Premier League winner odds and prediction: Are Chelsea title contenders?

As Storm Darragh swept the UK over the weekend, Liverpool's hopes of a final victory at Goodison Park were put on hold for the time being, with the Merseyside Derby's postponement allowing Chelsea to make up ground in the title race.

Despite not playing, Liverpool still remain firm favourites to win the title at 4/5. However, Chelsea have been making headway in recent weeks, with a 4-3 victory over Spurs seeing them move to within four points of the league leaders.

Arsenal's 1-1 draw with Fulham did little to change bookies' minds about their chances, and they are still priced at 16/5 to lift the Premier League trophy.

Another winless week for Manchester City, however, resulted in a further slip to 11/1 for the Cityzens, who most would now consider out of the title race.

Top 10 best Premier League winner odds

Current Premier League title favourites

Liverpool

Liverpool's incredible winning run was brought to an end in midweek, as the Reds suffered a disappointing stalemate against Newcastle.

A strike from Curtis Jones as well as a brace from the ever-dependable Mohamed Salah were not enough to see off Eddie Howe's plucky Magpies, who came behind to snatch a draw with a late set-piece goal from Fabian Schar.

In spite of this minor hiccup, it has been a truly blistering start to the season for Liverpool, who have only conceded 11 league goals, while also winning 11 out of their first 14 fixtures.

Priced at 10/11, it really seems as if Liverpool are nailed on for the title now. Although Chelsea managed to cruise to victory at Southampton, the current seven-point deficit still seems almost insurmountable for the Blues.

Punters should really get behind Liverpool before it is too late.

Arsenal

Mikel Arteta's Gunners drew again this week, as a 1-1 stalemate with Fulham saw them lose ground on title-chasing Chelsea.

Arsenal have been criticised heavily in recent weeks, as they have struggled greatly to create chances from open play, relying on set pieces to convert.

This was once again the case against the Cottagers, as William Saliba scored the Gunners' only goal of the afternoon in a disappointing outing.

Arsenal are still second favourites to take the title at 16/5, but their odds now seem quite a long shot considering Liverpool's six-point lead with a game in hand.

Chelsea

At 13/2, Chelsea are the current third favourites to secure the Premier League title, despite already having moved up to second in the table.

Most impressive of all, perhaps, is the fact they have amassed 35 goals already, and are the division's top scorers, with a further haul coming in their 4-3 victory over Tottenham last week.

Cole Palmer and Nicolas Jackson have managed 19 strikes between them, forming a deadly goalscoring combination up front.

Manager Enzo Maresca has maintained that Chelsea are not in the title race, but with nine wins from 15 games and only two defeats, it is difficult to regard Chelsea as anything other than Liverpool's closest rivals.

The Blues have 31 points, only four behind Liverpool, who were unable to play their weekend fixture due to Storm Darragh.

At 13/2 they are a great value pick for punters, arguably the only viable winner pick other than Liverpool themselves.

Premier League outright winner betting trends

Here are some trends to consider when placing a bet on the Premier League outright winner.

The last 10 Premier League title winners

The past decade has been dominated by Manchester City, with six Premier League trophies following their first triumph back in 2011/12. The only other teams to lift the PL trophy over the past 10 editions are Chelsea (twice), Liverpool and – most incredibly of all – Leicester City, who stood as 5000/1 outsiders in some places ahead of their miracle 2015/16 title campaign.

Points gained by Premier League title winners

Beyond simply backing a winner, some bookmakers also offer the chance to bet on a team achieving more than a certain number of points. Based on current trends in the Premier League title market, the average requirement to win the PL over the past decade is for a team to get 91.7 points – a significant growth compared to the average tallies needed earlier in the PL’s lifetime. City’s dominance has played a big role in that, especially with their record-high total of 100 points in 2017/18.

Number of goals scored by Premier League title winners

Teams that are particularly lethal up front may have a special market opened up for them, where a bettor can back them to hit a particular quota of goals. Current champions Man City have hit 90+ goals in all but one of the preceding seven seasons, with three occasions seeing them even get beyond 100.  Once again, City could be a wise pick to reach a century of goals again in 2024/25, whether they win the title or not.

Who will win the Premier League in 2024/25? Here's our prediction

Arsenal were our picks before a ball was kicked and they look like the real deal after taking seven points from nine on the road against Manchester City, Tottenham and Aston Villa. The Gunners’ most recent league wins (over Leicester and Southampton) also showed that they can respond well to adversity.

Liverpool look set to make it a three-way fight for the crown. But if City do not suffer any points deductions, you'd imagine it will end up a scrap between City and the Gunners once again. With Arteta's side showing so much character, I still fancy them to end Guardiola's recent dominance of the English top flight.

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