Crystal Palace v Burnley
Crystal Palace

Crystal Palace vs Burnley

, KO: 19:30 , Selhurst Park
Burnley

Crystal Palace will be targeting back-to-back wins in the Premier League when they welcome Burnley to Selhurst Park on Wednesday night.

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Oliver Glasner's side snapped a nine-game winless run in the top-flight by battling their way to a hard-fought 1-0 win away at rivals Brighton on Sunday.

That long-overdue victory has eased any fears about Palace getting dragged into the relegation picture, as they now hold a nine point buffer over the bottom three.

Seeking to give themselves more breathing space and with a view to climbing up the standings, the Eagles will look to heap more misery on Burnley this midweek.

The Clarets had another nail put in their relegation coffin when crashing to a 2-0 defeat at home to West Ham at the weekend.

The loss leaves Scott Parker's side a sizeable 11 points away from automatic safety, with an immediate return to the English Championship looking increasingly inevitable.

How the bookies view it: Eagles to ease to victory

Crystal Palace come into this clash as heavy odds-on favourites, with a home win trading at 4/7 on bet365.

Burnley are big outsiders at 21/4 on bet365, while a share of the Selhurst Park spoils is also considered unlikely at 3/1 with the same bookmaker.

Head to head: Hope for the underdogs

It may come as a surprise to learn that Burnley hold the upper hand in terms of the overall head-to-head record, with 21 wins to Crystal Palace's 19, while the other 16 encounters have ended all square.

This season's reverse fixture saw Crystal Palace claim a 1-0 victory, and the same scoreline on Wednesday night can be backed at 6/1 on bet365.

Players to watch: Sarr to star?

Ismaila Sarr was the Crystal Palace hero on Sunday, scoring the only goal of the game against Brighton. The Eagles attacker is an eye-catching 20/21 on bet365 to either score or assist on Wednesday night.

Burnley's Lucas Pires could go head-to-head with the aforementioned Sarr, making him a value option to commit at least one foul at 5/6 on bet365 – a selection that has landed in four of his last five Premier League appearances.

Predicted line-ups

As was the case at the weekend, Crystal Palace again look set to be without the injured quartet of Cheick Doucoure, Eddie Nketiah, Jean-Philippe Mateta and Justin Devenny.

Burnley also have a number of players ruled out through injury, including Connor Roberts, Jordan Beyer, Josh Cullen, Mike Tresor and Zeki Amdouini.

Crystal Palace: Henderson; Lerma, Lacroix, Richards; Munoz, Wharton, Hughes, Mitchell; Sarr, Pino; Larsen

Burnley: Dubravka; Walker, Humphreys, Esteve, Pires; Edwards, Mejbri, Luis, Ugochukwu, Anthony; Flemming

🔍 X-pert tip from The Betting Desk
Don't know your xG from your xP? We've got you covered with our data-led X-pert tip!

MFT's X-pert tip: Palace to win to Nil

Crystal Palace to win to nil is supported by a clear gap in attacking output and chance quality.

Burnley away numbers remain among the weakest in the league. Their away xG sits at 0.72, while away xGA rises to 1.83, showing consistent defensive exposure without attacking return. Shots inside the box underline the same issue. Burnley average only 4.00 shots inside the box for away from home, while conceding 10.50, creating a sustained territorial imbalance. That lack of box presence explains why Burnley struggle to convert pressure into goals on the road.

Palace home metrics point toward control rather than volatility. Home xG sits at 1.51 with xGA at 1.37, enough separation to win without needing high scoring games. Palace generate 8.50 shots inside the box per home match while allowing 6.25, keeping opponents away from high value areas. Home xPTS supports Palace taking points in fixtures like this rather than dropping them.

With Burnley unable to sustain attacking threat and Palace limiting box access, the data aligns with a Palace win without conceding. .

Anything else catch the eye?

Crystal Palace are too short to side with at the above-mentioned odds, but merging a home win alongside under 4.5 goals will bring about an attractive 4/5 shot on bet365.

This combination would have been the correct call in each of Crystal Palace's eight Premier League victories this season, one of which was against Burnley at Turf Moor only a couple of months ago.

The fact that the same formula would have proven profitable in 12 of Burnley's 16 Premier League defeats this term offers further encouragement to siding with this selection at Selhurst Park.

Crystal Palace vs Burnley Betting Tips & Predictions
Crystal Palace Win & Under 4.5 Goals
4/5
Bet365
Ismaila Sarr To Score or Assist
20/21
Bet365
Lucas Pires To Commit 1+ Foul
5/6
Bet365
Further Reading
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