enough to score while still allowing opponents into dangerous areas.
Liverpool arrive fifth in the last 10 form table with 18 points, and their away profile is mixed by results but strong in control metrics. Away xG is 1.60 and away xGA is 1.00, which is one of the best defensive away figures in the league. Liverpool average 12.44 shots for and 10.89 against away, with 3.89 shots on target for and 4.33 against, plus 7.22 shots in the box for and 7.00 against. That is a profile where they can concede moments but still generate enough to win.
The away form table shows Liverpool have gone W2-D1-L3 across the last six away games and conceded 12, which keeps the door open for Fulham. Fulham’s last 10 trend includes scoring in enough games to stay dangerous, and Liverpool’s away over 2.5 rate is high in that sample. This shapes a game where both sides trade spells, with Liverpool’s higher away xG giving them the edge if they convert first.
- Score 1-2 at 7/1 with Skybet
Spurs vs Sunderland
This matchup sits in a tricky space between market expectation and what the numbers say about Spurs at home. Tottenham are 18th in the home form table with four points from six and only two home wins all season, one of them against 19th placed Burnley. Their last 23 home Premier League games gives them a record of W4-D5-L14, conceding 1.83 goals per game, which frames the caution around backing them outright.
The underlying home metrics show why control has not become wins. Spurs home xG is 1.17 with xGA at 1.37, and shots on target at home sits at 3.56 for and 3.67 against. Shots in the box is 6.44 for and 5.67 against, so Spurs are not being overwhelmed in territory, but they also are not creating the volume edge needed to cover defensive lapses.
Sunderland’s away attack is limited. They have scored only four away goals across nine away games and have failed to score in six of nine. Their away xG is 0.83 with xGA at 1.48, and they concede heavy volume, including 16.44 shots against and 5.11 shots on target against. Shots in the box against is 9.89, which is a major problem against any side capable of sustained pressure.
Squad news also impacts the match. Spurs have multiple long term absentees, plus AFCON related absences in midfield. Sunderland’s issues include AFCON call ups and an ankle concern for Dan Ballard. That reduces cohesion and points toward a slower match with fewer clean attacking patterns.
- Score 0-0 at 17/2 with Skybet
Everton vs Brentford
Everton’s recent form has been built on structure rather than fluency. Across the last ten league games they have picked up five wins and conceded only eight goals, with clean sheets landing in 60% of that run.
Underlying numbers support competitiveness rather than dominance, but results at home have remained solid even as injuries and absences bite. Idrissa Gueye and Iliman Ndiaye are away, while Jarrad Branthwaite and Seamus Coleman remain side lined, forcing adjustments through the spine. Even so, Everton continue to generate enough territory to stay competitive.
Brentford’s away record is a major factor. They are W2-D0-L7 on the road, with those two wins coming against sides currently sat 20th and 18th. More importantly, Brentford have conceded two or more goals in all seven away defeats, showing defensive vulnerability when forced to absorb pressure. At the same time, they have scored in six of nine away matches, indicating they remain a threat even in losses.
That combination shapes the likely game state. Everton are capable of scoring, but Brentford’s away profile suggests they can contribute at the other end. Recent head to heads reinforce low margins rather than dominance, with several draws and single goal games across recent meetings.
A balanced contest with goals at both ends fits the data more cleanly than a one sided outcome.
- Score 2-1 at 8/1 with Skybet
Man City vs Chelsea
The late Sunday kick-off at the Etihad places Chelsea into one of the league’s harshest environments. Manchester City top the last 10 form table with 25 points, and their home form is perfect in the last six, scoring 17 and conceding three.
The home underlying profile explains the dominance. City home xG is 1.73 with xGA at 1.02, and they average 15.78 shots for and 7.78 against. Shots on target sits at 6.56 for and 2.56 against, with shots in the box 12.11 for and 5.22 against. Those are elite control numbers that limit opponent time in the box while producing repeat chances of their own.
Chelsea come into this game with the news that manager Enzo Maresca has left the club in the last few days. Their away profile carries both threat and risk. Their away xG is 1.50 with xGA at 1.48, and they average 12.33 shots for and 9.78 against away, with 4.56 shots on target for and 3.44 against. Shots in the box away is 8.22 for and 6.67 against. That shows Chelsea can create chances, but it also shows they allow enough box access for City to turn pressure into goals.
City also come in off a 0-0 at Sunderland where they posted the higher xG at 2.25 and produced 14 shots and five big chances. That matters because it shows chance creation remains strong even when the score line stays flat.
Chelsea are capable of scoring, but City’s home metrics suggest they will create the clearer volume and better territory.
Score 2-1 at 7/1 with Skybet
The total odds for all six games are a massive 492,479/1 with Skybet, which may be worth a £1 stake for some fun. I am keen to back Newcastle to beat Palace by 2-1 and Man City to beat Chelsea 2-1. Combining these two games combined gives you odds of 59/1 with Skybet.
Back Haaland to score at 40/1 odds at talkSPORT BET!
T&C: 18+ New customers only. Opt in, deposit & bet max £1 on Man City v Chelsea – Haaland To Score Anytime – 90 mins by 17:30 UK time on 04/01/2026. Enhanced odds paid in Free Bets, which expire in 7 days. Scroll down for T&Cs. GambleAware.org
The Betting Desk is run by Neil Potter. Neil built and refined all of the site’s data models, helping it grow into a trusted source of analysis across the Premier League, EFL and major tournaments. His models track key metrics, long term trends and areas where market prices move away from underlying performance.
GambleAware