A 92ND-MINUTE goal from JJ Urquiza did for our 9-2 treble in Argentina yesterday.
JJ Urquiza are not related to JJ Burnel of The Stranglers, but the bet365 crowd’s welcoming of the goal in the background as I was dancing around in victory did make my thumbs and forefingers clench murderously.
However, it’s these Argentine lower-tier leagues particularly that made me want to contribute to the site again and they are now starting to get into their Latin low-goals-at-any-price groove so here’s another treble for this evening from the minor leagues around Buenos Aires.
I did originally have a Primera D game for unders but no markets available so I suspect it’s been cancelled. Anyway, here’s a treble with one double chance, one WDW, one draw no bet and no unders for those who can’t bear the sickly punch of that last-minute winner!
Argentina – Primera B Metropolitana
San Miguel v Defensores Unidos (KO 7.30pm)
Going for Defensores double chance here. The main reason is San Miguel’s league record, sitting plum at the bottom of the league after seven games.
They’ve scored 2 and conceded 11, 3 draws and 4 defeats. At home they’re 3 draws and 1 defeat, scoring 1 goal and conceding 2. That’s right – in four home games! I know: “Where can I get a season ticket for these guys?”
Defensores aren’t great away – they’ve played 4 and lost 3 but have scored 3 goals in those games so basically if you can score against San Miguel at home this season you have a 75% chance of winning and they haven’t beaten anybody anywhere!
True, Defensores have conceded 7 goals in those games, but their last away was a win against Sacachispas, who are 8th best home and they scored two goals in that one and conceded none, meaning they’ve won three of their last five home and away, scoring 8 and conceding 4.
No H2H last season, but San Miguel home twice two seasons ago was two 0-0 draws.
- Defensores win or draw (1-2, bet365)
CA Estudiantes v Deportivo Espanol (7.35pm)
Looking at the home win. Estudiantes have started the season well P8 W5 D1 L2 F15 A9. Home, they’re P4 W3 D1 F9 A3.
Deportivo are P8 W1 D3 L4 F2 A6. Away, they’re P3 W0 D2 L1 F0 A3.
Again, if Estudiantes can score – and they’ve scored 9 at home in 4 games, albeit drawing a blank last time – then Deportivo aren’t likely to hit back with much.
Last season, Estudiantes won home and away, 1-0 and 1-3. Home win is 3-5, bet365
Fenix v Club Comunicaciones (7.30pm)
Fenix Draw No Bet is what we’re looking at.
Another one based on a side that hasn’t won a single game all season playing a slightly better side in some sort of form.
Fenix have only played three at home and they’ve only won one of those, losing the others, scoring 3 and conceding 4. The two home defeats, though, were against the second and third best away sides in the league, while they beat mid-table away, Almirante Brown.
Communicaciones are the 19th of 20 away. Also worth noting Fenix’s form in their away games has been good, only losing one, winning one and drawing the other two.
Meanwhile, Comunicaciones overall have won none, drawn three and lost four. F4 A10. Away, it’s P4 D1 L3 F2 A6. They’ve lost to best, third and 12th best home sides and drawn with 14th best.
Fenix are only 16th best but as noted they’e only played three at home – the rest have all played four or more. Last season was 1-1 with Fenix home and Fenix won 3-0 away.
Double chance is only 2-7 so I think it’s worth the extra trust in Fenix to go draw no bet.
Draw no bet is 4-7, bet365.
- Defensores Unidos to win or draw
- CA Estudiantes
- Fenix draw no bet
- (3-1, bet365)