Premier League top 4 odds and prediction: Opinions split on Newcastle

Current Premier League top 4 odds provide an indication of where teams are expected to end up come next May.

Will the league table look much as it did at the end of the previous campaign? Will we see some big changes at the top end of the table? Here’s our early take on the situation.

Best Premier League top 4 odds

Even before a ball was kicked this season, the Premier League title frontrunners Manchester City, Arsenal and Liverpool were all odds-on to finish inside the top four, and remain so at this time:

As shown above, we have a number of other teams in with a decent chance of completing the top four. We'll now look at these teams' chances in greater detail.

Chelsea

The free-spending Blues struggled to cope with the challenge of facing Manchester City on the opening weekend, going down to a 2-0 defeat. But they learned their lesson well, and have since thrived.

A 6-2 win at Molineux the following weekend showed what this Chelsea side can do when it clicks, as did a 3-0 victory at West Ham on 21st September. Interestingly, the new price is Chelsea's closest approach yet to ‘odds-on' status for a UCL berth.

Tottenham Hotspur

Fifth last season under Ange Postecoglou, Spurs failed to come out on top the first time out, drawing 1-1 with Leicester, despite taking the lead and dominating for the entirety of the first hour. But they certainly found their shooting boots in the next outing, clobbering Everton 4-0.

Two defeats would then follow, against Newcastle and Arsenal. Although the latter was painful on an emotional level for Spurs fans, the former has done far more practical damage in terms of top-four aspirations. A subsequent win over Brentford did nothing to shorten Spurs' top four odds in the last round.

Newcastle United

Recent seasons have shown us how strong Eddie Howe’s men can be, but can they keep their key players fit after enduring a torrid time of things injury-wise last season? It's a valid question, but if they can, then they’ll likely give finishing in the top four as good of a shot as the early betting suggests.

Their 3-1 defeat to Fulham on 21st September represented the end of a promising unbeaten run to start 2024/25. However, one bookmaker (888 Sport) was defiant in the face of an inevitable drifting, instead shortening the odds on Newcastle to make it a second top-four finish in three seasons.

Manchester United

Continuing a solid trend, the Red Devils made a decent start to the new campaign, defeating Fulham at home, though their win was far from clear-cut. And just when any United fan dared to dream that the Red Devils would kick on from there, United fell to a 2-1 loss at Brighton, who are currently thriving under new boss Fabian Hurzeler.

It seems as though United are still far from their imperious best. Certainly, there will be some emphatic wins along the way, but the situation can get ugly fast when they aren't on top of it, as their 3-0 home defeat to Liverpool in early September showed.

Aston Villa

Last but certainly not least, Aston Villa may be the boldest call of the five likeliest contenders to make the top four, but don’t write them off. Under Unai Emery, the Villans made very pleasing progress last season, reaching a continental semi-final and finishing fourth.

Four wins from five to start 2024/25 imply that last season was no fluke for Villa. More recently, successive wins from a losing position (against Everton and Wolves) also hint at a degree of resilience that will serve the midland side well. So too is it a sign that they can improve on the 50% losing rate they posted in 2023/24 after conceding first in PL action (W4, D5, L9).

Who will finish in the Premier League top 4? Here’s our prediction

Just to re-emphasise, they aren't challenging for the title any time soon, but just one player in the right spot could see their odds tumble, so we think it's a good idea to back United while the current price stands.

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