Premier League winner odds and prediction: Liverpool still steaming ahead

The Premier League title race is really hotting up, with Liverpool still the current favourites to claim their second of the coveted accolade. 

While Chelsea and Arsenal have been hot on their heels for many weeks, recent poor performances from both have meant that neither have been able to capitalise on dropped points from Arne Slot's Reds.

Now, with over half the season completed, it is really looking like Liverpool's title to lose.

Top 10 best Premier League winner odds

Current Premier League title favourites

Liverpool

What more can be said about Arne Slot's Liverpool team that has not already been mentioned? They have 21 wins from 29 games, boasting the top scorer in the league, the most goals, and the second-best defence; it has been a season of rights rather than wrongs for the Dutchman.

Although a potentially unexpected surprise for supporters considering the pre-season departure of mythical manager Jurgen Klopp, the German's replacement, Slot, has done a stellar job, seeing the Merseyside club well on their way to claiming a second Premier League title.

The club's goal-scoring has been possibly the most striking part of their 2024/25 top-flight campaign, with talisman Mohamed Salah racking up a breathtaking 44 goal contributions in just 29 outings, numbers that are wholly unprecedented.

With a 12-point gap to closest rivals Arsenal and only nine games remaining, there would have to be a slip-up of monumental proportions for Liverpool to miss out on the title. It has happened in the past, but they are certainly the firm favourites to win it.

Arsenal

While arguably a rather underwhelming season for Arsenal, it is sometimes easy to forget that they have actually only lost three games all season, the most recent of which came in the form of a shock 1-0 home defeat to West Ham United.

However, the Gunners have managed to progress in the Champions League after defeating PSV 9-3 on aggregate. This means that although it appears nearly impossible for them to gain anything from the current campaign domestically, they have a firm chance of still shocking supporters in European competition.

An early-season injury to star man Bukayo Saka was really the nail in the coffin for Arteta's side, who have often struggled to score goals this season from open play. They have scored 17 fewer goals than table-toppers Liverpool, and also find the net less frequently than both Chelsea and Man City.

It will be another case of ‘we go again next season' for the Gunners at the end of 2024/25.

Nottingham Forest

Nottingham Forest have certainly been the surprise package of the current Premier League campaign, as the Reds currently sit one point behind Arsenal in third place. With Manchester City now six points behind them in fifth place, it is looking increasingly likely that Forest will be able to grab one of those elusive Champions League spots.

Manager Nuno Espirito Santo has been a revelation at the City Ground, with New Zealand striker Chris Wood notching 18 goals so far this season, and wingers Antony Elanga and Callum Hudson-Odoi also having been in fine form.

Yet, it is arguably Forest's defence that has been the most formidable, with the partnership of Murillo and Nikola Milenkovic having limited opposition scoring to just 35 goals this season.

Although it is clear the Reds will not be winning the title this season, it has been a mightily impressive campaign for the Nottinghamshire side.

Who will win the Premier League in 2024/25? 

With Man City falling off a cliff and London’s big two still perhaps lacking that special something needed to catch Liverpool, everything points to Slot lifting the title in his first season at Anfield – a feat last achieved by any Liverpool boss in 1985/86, when Kenny Dalglish made the seamless transition from player to player-manager.

Premier League outright winner betting trends

Here are some trends to consider when placing a bet on the Premier League outright winner.

The last 10 Premier League title winners

The past decade has been dominated by Manchester City, with six Premier League trophies following their first triumph back in 2011/12.

The only other teams to lift the PL trophy over the past 10 editions are Chelsea (twice), Liverpool and – most incredibly of all – Leicester City, who stood as 5000/1 outsiders in some places ahead of their miracle 2015/16 title campaign:

Points gained by Premier League title winners

Based on current trends in the Premier League title market, the average requirement to win the PL over the past decade is for a team to get 91.7 points – a significant growth compared to the average tallies needed earlier in the PL’s lifetime. City’s dominance has played a big role in that, especially with their record-high total of 100 points in 2017/18.

Number of goals scored by Premier League title winners

Teams that are particularly lethal up front may have a special market opened up for them, where a bettor can back them to hit a particular quota of goals. Current champions Man City have hit 90+ goals in all but one of the preceding seven seasons, with three occasions seeing them even get beyond 100.

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