Premier League top scorer 2025-26: Is it already a foregone conclusion?

With the 2025/26 Premier League season now underway, there are plenty of forwards in contention for the Golden Boot award. 

Last season, Mohamed Salah claimed his fourth Golden Boot award, which put him next to Thierry Henry for most Premier League Golden Boots in history. The Egyptian international would have been targeting a fifth one this season to put him out on his own, but those hopes are now already over after a hugely disappointing first half of the season.

Who is in contention, though? Let us take a closer look at the Premier League top scorer odds for the 2025/2026 season.

Best Premier League top scorer odds

Erling Haaland

Erling Haaland is understandably the runaway favourite to win the Golden Boot this season, and considering he is already on 17 goals for the season, it's hard to argue against his extremely short odds.

At this point, it's hard to see him slowing down, and while that did happen last season, he seems to be fully locked in this time around. On top of that, he already has a sizeable advantage over the competition.

Hugo Ekitike

With Florian Wirtz and Alexander Isak both having torrid starts to their Liverpool careers, Reds fans will be delighted with how Hugo Ekitike has fitted in at Anfield.

The Frenchman has scored seven Premier League goals already, and there is an argument that he would be on even more if Arne Slot wasn't trying to shoehorn Isak into the starting XI ahead of him.

Igor Thiago

Igor Thiago has done a brilliant job of replacing Bryan Mbeumo and Yoane Wissa in the Brentford frontline this season, and he already has 11 Premier League goals.

Finding the back of the net 11 times in 16 games is extremely impressive, yet he still finds himself six goals behind Haaland.

Viktor Gyokeres

Viktor Gyokeres scored more than 50 goals for Sporting Lisbon last season, which made him a firm candidate to win the Golden Boot this season for his new club, Arsenal, before the start of the season.

With just four league goals to his name, Gyokeres has next-to-no hope of winning the Golden Boot in the Premier League this season. Yes, injuries haven't helped, but even the most positive Arsenal fan will now admit he has been a disappointment for the Gunners.

Antoine Semenyo

Not many people saw Semenyo as one of the candidates for the Golden Boot before the start of the season, but it's hard to deny him his flowers after the great start he has enjoyed.

After the first eight rounds of the season, Semenyo had six goals to his name, but unfortunately for the player and his club, he hasn't added to this tally since then.

Other potential candidates

• Joao Pedro
• Chris Wood
• Bryan Mbeumo
• Alexander Isak
• Jean-Philippe Mateta

Premier League top scorer trends

As we said already, Mohamed Salah won the award for the Premier League's top scorer this season, which was not the first time he's won this award:

As can be deduced from the above table, it also continues a curious trend into the third successive year, whereby the Golden Boot winner also represents the title-winning side. This marks a drastic turnaround after the years spanning 2014-2022, none of which saw any Golden Boot winner also lift the title.

Other notable Premier League top-scorer trends

• Jamie Vardy and Harry Kane are the only Englishmen to lift a Golden Boot this century.
• Under the 38-game Premier League format (1995/96-present), the average tally from Golden Boot winners is 25.9 goals.
• During this same period, a tally of 25 goals has been enough for the Golden Boot on 16 of a possible 30 occasions.
• Only five of the 34 prior Premier League seasons have seen multiple winners.

Our Premier League top scorer prediction

We cannot see anyone other than Salah, Haaland, and Isak getting truly involved in the battle for the 2025/26 Premier League Golden Boot.

Our pick at this time would be Haaland, who has hit the ground running early in the season and while that was the case last season as well, we don't see him slowing down this time around.

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