Paris St-Germain vs BarcelonaUEFA Champions League, KO: 20:00 Mar 10, 2021, Parc des Princes
PARIS ST-GERMAIN have previous when it comes to blowing massive leads against Barcelona but it would be a massive surprise if the Catalan giants turned this one around in France.
I fancied Barca to edge the first leg, with PSG missing two of their biggest hitters in Neymar and Angel Di Maria, but Ronald Koeman's side were terrorised by Kylian Mbappe as they crashed to a 4-1 defeat (below).
That has made this second leg pretty much a formality, even though PSG infamously threw away a 4-0 first leg lead as Barcelona battered them 6-1 at the same stage of the tournament four years ago.
That comeback came when Barca were far more formidable and the French side were still finding their feet at this level but it's a different story now.
PSG bossed the first leg and if Mbappe shows the same form that helped him bag a hat-trick at the Nou Camp they should comfortably finish the job.
Barcelona have found a bit of form in Spain, winning four in a row without conceding, but this is a step up in class and they will have to score four against a PSG defence that has kept clean sheets in their last three.
How the bookies view it
Paris St-Germain look decent value at a best 15/11 with SBK to win on the night, with Barcelona 19/10 with the same firm and the draw 16/5. If you fancy another stunning Barca comeback then they are 25/1 with SBK to qualify.
Neymar is still out for Mauricio Pochettino's side but Di Maria made his comeback in the weekend win over Brest in the French Cup. Moise Kean, a scorer in the first leg, also misses out while Alessandro Florenzi is a doubt.
Jordi Alba picked up an injury in Barcelona's weekend win over Osasuna so is a doubt for this one. Philippe Coutinho, Gerard Pique, Ansu Fati, Sergi Roberto and Ronald Araujo remain out.
Players to watch
It's hard to look past Mbappe for PSG after he ripped Barcelona to shreds in the first leg. The Frenchman is still odds-against for anytime scorer at 23/20 with TonyBet which looks good value. He's also a boosted 9/2 with William Hill to break the deadlock.
I tipped Lionel Messi to score in the first leg and the magic man delivered by scoring a penalty. He's 59/50 with Unibet to score here and it's always worth backing him at those sorts of odds. A special on Mbappe and Messi both scoring is available at 9/4 with Betfred.
Anything else catch the eye?
Barcelona have to go for it, so there should be goals. Both teams to score is a best 43/100 at SportingIndex and over 2.5 goals just 7/15 at Betfair so they are only worth considering for accumulators. Over 1.5 first-half goals offer better value at 11/10 with TonyBet, a bet that landed in the first leg.
I tipped Idrissa Gueye to be carded in the first leg and that bet also trapped but it was the only yellow card flashed. Neither side is renowned for putting the boot in so the 4/6 on offer at McBookie for under 4.5 cards looks great value for an acca.
There was a penalty in the first leg and another spot-kick being awarded in the return pays 13/8 with Bet365.
This UEFA Champions League match between Paris St-Germain and Barcelona will be played on Mar 10, 2021 and kick off at 20:00. Check below for our tipsters best Paris St-Germain vs Barcelona prediction. You may also visit our dedicated betting previews section for the most up to date previews.
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