Everton welcome Ipswich to Hill Dickinson Stadium on Saturday with kick-off scheduled for 15:00. Both clubs have collected six points from their opening four Premier League matches, although their routes to those totals have differed.
David Moyes' side remain unbeaten after recording one victory and three draws. Everton began with a 2-0 home win over Crystal Palace before drawing 1-1 at Bournemouth and 2-2 with Manchester United.
Their latest match ended goalless at Tottenham. Everton created the better opportunities despite spending long periods without possession. Jordan Pickford denied Lucas Bergvall late on, while Antonin Kinsky recovered from an error to stop Kiernan Dewsbury-Hall. Moyes praised Everton's resilience and highlighted Jarrad Branthwaite's defensive performance.
Everton have scored five goals and conceded three. Their two clean sheets have come against Palace and Tottenham, while late goals earned draws against Manchester United and Bournemouth.
Ipswich have taken a less stable path. They beat Sunderland 2-1 before losing 5-2 at Manchester United and 2-0 at home to Liverpool. Gary O'Neil's side responded with a 3-2 victory at Crystal Palace.
Ipswich led Palace through Leif Davis after Emersonn had cancelled out Anan Khalaili's opener. Axel Disasi's dismissal left Palace with 10 players, but Jorgen Strand Larsen still equalised before Zian Flemming scored Ipswich's winner in the 90th minute.
O'Neil had previously praised Ipswich's performance against Liverpool despite the defeat. Alexander Isak scored twice inside nine minutes after two early mistakes, but Ipswich competed well for the remainder of the game.
The overall numbers leave little between the sides. Everton average 1.24 xG and 1.49 xGA, producing 5.13 xPTS from four matches. Ipswich have recorded 1.29 xG, 1.74 xGA and 5.47 xPTS.
Everton hold the stronger territorial profile. They average 10.2 shots inside the box while allowing 8.8. Ipswich produce 6.5 and concede 9.5. The visitors have faced 16.2 shots per game, including 6.5 on target.
The venue splits point towards a more open contest. Everton's two home fixtures have produced an average of 2.55 xG, while they have registered 12.5 shots inside the penalty area per game.
Ipswich's away matches have been far less controlled. They average 1.36 xG but allow 2.67 xGA, with opponents producing 14 shots inside the box and 5.0 big chances per game. Their visits to Manchester United and Palace produced 12 goals.
How the bookies view it
Everton are 4/5, implying a 55.6% chance of winning. The draw is 14/5, representing 26.3%, while Ipswich are 71/20, carrying an implied probability of 22.0%.
Over 2.5 goals is priced at 8/11, giving the selection a 57.9% implied probability. Under 2.5 is 11/10, representing 47.6%.
Both teams to score is available at 7/10 for yes, implying 58.8%. No is priced at 6/5, giving it a 45.5% implied probability.
Head to head: Tractor Boys have the stronger record against the hosts
Everton took four points from the two Premier League meetings during 2024-25. They won 2-0 at Portman Road before drawing 2-2 at home in May.
The wider record covers only six meetings since 2000. Ipswich have won three, Everton one and two have finished level. Those older results carry limited relevance to the current matchup.
Player to watch: Thierno Barry only striker option for Toffees
Thierno Barry provides Everton with a central penalty-box threat against an Ipswich defence allowing regular high-quality chances.
Across his two recorded league appearances, Barry generated 1.93 xG from five shots. Three attempts hit the target and he scored once. His average of 0.96 xG per game is the strongest attacking return among Everton's expected starters.
Barry headed home against Palace after producing 0.45 xG from two attempts. He then registered 1.48 xG and placed two of his three shots on target at Bournemouth, although he failed to score.
Predicted lineups
Everton (4-1-4-1): Pickford, Maitland-Niles, Tarkowski, Branthwaite, Mykolenko, Garner, Johnson, Armstrong, Dewsbury-Hall, George, Barry.
Ipswich (4-2-3-1): Scherpen, O'Shea, Diop, Greaves, Davis, Palacios, Lukic, Fatawu, Enciso, Clarke, Emersonn.
Anything else catch the eye
Ipswich's away profile supplies the main reason for backing goals. Both of their away matches have produced over 2.5 goals and both teams have scored on each occasion.
Everton have shown greater attacking intent at home than their overall figures suggest. They scored twice in both home games and created enough to threaten an Ipswich defence exposed at Old Trafford and Selhurst Park.
Ipswich also carry enough attacking quality to contribute. They scored twice against Manchester United and three times at Palace, with Julio Enciso, Abdul Fatawu, Jack Clarke and Emersonn offering different routes into the penalty area.
Backing over 2.5 goals avoids relying on Everton to justify a short win price. It also targets the clearest weakness in the fixture, Ipswich's defensive record away from Portman Road.
Everton vs Ipswich Town Betting Tips & Predictions
Further Reading
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