Premier League relegation odds and prediction: Wolves price is a steal for punters

Further misery for Wolves this week saw them lose 2-1 to West Ham in the highly-anticipated ‘El Sackico' clash, which has left Gary O'Neil's job teetering on a tightrope. 

Wolves now stand at 5/4 to be relegated, as they still only have a meagre two wins to their name this season and sit second from bottom.

However, the newly promoted trio are still the hot favourites to go down, as two of the three fell to saddening defeats in their weekend fixtures.

Best Premier League relegation odds

Promoted trio

The bookies still think all three promoted sides will make a swift return to the Championship, with Southampton and Ipswich Town odds on for the drop.

Southampton are now 1/10 to go down and remain firm favourites for relegation after they were on the receiving end of a 1-0 loss to Aston Villa. They are seen as dead certs for the drop with only five points from 15 games.

One issue for Saints boss Russell Martin seems to be his stubbornness regarding the club's tactics. It has so far been a naive choice to stick to a possession-based game in the top flight, as Southampton are really struggling for goals.

Another blank against an Aston Villa side that had only one once in their nine fixtures prior to the match evidenced the insurmountable issues plaguing Southampton.

However, plenty of other Premier League bosses are under pressure too, but the Saints gaffer looks a decent shout to be next manager sacked in the top flight.

Ipswich's chances of avoiding the drop also decreased this week, with the Tractor Boys now priced at 2/5 to be relegated after their home defeat to Bournemouth

It was a heartbreaking afternoon for Kieran McKenna's side, who had led 1-0 until the 88th minute. They were eventually felled by goals from Dango Ouattara and Enes Unal.

Leicester, on the other hand, have looked strong since the appointment of Ruud van Nistelrooy, as they secured a 2-2 draw with Brighton, with two goals past the 85th minute clawing back a point for the Foxes.

However, despite four points from the Dutchman's first two games in charge, Leicester are still 4/5 to go down this season.

Wolves

Nothing seems to be going right for Wolves this season, as they were defeated 2-1 by an equally troubled West Ham side who are also on the verge of sacking their manager.

Gary O'Neil's men have already lost 10 games this season, conceding a staggering 38 goals in the process.

Their defensive frailties have led them to be the favourites for the drop outside of the newly promoted sides, priced at 5/4.

A huge fixture against fellow relegation strugglers Ipswich awaits this weekend, and failure to secure victory could be the nail in the coffin for O'Neil's time at the club.

Punters should get behind Wolves before their fortunes worsen.

Crystal Palace

Crystal Palace's worries eased slightly this week, as they were able to come away with a point from a tough fixture against Manchester City.

Four points from their last two fixtures has seen the Eagles begin to gap their competitors at the base of the table, creating some daylight between themselves and the other relegation-threatened clubs.

They are currently outsiders for the drop at 17/2, as their recent form has seen bookies lengthen odds.

Premier League relegation betting trends

Exploring the relegation market isn’t just about backing certain teams for the drop. Recent history can provide useful information about more niche areas, such as who will finish bottom and in what order.

Here, we have the last 30 teams relegated, and the order in which they finished. An asterisk indicates teams promoted from the EFL Championship in the previous campaign.

As seen above, newly promoted teams are well-known for being vulnerable to relegation. So much so that it is considered quite a unique feat when there is a Premier League season that sees none of the newcomers immediately drop back into the second tier, though it last happened only in 2022/23.

In stark contrast, all three promoted sides sank straight back down again last term – though it was the first time since 1997/98 that such a phenomenon had occurred. Current odds imply that the same could easily happen again in 2024/25, though it has never happened in consecutive Premier League seasons.

On another interesting note, three of the last five seasons have also seen a newly-promoted side finish bottom of the table. Noting this trend might prove helpful in both the ‘to finish bottom’ and ‘bottom three exact order’ markets associated with relegation.

And for the benefit of anyone delving into points markets, it’s worth mentioning that no bottom-placed team has tallied more than 25 points in any of the previous six PL campaigns.

Who will be relegated? Here's our prediction

Southampton look doomed already and I had thought Leicester seemed more likely than Ipswich to join them in making an instant return to the second tier. But the Foxes are finding a way to get results and that makes me think the Tractor Boys now look a better shout for the drop.

I had fancied Everton to be the third side relegated but they're on the up while Wolves are in a tailspin, so the Molineux men look worth a punt. Meanwhile, there's also still an outside chance of a nuclear scenario unfolding, where Man City are relegated due to a hefty points deduction.

Premier League relegation FAQ

Who got relegated from the Premier League in 2023/24

Sheffield United finished bottom of the pile with Burnley just above them and Luton Town taking the final relegation place. The three promoted sides all failed to stay up for the first time since 1998.

Have Arsenal ever been relegated?

The Gunners haven't been relegated in the Premier League era but they did take the drop from the top flight in season 1912-13. It took them two seasons to get back and they haven't been relegated since.

Have Everton ever been relegated?

Everton are another team who haven't been relegated since the Premier League rebrand, although they have come mighty close in the last few seasons. They have been relegated just twice in their entire history, the most recent coming in 1951.

When were Manchester City relegated from the Premier League?

Manchester City have won the Premier League in six of the last seven seasons but there was a time when they were battling it out at the other end of the table. They have twice been relegated from the Premier League, in 1996 and 2001, and even fell as low as the third tier in 1998.

🔗 Share on Social Media