WE hit the bar again last week with only QPR failing to score two costing us a profitable trixie, however two out of three again gets us some of our money back and that's why I love this particular perm.

I had a tough job narrowing down the options again this week so as well as my Trixie I'll list a few other fancies (two out two won last weekend).

Ipswich v Bristol City – Over 2.5 goals

Rotherham to score two or more at home to Northampton was to be my lead bet today but for various reasons I've talked myself out of it in favour of goals at Portman Road.

After a blistering start the season, Ipswich's form has become a bit patchy but the goals haven't dried up. 19 goals in 9 matches makes them top scorers in the division and the former Rangers strikeforce of Waghorn and Garner seem to have found their level again in the Championship.

Visitors Bristol City are no slouches in front of goal either with 17 in 10. It's worth noting that Ipswich have conceded more goals than any other side in the top half of the division and are second only to Nottingham Forest in the number of shot-on-target conceded in the league. It was a toss-up between both teams to score and over 2.5 goals here but I've gone for the latter.

Accrington – To score 2+

Forest Green continue to struggle at the foot on League Two. They've conceded 25 in their opening 10 games and have lost 2 or more in eight of those matches. On Saturday they host Accrington Stanley, who are 3rd in the table, are the second highest scorers in the division and have had more shots on target than any other team with the exception of Newport.

Accrington look a decent price at 1/1 to win here and I was really inclined to go with Over 2.5 goals at 4/5 given that Stanley have kept just one clean sheet this season but I'm more tempted by the 5/6 on the away side scoring two or more.

They've done so in all four matches away from home in the league this season and I'm banking on them doing so again.

Inverness v Queen of the South – BTTS

This wouldn't be a match that jumps out at me from the coupon but as far as pure stats go this looks a good bet. Despite a run of just three wins in their last nine Caley have scored in all but one of those, whilst for Queens that run of finding the net in each match runs even further.

Only Dunfermline (1st) and St Mirren (2nd) have outscored 6th placed Queen of the South and only Brechin City have conceded more than the Jags.

There's a history of goals in this fixture too. Although the stat dates back to 2003 both teams have scored in each of the last eight meetings. With home advantage I think Inverness might sneak the win but the Doonhamers should also be good for a goal in the Highlands.

Other Fancies

Peterborough to score 2+: League One's top scorers meet an Oxford side who have won just once in their last six. Posh lost in midweek and will be desperate to bounce back and maintain their challenge at the top.

Oldham to score 2+: I championed Oldham last week at Rotherham as I thought they were better than their league position suggested. It wasn't to be as they were thumped 5-1 but they followed that result up with an impressive 3-2 win at home to Peterborough following the departure of boss John Sheridan. This week they're as big as 3/1 to score two or more at Portsmouth. I wouldn't include them in my main bet but if you're looking for a long shot you could do worse than back a side that have scored 15 in 10 in the league at that price. Otherwise BTTS looks a decent play.

Others; Chalrton v Fleetwood Over 2.5 Goals, Newport v Luton BTTS, Red Bull Leipzig to score 2+,  Inter Milan to score 2+, Valencia to score 2+

Recommendations

  • Ipswich v Bristol City – Over 2.5 Goals 4/5
  • Accrington to score 2+ 5/6
  • Inverness v QotS – BTTS 4/6
  • Best Odds: Back all three in a trixie (3 x doubles, 1 x treble) 4 pts returns 14.85pts at Bet365
1 Comment
  1. ghazi 5 years ago

    king

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